FOX: Could 'The Mindy Project' Be Canceled Along With 'Ben & Kate'?

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 6th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 4, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) final season 0.48
The Mob Doctor :oops: 0.58
Ben And Kate :cry: :cry: 0.75
Raising Hope :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.85
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.95
The Cleveland Show :) :) :) :) 1.01
Bones :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.10
American Dad already renewed 1.13
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.32
Family Guy already renewed 1.51
The Simpsons already renewed 1.70

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Last week's plunge to a 1.5 rating for The Mindy Project raises the question of whether it might be canceled along with Ben And Kate. It certainly could, and that rating gets it  dropped to a "toss up" for cancellation or renewal.

Fox's The Mob Doctor is still certain to be canceled even if, as seems likely now, it airs through the month of November, and beyond!

Raising Hope is predicted as "certain to be renewed" even with its somewhat weak early ratings. While the syndication gods ruling Fox aren't quite as predictable as those ruling CBS, it would take nothing short of a cataclysm to prevent the show from getting a fourth season. Read more about it here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Jeff (Canada)

    I think in order to save face, Fox will hold off on canceling Mindy Project until it sees how ALL of its freshmen shows this year do (so they can avoid canceling them all, they’ll give Mindy a pity renewal since it’s doing the bets of all the new shows).

  • Jeff (Canada)

    ^’Best’, not ‘bets’.

  • Brian

    As long as Glee is running with good ratings and keeps up the high notes, I’m good :)

  • Tommy

    My only concern with “Raising Hope” being a shoe-in for season 4 because of syndication is the fact that FOX hasn’t even bothered to release a second season DVD of the series. What can the syndication money look like if there isn’t even an interest to release the episodes on disc?

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I think in order to save face, Fox will hold off on canceling Mindy Project until it sees how ALL of its freshmen shows this year do (so they can avoid canceling them all, they’ll give Mindy a pity renewal since it’s doing the bets of all the new shows).”

    Don’t get me wrong, there’s no chance that Mindy gets canceled/pulled off the schedule prior to the end of the season. None.

    The only question is whether it comes back next season.

  • Greg

    Of the three new comedies, I expect FOX to renew only one, unless they do some weird programming and decide to create a comedy hour on Fridays or hold one of the comedies to premiere after the last episodes of The X Factor. I’d say the battle is between Mindy and The Goodwin Games and if TGG premieres after American Idol, then that’s the one it gets renewed (no way it does worse than what Mindy and Ben and Kate are doing currently).

  • Nope

    as long as RAISING HOPE gets renewed, everything looks good

  • Ricky

    As long as RH rises up to #2 sitcom on Fox like last season, things will be all rainbows and honey.

    One game down, four to go: http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2012/10/09/play-the-elimination-game/152342/comment-page-34/#comments

  • THE OLD MAN

    Save the Mob Doctor & cancel everything else! (Just kidding) Think Mindy & Ben will not see Sept 2013 (OK) and Mob Doctor.

  • Jared

    FOX pretty much ruined there entire Fall lineup. I personally couldn’t care less what’s renewed or cancelled.

  • TVDude

    I expect TMP to be renewed regardless of its poor performance. It has better reviews and Fox does sometimes make odd decisions that keep low rated shows on despite the fact they’re not going in syndication. They do think long term, so syndication does play a roll (Raising Hope and The Cleveland Show come to mind), but they also look at how the rest of the schedule is doing and how they think it will do next season.

    So unless it dives below B&K, I think it’ll be renewed for the purpose of saying “we renewed something”.

  • Matthew Thomas

    It really seems like Fox learnt nothing from New Girl’s ratings fall last year. NG was getting 4s in the demo before baseball and its erratic schedule permanently put it on a lower ratings path.

    Similarly the erratic schedule for The Mindy Project also seems to have killed any momentum the show might have had (the third episode did maintain a the exact 1.9 rating of the second episode).

    Fox really needs to look at some solution to avoid these problems next year. Maybe premiering their comedies later might help?

  • Ultima

    @Matthew Thomas
    Fox really needs to look at some solution to avoid these problems next year. Maybe premiering their comedies later might help?

    FOX is moving the ALCS/NLCS to one of their cable networks.

  • Alan

    @MatthewThomas
    Similarly the erratic schedule for The Mindy Project also seems to have killed any momentum the show might have had

    I completely agree, and I am sick of the networks doing this. They premiere a new show with big hype, air it 2 or 3 times and then it disappears for weeks on end and nobody can find it or know when its on. And because it is new, the fans are not loyal enough to stick around. And then oh big surprise when it fails to catch on.

    The networks are doing nothing to foster and grow its comedies. They get put on hiatus for weeks, they come back for 1 or 2 episodes, then leave again, etc.

    ABC killed Cougar Town by continually putting it on hiatus, stopping, starting, etc.

    And now ABC is killing Happy Endings when it put on hiatus and killed its momentum from fall 2011.

    Maybe American TV should learn from the Brits and run a show continuously for only about 3 months at a time but every week without fail.

  • C Whitty

    There does appear to be rating erosion for some of Seth’s animated comedies, truly shown with Family Guy’s disintegration, I recall a few years back it handily beating The Simpsons

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Maybe American TV should learn from the Brits and run a show continuously for only about 3 months at a time but every week without fail.”

    Should we have a TV tax too?

  • Red Jane

    The Mindy Project (as a show) is getting better rather than worse (funnier, better secondary characters etc.) even if the ratings dipped last week (Halloween effect perhaps?) so I am betting that ratings will improve and it will get renewed.

    Most new shows this season have been horrid esp. comedies so Mindy looks good in comparison…

  • Alan

    Should we have a TV tax too?

    Not sure I see the connection.

    I think that it’s a uniquely American TV traits to bounce shows around the schedule, put them on hiatus for weeks on end, confusing the viewers, not knowing where to find a show on the schedule, having endless re-runs, overly long seasons (22 episodes or more), etc. Living in Canada and having lived in Europe, most places in the world run TV shows for about 8-15 episodes a time every week with no reruns or hiatuses.

  • Jon

    No tears will be shed if Mindy goes the way of the bear. Quite honestly it’s ratings are so similar to Ben&Kate, it’s pretty hard to say they would keep one and not the other. In my opinion Ben and Kate is much funnier, but its hard for any new show to gain traction against NCIS and dances results show

  • Sarah

    I hate asking here, but does anyone know last night’s half-hours for Bones?

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