CW: 'Emily Owens, M.D.' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 30th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-October 28, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Nikita (F) :) :) :) :) 0.34
Emily Owens, M.D. :cry: :cry: 0.54
Gossip Girl final season 0.54
90210 :| :| :| 0.63
Hart Of Dixie :| :| :| 0.77
Beauty And The Beast :| :| :| 1.12
Supernatural :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.18
Arrow :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.66
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.88

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Ratings for freshman drama Emily Owens, M.D. started low, and went even lower in its second week. It's now likely to be canceled.

How can Nikita with absolutely "look away" bad ratings be "likely to be renewed"? The pull of a fourth season for syndication purposes is one of the strongest forces in the TV universe. Read more about it here.

Because the folks at the CW seem to like short final seasons for their veteran shows, 90210 could be renewed for a 13 episode final season next year, even with its terrible ratings, that's why it's just a "toss up" for cancellation or renewal. They could certainly re-ealuate their penchant for short final seasons if schedule time next season gets tight though. Read more about it here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Dahne

    @Moe – Even the Cancellation Bear thinks Supernatural is safe for renewal. His tweet:

    “Q: Thoughts on SUPERNATURAL? A: Renewal as certain as the bear can be”

  • James

    The Cw 2013-2014 Schedule

    Monday
    90210 (Final Season)/ METROPOLIS(new series)
    The Carrie Diaries

    Tuesday
    ABADDON’S JOURNAL(new series)/ The SELECTION(new series)
    Supernatural

    Wednesday
    Arrow
    AMAZON(new series)

    Thursday
    The Vampire Diaries
    EMBRACE (new series)

    Friday
    Americas Next Top Model
    Hart of Dixie

    MIDSEASON/SUMMER: ANTM(next cycle), NIKITA, The Hundred(new series).

    (not including summer reality)

  • Moe

    Thanks, RS and Dahne!!! I appreciate the words of encouragement! I think the ratings seem to be pretty damn good by the CW standards, but then that talk of older shows/financial concerns kind of worried me. But yea, the ratings seem to indicate a renewal and if even the hungry Bear is like “nah, I’m not getting my chomps on that one,” it gives me hope :-) Thanks!

  • Cody

    Yeah, a lot of things going good for SPN to continue:

    1) Ratings have been, on average, higher than last season through 5 episodes (hopefully it continues!)
    7×01: 2.01 8×01: 1.85
    7×02: 1.80 8×02: 2.51
    7×03: 1.72 8×03: 2.13
    7×04: 1.69 8×04: 1.86
    7×05: 1.92 8×05: 1.78

    2) CW President loves the show.
    3) New Showrunner (doubt they would have gone through the trouble if this was the last season – and at ComicCon he said he had a plan to get through S10)
    4) Main cast has signed through S10.
    5) It wasn’t announced as the ‘final’ season, which the CW loves to do.

    I think the issue of the show costing more because it’s older is lessened since the main cast isn’t as big as most shows and there’s syndication deals that help cover costs that ad sales don’t.

  • Jon

    I have to admit I am really starting to like The Emily Owens show. I thought the pilot was a bit tedious at times, and was wondering if the show was just going to be a show about catfights, gossip and sexual innuendos. I like where the last couple episodes have gone, especially this weeks episode. You really do start to care about Emily and its heartwarming to see how well she cares about her patients. I really do hope the show lasts long enough to find an audience.

  • Mickey

    @Restless

    Also, I saw this in an older thread, but people please don’t label shows as ‘for guys’ or ‘for girls’ and then claim the guy shows appeal to a broader audience than girl shows. That sounds rather sexist.

    The thing is, all prime time live action shows have more female viewers than male viewers. The only recent exceptions have been 24, Chuck and Fringe. The experts here at TVBTN say the reason for this is because men watch more sports and play more video games.

    So the way I see it, when it is said a more male-oriented show has a broader audience, it means it appeals to male viewers almost as much as female viewers and has a more even split between the two.

    For example, Supernatural is the most male-oriented show on the CW (unless Arrow has overtaken it), and it has a ratio of 1.27 female viewers to 1 male viewer. On the other end of the spectrum, ANTM is the most female-oriented show, and it has a ratio of 3.5 female viewers to 1 male viewer.

    So in that sense, Supernatural is more of a “guy show” because it attracts a lot more male viewers than ANTM, but it “appeals to a broader audience” because it also appeals to female viewers in fairly equal proportions. It wasn’t meant in a sexist sense. I think “guy show”
    just meant “has more male viewers,” rather than “deals with subject matter directed specifically at men.” The subject matter appeals to both genders, but it’s called a “guy show” because compared to most other shows it has more male viewers.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “The thing is, all prime time live action shows have more female viewers than male viewers. The only recent exceptions have been 24, Chuck and Fringe. The experts here at TVBTN say the reason for this is because men watch more sports and play more video games.”

    Here’s the post Mickey is referring to from Spring, 2010, of course Chuck and 24 are gone, and its possible a newer show has more male than female viewers, but the overall trend is the same.

    http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2010/04/28/ladies-night-few-broadcast-primetime-shows-draw-more-men-than-women/50011/

    We however did not say “the reason for this is because men watch more sports and play more video games.”

    It’s true that TV sports has more male than female viewers, but to say that’s the reason more women than men watch live action scripted shows is silly.

    As for video games, I have no idea where that came from.

  • Mickey

    @Bill

    Oh sorry, I read that somewhere else and confused it with the TVBTN article.

    However, I did read it somewhere, but now I have no idea where it was.

    I don’t think it’s silly though. If both men and women devote say, 10 hours a week to watching TV, and men spend 5 of those hours watching sports, that’s fewer hours left over for scripted live action shows. Whereas, say women on average watch two hours of sports, that’s eight hours left over for watching scripted live action shows. (Completely fictitious numbers of course, just to illustrate what I mean.)

    Same with video games. If you have a finite number of hours to spend in front of the TV set, the more of them you spend playing video games, the less of them you spend watching shows.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I don’t think it’s silly though. If both men and women devote say, 10 hours a week to watching TV, and men spend 5 of those hours watching sports, that’s fewer hours left over for scripted live action shows. Whereas, say women on average watch two hours of sports, that’s eight hours left over for watching scripted live action shows. (Completely fictitious numbers of course, just to illustrate what I mean.)

    Same with video games. If you have a finite number of hours to spend in front of the TV set, the more of them you spend playing video games, the less of them you spend watching shows.”

    Silly may have been the wrong word.

    How about, completely unsupported by any data I’ve ever seen.

  • ChadCronin

    Ok Bill, so if Nikita is gonna make it to a 4th season, why didn’t Veronica Mars. I loved that show much more and it seemed to have a stronger fanbase. I know it was a few years ago, but using the 3rd year rule for Syndication, it’s cancellation made no sense unless it was new network politics bs (aka see Reba)

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Ok Bill, so if Nikita is gonna make it to a 4th season, why didn’t Veronica Mars. I loved that show much more and it seemed to have a stronger fanbase. I know it was a few years ago, but using the 3rd year rule for Syndication, it’s cancellation made no sense unless it was new network politics bs (aka see Reba)”

    Sadly, Veronica Mars predates this site and so I have no knowledge of the specifics of the situation other than, as you note, it was canceled after 3 seasons. But also as you note, 6 years is a very long time in the TV business.

  • Mickey

    @Bill

    How about, completely unsupported by any data I’ve ever seen.

    Fair enough. I’ve been trying to remember where I read it, and I think it may have been in a comment posted here when someone brought up the TVBTN article you linked to above (which would be why I associated it with that TVBTN article.)

    However, even without hard data, it makes sense to me. We know men watch more sports and play more video games, it’s logical that leaves less time to watch tv shows.

    It reminds me of a line from Gilmore Girls. Rory is at Lane’s apartment and they’re playing with her roommates’ video games. Rory stops suddenly and says: “So this is what the boys are doing now instead of watching TV. If you ask me, seems like a lateral move.”

  • Melanie

    Regarding Veronica Mars — I think at that time the magic syndication number had not yet dropped to 88 episodes. So Warner Brothers & the CW were looking at two more seasons of a very low rated drama at a time when they were building the new network. Nobody should rag on Ostroff for that one — the ratings for VM were bad on UPN but it made the cut to move to the CW for the third season – she tried retooling but the ratings didn’t go up.

    It seems to me and I could be wrong, that the 88 for syndication became more prevalent after the 2008 Writer’s Strike.

  • ChadCronin

    @Melanie, I think the # of episode expectations have gone down as the ratings have gone down. I wonder if there will be more shows now cut after only 3 years if the money they would make wouldn’t be worth it.

  • Adam Decker

    I like this show. It’s sad that it’s doing the worst of all the shows on this network. I mean, really, who watches all their worthless remakes?

  • Bobby C

    I love Emily Owens and proud of it! :)

  • Dejah

    I never heard of this show I hope they don’t cancel it before I get my
    big chance to watch it.

  • Anthony C.

    CW 2013-2014 Fall Schedule

    Mondays:

    8:00pm- Hart Of Dixie
    9:00pm- The Carrie Diaries

    Tuesdays:

    8:00pm- The Hundred (New Series)
    9:00pm- Supernatural

    Wednesdays:

    8:00pm- Arrow
    9:00pm- Sleepy Hollow (New Series)

    Thursdays:

    8:00pm- The Vampire Diaries
    9:00pm- Embrace (New Series)

    Fridays:

    8:00pm- Misfits (New Series)
    9:00pm- 90210(13 Episode Final Season)/The Selection(New Series January 2014)

    Midseason or Summer Series:

    America’s Next Top Model (Summer)
    Electropolis (New Series)
    Reign (New Series)

  • Bill Don.

    NO! it’s a nice comfortable show to watch. i like the characters. dump something else.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    Kavyn: “Despite being a Nikita fan, I think it would be ridiculous to renew an American show based on it’s popularity in China.”

    Actually, it could make great sense if Nikita is as popular as has been said. Reruns of the show for X years could make it profitable. We also don’t know how well it’s doing in other countries, the total of which in reruns might make it profitable. We just don’t know the calculations being made at the studio.

    We – and possibly the studio as well – also don’t know whether those calculations are correct. Bad business decisions are made by companies all the time. :-)

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