Updated: Predict the Ratings for the Premieres of 'Last Man Standing' and 'Malibu Country'

Categories: Broadcast TV

Written By

November 2nd, 2012

Update: Last Man Standing's season premiere drew a 1.9 adults 18-49 rating and 7.84 million viewers and the series premiere of Malibu Country scored a 2.2 adults 18-49 rating and 8.9 million viewers in the preliminary Nielsen numbers

Tonight ABC is attempting to bring back the glory days of its 1980s and 1990s  TGIF line-up of family friendly multi-camera comedies with the premieres of Last Man Standing and Malibu Country. Can Tim Allen and Reba fill the Olsen Twins tiny shoes? Was it a bad idea to move the night's biggest hit Shark Tank to 9PM?

Last season, Last Man Standing premiered to a strong 3.6 adults 18-49 rating on Tuesday October 11, 2011. The ratings for the May 8, 2012 season finale fell to a 1.7 among adults 18-49.

Reba is a popular actress whose previous sit-com on the WB, Reba, made it to syndication. But ABC's other country music themed show, Nashville, has been a mediocre performer despite a ton of promotion. The lower ratings for last night's CMA Awards don't seem like a good omen.

Make your predictions then explain your reasoning in the comments.

 

 

 

 
  • omabin

    1.6 for LMS and 1.8 for reba

  • Samunto

    I think will premiere well.
    LMS 2.1
    MC 2.2

    or at the very least a 1.9-2.0 for each. LMS will do a 2.0 i expect.

  • Chris

    People predicting high ones baffels me. LMS averaged a 2.5 last year. Most of its ratings were on par with The Middle’s ratings. I predict 2.5 for Last Man Standing and about the same for Malibu Country.

  • Matt

    Last Man Standing – 2.1 / 7.1M
    Malibu Country – 2.0 / 6.9M
    Shark Tank – 1.9 / 6.9M

  • Oliver

    @Chris

    That’s a bit misleading, because Last Man Standing’s average is heavily skewed by early episodes. Its last four episodes got 1.8, 1.7, 1.5 and 1.7.

    On top of that, shows usually get lower ratings on Friday than on other days of the week because less people watch TV on Friday.

  • Brian

    2.0 Last Man Standing
    1.9 Malibu Country

    Some sampling going on this week with NBC running the telethon. Next week, we’ll see how well they’ll do.

  • Oliver

    Good point on the telethon, I forgot about that. I bet that hurts the premiere ratings.

  • david

    I said 1.8 to 1.9 for Last Man Standing. and i said 2.0 for Malubo County. I would love them to do well for ABC. I grew up watching the TGIF block.

  • the_troubke_with_the_truth

    I’m calling it at least a 2.3 to 2.5 for Malibu Country. reba has a lot more younger fans than you think. I’m 28, and let’s not forget all the devoted country fans who sip tune in also. I think more country fans will tune into this than Nashville, since a real country singer plays in it! Go Reba!

  • Chris

    @Oliver I have a site of all the ratings from its first season. I can assure you it never got a 1.5. It’s last 5 episodes got high ones. The rest of the season was 2′s. The last five episodes was also during the spring and it was coming off os two big breaks in between. I remember pulling out a calculator and averaging the ratings. Trust me, it was 2.5. Look it up for yourself if you don’t believe me.

  • TeeVeeViewer

    Why on earth is “Last Man Standing” still on the air? It’s yet another unfunny network sitcom with idiotic characters, bad writing, and a studio audience that seems to laugh wildly at every alleged joke. It makes Allen’s “Home Improvement” seem like Shakespeare by comparison.

  • senor chang

    Everything works in these two shows’ favor: they’re highly compatible, have no comedy competition on the night, and have been very well promoted. Anything below high 1s for either show would be disappointing.

  • Survivor Fan

    I really enjoyed both. The Conservative surrounded by Liberals aspect is so funny. I can relate to that, as (at least socially), I am one of only a few Conservatives in my school.

  • Greg
  • rob60990

    1.7 for LMS
    2.0 for MC

  • Hugh

    Last 2.0
    MC 1.8

    Thats the up side

  • Chris

    @greg every show dropped in the spring. The Middle got a 1.9 it’s last couple weeks. LMS still averaged a 2.5. Now look at these ratings:

  • Oliver

    @Chris

    I have a site of all the ratings from its first season. I can assure you it never got a 1.5.

    You’re wrong. Last Man Standing got 1.5 in 18-49 on May 1, 2012.

    It’s last 5 episodes got high ones. The rest of the season was 2?s. The last five episodes was also during the spring and it was coming off os two big breaks in between.

    LMS ratings collapsed in late Spring. There may be a bunch of reasons for it, but it’s still true. There’s no good reason to assume its ratings will return to earlier levels, especially when ratings tend to fall year-on-year and LMS has the lower-viewed Friday timeslot to contend with.

    I remember pulling out a calculator and averaging the ratings. Trust me, it was 2.5. Look it up for yourself if you don’t believe me.

    The average rating is meaningless, especially for a new show.

    For example, Up All Night averaged 1.8 last season. This season it’s averaging 1.3. There’s no reason to think LMS couldn’t have a similar drop.

  • Oliver

    Incidentally, I’m not even saying LMS won’t get 2.0+, I’m just saying it’s completely absurd to criticise people for thinking otherwise.

  • Chris

    @greg every show dropped in the spring. The Middle got a 1.9 it’s last couple weeks. LMS still averaged a 2.5. Now look at these ratings: 3.5, 3.8, 3.1, 2.8, 2.7, 2.6, 2.6, 2.7, 2.4, 2.7, 2.2, 2.4, 2.2, 2.6, 2.3, 2.5, 2.2, 2.3, 2.2, 1.9, 1.8, 1.6, 1.5, 1.7. Looks like you were right about the 1.5 but all the shows. I couldn’t post the website.

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