Renew/Cancel Recap: The Syndication Gods Must Be Crazy...About Nikita!?!?

Categories: Bubble Watch

Written By

October 28th, 2012

This week there were no renewals or cancellations announced for any of the broadcast network's scripted shows (but Showtime announced a third season renewal of Homeland if you just can't stand not having any renewal news). While not renewals, CBS gave full season “back nine” orders for Elementary and Vegas.

In last week's Renew/Cancel Index for ABC on Tuesday, Nashville fell to a toss-up, but the good news for Nashville fans is rating stabilized for its third episode.

Woefully Rated 'Nikita' Is Likely To Be Renewed; Wait, WHAT??!! (Redux)

Bill appropriately titled last Tuesday's Renew/Cancel post for CW with The Bold text above. The conventional wisdom is that once Nikita was picked up for a third season it would be shepherded along to at least a fourth to get to 88 episodes for syndication purposes. Granted, conventional wisdom doesn't usually involve shows as low-rated as Nikita, but it's not like Nikita's ratings were any good last year either and while CW execs probably hoped for the best with the changes to the Friday night lineup, it surely knew that there was a good possibility the ratings would get worse than last year.

But then the preliminary ratings for Friday came out -- a 0.2 adults 18-49 rating (yes, that could be adjusted up to a 0.3 in the finals -- woot!) prompting questions like:

"is woefuller a word?"

It also begs the question of "just how crazy are the syndication gods that they would demand -- d-e-m-a-n-d -- more episodes of Nikita?" There is plenty of anecdotal evidence that when it comes to ratings the syndication gods make some demands that to mere mortals like me seem pretty crazy. But Nikita ratings style  C-R-A-Z-Y?!

That's a reasonable question and one that I'm pretty curious to learn the answer to myself. While I'm not as comfortable as Bill,  because of syndication I wouldn't have Nikita as likely or certain to be canceled  either. I definitely wouldn't bet any money Nikita will be canceled, but I'm not sure I'd bet $5 it will be renewed either! I'd have it on the bubble.

I hope Nikita fans won't hate me, but I'm kind of rooting for a 0.1 A18-49 rating just to see @TheCancelBear squirm...or perhaps go crazy and ride a tricycle!
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Show Network Renewal Status
Private Practice ABC Cancelled/Final Season
666 Park Avenue ABC
Last Resort ABC
Scandal ABC
Castle ABC
Don't Trust The B---- in Apt 23 ABC
Happy Endings ABC
Neighbors, The ABC
Nashville ABC
Middle, The ABC
Suburgatory ABC
Revenge ABC
Grey's Anatomy ABC
Once Upon A Time ABC
Modern Family ABC
Made In Jersey CBS Cancelled
Partners CBS
CSI: NY CBS
Good Wife, The CBS
Mentalist, The CBS
Vegas CBS
Elementary CBS
CSI CBS
Criminal Minds CBS
How I Met Your Mother CBS
Two and a Half Men CBS
NCIS CBS
Hawaii Five-0 CBS
Blue Bloods CBS
Person Of Interest CBS
Mike & Molly CBS
NCIS: LA CBS
2 Broke Girls CBS
Big Bang Theory, The CBS Renewed
Gossip Girl CW Final Season
Hart Of Dixie CW
90210 CW
Emily Owens, M.D. CW
Nikita CW
Beauty And The Beast CW
Arrow CW
Supernatural CW
The Vampire Diaries CW
Fringe FOX Final Season
Mob Doctor, The FOX
Ben & Kate FOX
Mindy Project, The FOX
Bones FOX
Raising Hope FOX
Cleveland Show, The FOX
Glee FOX
New Girl FOX
Bob's Burgers FOX Renewed
American Dad FOX Renewed
Family Guy FOX Renewed
Simpsons, The FOX Renewed
30 Rock NBC Final Season
The Office NBC Final Season
Next Caller NBC Cancelled
Animal Practice NBC Cancelled
Up All Night NBC
Guys With Kids NBC
New Normal, The NBC
Chicago Fire NBC
Go On NBC
Law & Order: SVU NBC
Parks & Recreation NBC
Revolution NBC
Parenthood NBC
Grimm NBC
 
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  • Pepper

    I’d bet money on Nikita being cancelled at this point – if no one is watching now, who will watch in syndication? If by some miracle it gets renewed, it’ll probably be moved to summers.

  • Hugh

    At this point a 0.1 seems unlikely. HALF the 18-49 viewers would have to stop watching.

  • Norman

    I don’t know about production schedules but I wouldn’t be surprised if ANTModel is moved to a March debut and the rest of Nikita isn’t held till summer. If it somehow gets and order to get it into syndication it will definitely be a summer run.

  • vikrammangat@yahoo.com

    WB recent history to syndication Fringe, Chuck.
    But there’s ABC last year with Cougar Town, getting canned.

    We are all just guessing with so limited data.

  • Nick

    @vikrammangat

    But there’s ABC last year with Cougar Town, getting canned.

    What? Cougar Town was not canned!

  • Noel

    Like I said before, Nikita has an audience outside, in Puerto Rico it is shown in a local channel and it has way better ratings than these. They started showing now Season 2, where as Vampire Diaries was released there season 1, but later cancelled because of poor ratings. Every market is different.

  • Tom

    I was forecasting 0.2s this year for Nikita… but that was at 8pm and deep into Spring, not episode two!

    Still, I’m not sure anything can kill the fourth season order. Absolute worst case, CW starts it in January of ’14 (after fall shows have died) at 8pm on Fridays and airs it straight into Summer.

    (And yet it could start in Fall. BATB looks tenuous for renewal, GG is over, EOMD is DOA, Cult audience puns write themselves, and who knows if the CW audience cares about their mothers’ show in Carrie Diaries.)

  • Elena

    @Brandy, Nikita has still had the best performance of any show following TVD. And it has something that most CW shows don’t, critical acclaim. It did better than expected when paired with Supernatural (and Nikita was the lead), so I really do think that it’s a matter of putting it on at the right time with the right show. It doesn’t have to worry about losing the small audience it has because that audience is made up mostly of fans who will follow it to a different night.

  • mediatvref

    There’s a direct reason for the syndication Gods “begging” for Nitaka to do well. Two words: International syndication.

    When I went to Australia for a study abroad, I was channel surfing and was beyond SHOCKED what I saw on TV. We’re talking 1, 2 season-long series: Dollhouse (which has been on for years, apparently), Ringer, The Glades, A Gifted Man, Terriers. I could go on. I wrote a paper about it.

    And although this is silly on CW’s part, let’s look at it internally: do they really have anything in the inventory that could do better? Recently history says they never do.

    It’s tough being CW, but holding on the Nikita maybe helpful if it means getting the “bigger” money in syndication in the US and, more importantly, overseas, which will translate into higher production values and better shows….we can only hope.

  • Brandy

    Elena, actually SPN had best retention of VD.If Nikita did so great after VD, they wouldntve moved it for underperforming.

  • ZmaX

    With those terrible numbers for Nikita, I’m sure it would do as good if not better in syndication on another network like FX, TNT, or SyFy. A 6 year old re-run of Charmed’s series finale at 8am on TNT got 0.791 viewers and a 0.3 rating(love that show btw). The CW just doesn’t have the viewers :/

  • Bern

    As long as Nikita is making good Blu-ray/DVD sales, internet streaming, buying episodes at Amazon.com/iTunes and is doing good internationally. The CW will not cancel Nikita.

  • TheEmulator23

    I love @TheCancelBear! From @theEmulator23

  • TheEmulator23

    @Bill And the other Guy. If TV is anything like movies, Foreign Box office matters more. 72% of “Expendables 2″ Gross is Foreign. They don’t mind seeing crap w/old 80′s action stars.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    That tricycle picture is just priceless.

  • Anthony

    @Bill And the other Guy. If TV is anything like movies, Foreign Box office matters more. 72% of “Expendables 2? Gross is Foreign. They don’t mind seeing crap w/old 80?s action stars.

    It’s not at all the same. With movies the studios take home approximately the same percentage of the gross with international and domestic. With tv, the US networks pay the majority of the fees and the international markets get it for way cheaper. Thus why American ratings matter more (because you have to keep your primary funding source happy).

  • Alan

    Six pages full of delusional Nikita fans. I can see it getting renewed for a summer season, but I just feel bad for the fans. They are still fighting to make this show popular again but it’s not happening. It sank way too fast. It doesn’t have good ratings or good DVD/Blu-Ray sales. Just check the numbers on Amazon, and compare them to any other CW show sales.

  • Alan

    And even Nikita, which is a “young” show compared to GG and 90210, shows that have practically been on The CW since the beginning of the network. Even HoD that has strong competence is still holding pretty well.

  • Googly

    There is a video on YouTube and Maggie Q acknowledges the low ratings for her show in the U.S. She went on to thank the international community for saving her show for S3. It’s pretty pathetic. That being said, if she does so well in China (over 1 billion served) then she needs to go to China to do her version of lip sync acting because here in the states, Maggie as THE STAR equals epic fail. I saw the last episodes of S2 and it really seems that she always has that split second of thinking about how to act that will never make her really good at it. The actress on Emily Owens is Meryl Streep’s kid. Let’s see who has more clout at the CW in the months to come, Meryl Streep or China.

  • A. Udinov

    Nikita didn’t have good ratings last season, so they OBVIOUSLY care about other factors aside from that.
    And they didn’t do anything to help the show get better ratings this season, so they OBVIOUSLY care about other factors aside from that.

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