Renew/Cancel Recap: The Syndication Gods Must Be Crazy...About Nikita!?!?

Categories: Bubble Watch

Written By

October 28th, 2012

This week there were no renewals or cancellations announced for any of the broadcast network's scripted shows (but Showtime announced a third season renewal of Homeland if you just can't stand not having any renewal news). While not renewals, CBS gave full season “back nine” orders for Elementary and Vegas.

In last week's Renew/Cancel Index for ABC on Tuesday, Nashville fell to a toss-up, but the good news for Nashville fans is rating stabilized for its third episode.

Woefully Rated 'Nikita' Is Likely To Be Renewed; Wait, WHAT??!! (Redux)

Bill appropriately titled last Tuesday's Renew/Cancel post for CW with The Bold text above. The conventional wisdom is that once Nikita was picked up for a third season it would be shepherded along to at least a fourth to get to 88 episodes for syndication purposes. Granted, conventional wisdom doesn't usually involve shows as low-rated as Nikita, but it's not like Nikita's ratings were any good last year either and while CW execs probably hoped for the best with the changes to the Friday night lineup, it surely knew that there was a good possibility the ratings would get worse than last year.

But then the preliminary ratings for Friday came out -- a 0.2 adults 18-49 rating (yes, that could be adjusted up to a 0.3 in the finals -- woot!) prompting questions like:

"is woefuller a word?"

It also begs the question of "just how crazy are the syndication gods that they would demand -- d-e-m-a-n-d -- more episodes of Nikita?" There is plenty of anecdotal evidence that when it comes to ratings the syndication gods make some demands that to mere mortals like me seem pretty crazy. But Nikita ratings style  C-R-A-Z-Y?!

That's a reasonable question and one that I'm pretty curious to learn the answer to myself. While I'm not as comfortable as Bill,  because of syndication I wouldn't have Nikita as likely or certain to be canceled  either. I definitely wouldn't bet any money Nikita will be canceled, but I'm not sure I'd bet $5 it will be renewed either! I'd have it on the bubble.

I hope Nikita fans won't hate me, but I'm kind of rooting for a 0.1 A18-49 rating just to see @TheCancelBear squirm...or perhaps go crazy and ride a tricycle!
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Show Network Renewal Status
Private Practice ABC Cancelled/Final Season
666 Park Avenue ABC
Last Resort ABC
Scandal ABC
Castle ABC
Don't Trust The B---- in Apt 23 ABC
Happy Endings ABC
Neighbors, The ABC
Nashville ABC
Middle, The ABC
Suburgatory ABC
Revenge ABC
Grey's Anatomy ABC
Once Upon A Time ABC
Modern Family ABC
Made In Jersey CBS Cancelled
Partners CBS
CSI: NY CBS
Good Wife, The CBS
Mentalist, The CBS
Vegas CBS
Elementary CBS
CSI CBS
Criminal Minds CBS
How I Met Your Mother CBS
Two and a Half Men CBS
NCIS CBS
Hawaii Five-0 CBS
Blue Bloods CBS
Person Of Interest CBS
Mike & Molly CBS
NCIS: LA CBS
2 Broke Girls CBS
Big Bang Theory, The CBS Renewed
Gossip Girl CW Final Season
Hart Of Dixie CW
90210 CW
Emily Owens, M.D. CW
Nikita CW
Beauty And The Beast CW
Arrow CW
Supernatural CW
The Vampire Diaries CW
Fringe FOX Final Season
Mob Doctor, The FOX
Ben & Kate FOX
Mindy Project, The FOX
Bones FOX
Raising Hope FOX
Cleveland Show, The FOX
Glee FOX
New Girl FOX
Bob's Burgers FOX Renewed
American Dad FOX Renewed
Family Guy FOX Renewed
Simpsons, The FOX Renewed
30 Rock NBC Final Season
The Office NBC Final Season
Next Caller NBC Cancelled
Animal Practice NBC Cancelled
Up All Night NBC
Guys With Kids NBC
New Normal, The NBC
Chicago Fire NBC
Go On NBC
Law & Order: SVU NBC
Parks & Recreation NBC
Revolution NBC
Parenthood NBC
Grimm NBC
 
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  • TheSearchForSock

    Nice TRYcycle! And the picture with the BEAR is great. just kidding!

    I’m confused though. What’s the difference between “final season” and “canceled” apart from the former being two syllables longer than the latter?

    Thanx in advance and keep up the good work.

    signature: I am and always shall be your FIEND…hahaha!

  • Kippa

    I think Nikita will be canceled

  • Lucas

    BUMMER NIKITA ISN’T GOING WELL BUT THIS NEWS JUST MADE ME SO VERY HAPPY I CAN’T EXPLAIN WITH WORDS… OMG, NIKITA IS SUCH AN AWESOME SHOW!

    Ok, done freaking out. I really hope for more of Nikita.

  • Michael

    The question remains, what is considered “too low” for the CW? 0.2 is pretty much rock bottom, IMO.

  • Tom

    @ TJeff For what’s it’s worth, I found a pretty decent article on syndication in the Wikipedia: Here’s the link:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Broadcast_syndication

  • Mae

    Am I the only one who cannot read the “Renewal Status” on the chart?

    I see Renewed, Final Season, and Cancelled status’ but nothing else…most of the “Renewal Status” column in blank.

  • JJA

    Maggie Q gave an interview last year and said they could tell the full Nikita story in just 3 seasons. Also, consider that Veronica Mars only got 3 seasons (64 total episodes). Of course Nikita can be canceled after 3 seasons.

    Still, they could just renew Nikita for 8-13 episodes, thus bringing the total number to 75-80 (roughly the same number as the original StarTrek, and SyFy’s BattleStar Galactica and Eureka). They can easily do Syndication with that many episodes.

    Who knows?? Nikita may end-up in syndication on SyFy.

  • Mari

    Considering that Don’t Trust The B, Happy Endings, Neighbors and Nashville are all in higher positions than Castle, this table must be indeed in random order.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    Once again for the retarded, the studio is not just aiming for syndication in the US, they’re aiming for syndication in the overseas markets where they can run this show for the next ten years in one market after another. A little bit of money per year over ten years adds up.

    And whatever US audiences think of this show, it’s irrelevant to the international audience whose tastes are quite different. And as I said, anything with Maggie Q in it is dynamite in Asia and will probably do well in South America as well. What part of three hot babes in this show (plus Helena Mattsson in season two) don’t you people get?

    The only reason the show isn’t doing well on the CW is because.,.well…it’s the CW. Only two shows (and now Arrow) do ANY good on the CW: TVD and Supernatural. And those two shows are superbly done compared to most of the fare on the rest of the networks. And yet they do barely .7-1.0. So it’s no surprise that the one well-done action show, which is out of the “teen stroke”/horror genre, doesn’t do that well.

    Everyone thought Ringer was going to rule – until it tanked even worse than Nikita did last season. If it was running this season, it would be doing .2-.3. The difference is Ringer really was unmitigated pointless crap.

  • thesnowleopard

    @Richard Steven Hack

    There is nothing “retarded” about ignoring the international factor. For one thing, we have no figures on how popular Nikita may be outside the U.S. or in which countries. For another, domestic and international viewers are not directly proportional. It takes many international viewers to make up one domestic viewer. For a third, the network usually makes little to nothing on international deals the studios make for their programs, so that profit is a fraction of a fraction. This has been explained many times, already, on this very site.

    We do not know how much Nikita makes outside the U.S., either for the network or its studio. We don’t know if that amount offsets the pathetic domestic ratings.

    Also, you seem to be confusing current income from international distribution with the future goal of syndication (which usually means, at least initially, only domestic rebroadcast). Those are not the same things. Bill and Robert’s theory is that the prospect of income from future syndication is sufficient, once a show has reached a third season, to carry it another two seasons automatically (though no farther). It’s probably a version of the idea that most blockbuster movies eventually make back their money, however great the flop, through DVD sales and rentals, and TV broadcast, etc. That doesn’t mean they believe the show is surviving because it’s a ratings beast in Asia. In fact, they’ve both mocked that claim at various times.

    I think, at this point, even Nikita fans need to entertain the possibility that the show does poorly, not because the TV audience is stupid or because the CW is lame, but because the show itself doesn’t interest very many people and perhaps just isn’t very good.

  • Joseph

    @Richard Steven Hack

    How dare you trash Ringer!!! that show was supposed to be huge! it was a nice drama/thriller full of twists!!

  • herpderp

    @Joseph

    Lol. “Supposed to be” are the key words here. If you’re show was so good, it wouldn’t have been canceled. Plus, SMG got pregnant again. That’s the main reason, really. Ringer fans are in such denial. I swear, it’s like they’ve teamed up with TSC fans with the collective stick up their asses.

    TSC and Ringer sucked. Come at me, butthurt fans.

  • Tom

    @ herp I’m a TSC and Ringer fan, but I’m not going to throw you anymore bait about TSC to troll with. However, I doubt if most people would argue that Ringer was unfairly cancelled. The storyline was too slow moving and I suspect most viewers just got tired of waiting for something to happen. Judging by the posts on this site, many posters are more interested in trying to understand the motivation behind the apparently illogical programming decisions Pedowitz et al. are making. If you can decipher what’s going on at the CW, then please enlighten us. Personally, I have recently stopped watching the CW. That’s because there simply isn’t enough happening there to justify investing the time.

  • herpderp

    @Tom

    Who’s trolling? Your shows got canceled and you can’t let them go.

  • Ardnaskela

    I hope that it will be season 4 of Nikita.
    I really like this show (:.
    And cancel Supernatural – too many season,
    other good shows are cancelled, but not this one..
    Where’s the justice??

  • Martine

    But Supernatural has terrible ratings too. So does everything on the CW including Arrow. The only show they should keep is Vampire Diaries. Can’t they get a few shows that do better then .8? The shows are so badly written, the acting so poor its hard to call it real tv.

  • Martine

    It makes some sense tht the shows on the CW would do well in places where they don’t speak English. if I didn’t understand the dialogue, i think I would like the shows much better too.

  • Grand

    @martine
    Have you read about Arrow ratings? they doing just great.

    I hope Nikita will get renewed for 4th season. i don’t care if they aired it on fall or summer.

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