FOX: Could 'The Mindy Project' Be Canceled Along With 'Ben & Kate'?

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 6th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 4, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) final season 0.48
The Mob Doctor :oops: 0.58
Ben And Kate :cry: :cry: 0.75
Raising Hope :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.85
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.95
The Cleveland Show :) :) :) :) 1.01
Bones :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.10
American Dad already renewed 1.13
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.32
Family Guy already renewed 1.51
The Simpsons already renewed 1.70

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Last week's plunge to a 1.5 rating for The Mindy Project raises the question of whether it might be canceled along with Ben And Kate. It certainly could, and that rating gets it  dropped to a "toss up" for cancellation or renewal.

Fox's The Mob Doctor is still certain to be canceled even if, as seems likely now, it airs through the month of November, and beyond!

Raising Hope is predicted as "certain to be renewed" even with its somewhat weak early ratings. While the syndication gods ruling Fox aren't quite as predictable as those ruling CBS, it would take nothing short of a cataclysm to prevent the show from getting a fourth season. Read more about it here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Nick

    8-15 episode seasons are unproductive for the networks for a few main reasons:

    A) Some expenses, such as I believe studio rental costs are priced by season. Producing a big season is half the price of 2 little seasons.
    B) They now have to have double the shows, which means they’ll have to pick up lots of flop pilots.
    C) [THE MOST IMPORTANT] A show needs 88 episodes for syndication. It’s either 4 years or ~8 years, and the networks would much rather choose the former. [Note: The studios generally produce a show at a loss in hopes of securing a syndication deal that would pay back their investment. There would be twice the number of times a show would have to secure a renewal and no one wants to take that chance]

  • Nick

    Fox 2013-2014 schedule:

    Mon-
    8: Bones (full final season)
    9: Gun Machine (new)/ Untitled Wyman/Abrams project (new)
     
    Tue-
    8: Raising Hope
    8:30: The Goodwin Games/ Live From Our Living Room (new)
    9: New Girl
    9:30: Wendy & Peter (new)

    Wed-
    8:  X Factor/ Idol

    Thu-
    8: X Factor/ Idol
    9: Glee (12 episode final season)/The Following

    Fri-
    8: Kitchen Nightmares
    9: Touch

    Sat-
    8: Fox Sports Saturday

    Sun-
    7: The OT/ Cops
    7:30: The OT/ The Cleveland Show
    8: The Simpsons
    8:30: Bob’s Burgers
    9: Family Guy
    9:30: American Dad

  • Richard Steven Hack

    Not watching anything on Fox this season except the terminally bad Fringe final season, so…yawn…

  • Alan

    @Nick

    I have since revised my proposal that shows instead run a solid fall season, 10 episodes from Sept-Nov and then a 12-episode spring season from Feb-May. In between, the networks can run short-run reality shows (Secret Millionaire, Fear Factor, etc) and Christmas specials.

    Anything is better than 2 episodes on, 3 weeks off, hiatus, 2 episodes on, 3 weeks of reruns, timeslot change, hiatus, on off on off. That is no way to build an audience to even get to syndication

  • LoriB196

    Glee will get a full Season 5, it’s one of the few shows FOX can count on. Bones as well. FOX would be crazy not to renew it for a full season.

  • MDM

    I don’t think either will be canceled. I will probably be wrong.

  • Khan

    With all the hype Mindy got, the ratings for the Mindy Project are beyond pitiful… And I really done blame the viewers… the show is really annoying

  • Joe

    FOX should really try slotting Ben and Kate in Mindy’s slot for a week to see how it does. It’s doing the same as Mindy in a much worse, much more competitive timeslot so maybe it could do better in the cushy post New Girl slot.

  • a p garcia

    I wouldn’t mind if these 2 losers feed “The Bear”.

  • Sarah

    @LoriB196

    “…Bones as well. FOX would be crazy not to renew it for a full season.”

    I kinda really wish they would renew it for a final season by January. I know it won’t happen, but I just don’t want it to get the “House” treatment. That would really suck. :(

  • madbengalsfan85

    @Sarah…Bones more than likely getting one more season. The reason House didn’t is twofold. First, FOX didn’t produce House, NBC Universal did so FOX had to pay NBC for the show. Bones is produced by FOX so it’s cheaper for the network. Secondly, Hugh was in the final year of his contract and didn’t want to continue with the show. Doesn’t apply to Bones since last I checked, David and Emily were both in negotiations for a 9th season.

  • Sarah

    @madbengalsfan85

    Oh, okay. That makes more sense now. That said, I would still like to know for sure sooner rather than later so I can relax. If they wait until the last minute, like most previous seasons, it’ll drive me crazy. I just want to have time to come to terms with it and say goodbye.

  • AJ

    “Could ‘The Mindy Project’ Be Cancelled Along With ‘Ben and Kate’?”

    One can only hope.

  • bros

    IMO FOX should reshuffle their tuesday schedule. Since Mindy Project keeps dropping, they should try New Girl at 8, B&K at 8:30, RH at 9, MP at 9:30

  • Nick

    @bros

    Why ruin New Girl & Raising Hope’s success by switching timeslots? And New Girl is way too inappropriate for the family hour. A better schedule would be RH-Mindy-New Girl-B&K

  • dryr

    Mindy is worse than B&K. It has better ratings due to The Office Attraction. The star doubled in weight during that show and it was brought up in this one in the same comedic climate as the rest of the show, awful…

  • Oliver

    Hopefully B&K gains in January when it isn’t up against The Voice.

  • C Whitty

    @TerryJacksonNYC

    Only the BBC is Government funded (Channel 4 is no longer I believe) therefore ITV, Channel 4 and 5 do require programmes to make profits alongside advertising

  • Gwen

    Got to be said neither show deserve to come back both very weak shows

  • Noelle

    Well, FOX’s scheduling hasn’t helped any of the new series’, to be quite frank. Three week wait, one episode, then two week wait. On top of that, Hurricane Sandy knocked off a chunk of viewers on the east coast for the Halloween episode.

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