ABC: 'Don't Trust The B---- In Apt. 23' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 6th, 2012

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 4, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23 :cry: :cry: 0.57
Happy Endings :| :| :| 0.63
Private Practice canceled 0.64
666 Park Avenue :oops: 0.65
Last Resort :oops: 0.69
Scandal :| :| :| 0.79
Last Man Standing (F) :) :) :) :) 0.79
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.82
The Neighbors :| :| :| 0.85
Nashville :| :| :| 0.85
Malibu Country (F) :) :) :) :) 0.91
The Middle :) :) :) :) 1.00
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.35
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.45
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.92

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Sophomore sitcom Don't Trust The B---- In Apt. 23 didn't start well this season, and its ratings completely tanked in its second episode. If it weren't for hurricane Sandy, the 1.2 rating last week would have made it "certain to be canceled". As it is, I'll wait for one more week's ratings before dropping it there.

Since Sony (and ABC) are likely to move heaven and earth to get a fourth season for Happy Endings somewhere, even with it's terrible ratings I'm moving it to just "toss up". May the syndication gods have mercy on the Cancellation Bear's soul.

Last Man Standing and Malibu Country both had nice premiere ratings for a Friday, and are currently "more likely to be renewed than canceled", but early predictions can change rapidly with new results. Stay tuned.

The mediocre rated 10pm dramas Nashville and Scandal could be either canceled or renewed by the end of the season. Similarly rated Castle, already syndicated, is more likely to be renewed than canceled. Read more about that here.

Rookies Last Resort and 666 Park Avenue are both certain to be canceled by the end of the season. They're doing worse than Pan Am did last season, but better than Charlie's Angels. For that reason, I still expect each to air 13 (+/- a few) episodes before assuming their final resting place in the belly of the cancellation bear. Read more about that here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • David Howell

    Might one say that syndication counts as a shelter of some sort for protection from the bear? You could still be closer to the bear, but be a harder target!

  • crispy

    Even without the big ratings, I think ABC is aware that Happy Endings is really popular and gets a lot of critical acclaim so I don’t see it going anywhere just yet. All these younger skewing shows like Happy Endings, Community (and most of the NBC comedies) all have obvious fanbases but don’t necessarily do that well in the neilsen ratings, obviously younger people that watch these shows do a lot of their watching online.

  • omabin

    ABC and its wrong schedule. They need a major rehaul next year. But I think midseason might not even be too son for it to start. I think they should really try the young comedies at Wednesday at 10 and that they should give the post Greys slot to the similar skewing Nashville and the post revenge slot to the similar skewing scandal. We could argue for other moves, but these are the top priority for me right now. I also think they need to do something about tuesday very soon, that night is caotic. I think the only way to survive that night as it stands is go against the NCIS demographic (the older skewing one) and just conceed the young demographic to the nbc-fox battle. It may not be gold with advertisers as new girl is, but it’s better than nothing – i am sure cbs has been doing just fine over the years.

  • A very true TV fan 1986

    ABC needs to cancel 666 Park Avenue and move Nashville to Sundays. I think that Nashville is perfect for being on Sundays instead of Wednesdays.

    Sunday (central time)
    6:00 America’s Funniest Home Videos
    7:00 Once Upon A Time
    8:00 Revenge
    9:00 Nashville (new time)

    Good idea, everybody?

  • prison

    Possible ABC Mid-season schedule:

    Monday

    8:00 The Bachelor/Dancing With the Stars
    10:00 Castle

    Tuesday

    8:00 How to live with your parents…/Dancing With the Stars: The Results
    8:30 The Family Tools/DWTS: The Results
    9:00 Happy Endings
    9:30 Don’t Trust the B— in Apartment 23
    10:00 Body of Proof

    Wednesday

    8:00 The Middle
    8:30 The Neighbors
    9:00 Modern Family
    9:30 Suburgatory
    10:00 Red Widow or Zero Hour

    Thursday

    8:00 Zero Hour or Red Widow
    9:00 Grey’s Anatomy
    10:00 Scandal

    Friday

    8:00 Last Man Standing
    8:30 Malibu Country
    9:00 Shark Tank
    10:00 20/20

    Sunday

    8:00 Once Upon a Time
    9:00 Revenge
    10:00 Nashville

  • James

    Possible 2013-2014 schedule

    Sunday
    7PM-AFHV
    8PM-OUAT
    9PM-Revenge
    10PM-new drama series

    Monday
    8PM-DWTS
    10PM-Castle

    Tuesday
    8PM-DWTS
    9PM-Suburgatory
    9:30PM-new comedy series
    10PM-Nashville

    Wednesday
    8PM-The Middle
    8:30PM-The Neighbors
    9PM-Modern Family
    9:30-new comedy series
    10PM-new drama series

    Thursday
    8PM-Zero Hour or Red Widow (1 renewed one cancelled)
    9PM-Greys Anatomy
    10PM-new drama series

    Friday
    8PM-Last Man Standing
    8:30PM-Malibu Country
    9PM-Shark Tank
    10PM-20/20

  • Daniel

    You would think that ABC had learned last season that taking a fairly successful show and moving it to Tuesday didn’t work. Would’ve been a better idea to move Modern Family, and stick something with it. Especially since they only stuck one new sitcom on Wednesdays! They repeat the same mistakes time and again (Ugly Betty, Cougar Town).

  • Nick

    @crispy

    Even without the big ratings, I think ABC is aware that Happy Endings is really popular and gets a lot of critical acclaim so I don’t see it going anywhere just yet. All these younger skewing shows like Happy Endings, Community (and most of the NBC comedies) all have obvious fanbases but don’t necessarily do that well in the neilsen ratings, obviously younger people that watch these shows do a lot of their watching online.

    Fan Excuse Bingo alert!

  • Brandy

    I like Nashville,but it’s a bubble show.

  • Oliver

    ABC have scheduled an episode Shark Tank for Tuesday 8pm on December 7, presumably to see well it does on Tuesday.

    If it does well, then they could keep Shark Tank on Tuesday 8pm as a lead-in to Happy Endings/Apt 23.

    Assuming TGIF continues to perform, then ABC could expand the block by putting the family-friendly and tonally-compatible Neighbors/Family Tools at 9pm Friday at mid-season.

    They could then move Suburgatory back between The Middle and Modern Family and launch How To Live With Your Parents after MF.

    So you have:
    Tuesday
    8pm: Shark Tank
    9pm: Happy Endings/Apt 23

    Wednesday
    8pm: The Middle/Suburgatory
    9pm: Modern Family/How To Live With Your Parents

    Friday:
    8pm: Last Man Standing/Malibu Country
    9pm: The Neighbors/Family Tools

    I think that would be a really smart and coherent schedule.

    Two snags: a lack of replacements if one or more of the comedies fail, and ABC would need to find a slot for their scheduled Friday edition of Nightline (ABC’s Thursday 8pm death slot, perhaps? Bump out 20/20? Reclaim Saturday?).

  • Oliver

    *December 4, sorry.

  • Michael

    How in the world is Neighbors doing better than Apt 23? Apt 23 is as funny as happy endings and that’s not easy to do. Neighbors is weird and awkward and I normally like weird and awkward.

    I’m predicting the future here… Last Man Standing will lose one of those happy faces after this next episode dives in the ratings. Fans did not like the changes. I’ll never watch it again. My bet is it tanks over the next few weeks.

  • omabin

    @Oliver, I actually think that would be some very good moves. But I still hate the idea of the tuesday comedies being left to die against the similar skewing new girl and go on. I would move them to 10pm. So, let’s see… Incorporating those in the overall schedule, we would have:

    Monday:
    DWTS
    Castle

    Tuesday (just start from scratch, really. The whole night is a mess of genres and targets!):
    Shark Tank (just cancel the results show already)
    Red Widow
    Mistresses

    Wednesday
    Middle
    How to Live with Your Parents
    Modern Family
    Suburgatory
    Happy Endings
    Apartment 23

    Thursday
    Primetime: What Would You Do?
    Grey’s Anatomy
    Nashville

    Friday
    Last Man Standing
    The Neighbours
    Malibu Country
    Family Tools
    Body of Proof

    Sunday
    Once Upon a Time
    Revenge
    Scandal

    There is still Zero Hour. I guess they could waste it again on the Thursday at 8pm slot, but I hope they don’t. Reality filler is better there for the time being. Depends on the number of episodes it has, if it is just 7 like Scandal last year, some show could easily finish earlier to make room for it.

    Thoughts?

  • TVFanatic

    Happy Endings needs to move away from its Tuesday time slot if it wants to survive the season.

  • Nick

    @omabin

    You can’t just cancel DWTS Results!
    That’s changing the whole format of the show.

    A better idea would be to shrink it to 1/2 hour or to move it to daytime.

  • Lena

    Praying that Scandal stays on the air. I think these past couple weeks with Hurricane Sandy should not count. Scandal has a strong following. These weeks leading up to the holidays are kinda tough. I think Scandal will be around for a third season. Hoping Nashville will, too, but Nashville has a handful of characters that some people really dont care about. The blonde with the twangy voice. UGH! No one cares about her story line.

  • omabin

    @Nick,

    Why not? Just have the announcements coming up during a commercial break on tuesdays during red widow’s break. They don’t need the results show per se, they can just let you know the results. That results show really annoys me because it systematically keeps ABC from doing something with that night that is consistent. Last year they were actually on the right path with Last Man Standing, the results show and Bop. Unfortunately, Man Up was too weak and broke the whole thing, and of course Bop wasn’t that strong either. Than with Cougar Town (which I lvoe to heart btw) and the river they were back to the same old mess. They have to udnerstand that they either go old-skewing, after CBS’s audience (which is attainable, despite whatever you want to tell me, last man standings’s numbers from last fall prove that), or they go young skewing after fox’s audience (which in my view is not such a good idea for tha tnight). But a mixed thing doesn’t work, at all.

  • Mari

    This is why Castle will have another season: ‘Castle builds Disney profit’ http://www.c21media.net/archives/92555

  • Ultima

    @ombain
    Thoughts?

    You’re missing the Friday newsmagazines and there’s no way that ABC is not going to run the DWTS results show in the spring.

  • Babygate

    I will be happy if they cancel Apt. 23. In addition of it not being funny at all, it is crass and completely unappealing, in my opinion. Not one person in that cast is remotely likeable or funny. I think it is a dark spot in the line up. Happy Endings is not very funny at all either but the cast is very likeable so that gives them an advantage. As far as Scandal is concerned, I doubt it will be cancelled, especially when they got an order for extra episodes. Besides, as much as I dislike Shonda or Kerry Washington and her overacting chops, the show is actually very, very good. Although last night’s episode surprised me because it was so predictable. Castle will not be cancelled. It may not be strong in the demo but it gets the most viewers. Bye bye Last Resort and Park Ave.

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