NBC: 'The New Normal' Is Likely To Be Renewed, Despite Its Anti-Fans

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

November 6th, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 4, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
30 Rock final season 0.67
Up All Night :cry: :cry: 0.71
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.78
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.91
Parks & Recreation :) :) :) :) 0.92
Chicago Fire :| :| :| 0.92
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.98
Law & Order: SVU :) :) :) :) 0.98
The New Normal :) :) :) :) 1.04
The Office final season 1.13
Go On :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.43
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.80

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Since its premiere, the ratings for freshman sitcom The New Normal have bobbed right around the NBC scripted show average each week, and because networks almost always renew their average rated shows, it's been likely to be renewed all along. Interestingly, the show has generated more than its share of anti-fan wailing in our comments and on Twitter. As to why, your guess is as good as mine.

My guess is that at current ratings levels NBC makes no decision on Chicago Fire until the end of the season, where, highly dependent on spring ratings for all NBC dramas, it could still go either way. Read more about that here.

Up All Night and Guys With Kids are both "likely canceled". Recent ratings moves have put both shows in a similar ratings range, and likely a similar fate. The seemingly desperate move by NBC to add five multi-cam episodes of Up All Night to the season order doesn't change it's prognosis, only a multi-cam ratings miracle would do that.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Brian

    Grimm and Revolution are the only shows I watch. As long as they’re ratings are great, I’m good :)

  • Owen

    “The show has generated more than its share of anti-fan wailing in our comments and on Twitter. As to why, your guess is as good as mine.”

    Homophobia.

  • Tommy

    Way to go “The New Normal”!

    I really don’t understand the hate that is associated with the show. Yes it can be an acquired taste and possibly not appeal to 100% of the country, but obviously enough people are enjoying it.

  • Jessica

    Actually, I like the new normal, and I know that it is pretty regular, normal show, it’s not wow, but it isn’t crap neither, give it an opportunity :)

  • taylor

    @Owen

    I’m sure that’s the case for some people, but I personally just find the show to be absolutely terrible.

  • Justin121

    Guys With Kids and Chicago Fire will be renewed.

    You heard it here first.

  • Owen

    @Taylor

    Oh, I don’t like it either. But you and I aren’t actively trolling it and rooting for its fail. It’s those people I wonder about…

  • The Old Woman

    I like how Grimm is slowly creeping up the Renew/Cancel index. Grimm and Parks & Rec are the only 2 shows I watch on this network and they seem to be ok so far.

    Happy that New Normal is doing well even though I don’t watch it. Must be pissing off the hate groups like one million moms.

  • Ted Craig

    If homophobia were the reason people dislike the New Normal, Modern Family should be getting similar scorn. If anything, I’d suggest the show comes across with its own form of bigotry.

  • Nick

    I agree with Taylor as well….absolutely terrible show. Trying to appease the left as usual.

  • SG

    The New Normal has some funny stuff in it. It’s a shame that hate groups continue to speak loudly and end up deciding what we can and cannot watch in America.

  • Ricky

    @taylor: Agreed. It could almost be funny, if Ryan Murphy weren’t so heavy-handed with his messages and bizarro humor as usual. That’s why I like American Horror Story but none of his other material – messy exuberance works best in the horror genre, where it serves as comic relief. Comedies, by definition, don’t need messy comic relief. They need TRAGIC RELIEF! (Which, depending on how it’s used, might just be even more comedy – of a dark variety.) Huh.

    One game down, four to go: http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2012/10/09/play-the-elimination-game/152342/comment-page-34/#comments

  • Owen

    @Ted Craig It’s an interesting point you raise about Modern Family, and I’m tempted to agree. Except hate groups like One Million Moms weren’t raising a fuss about MF like they were TNN before even having seen it. Something else is going on here… Maybe it’s the fact that the show is also so preachy?

  • THE OLD MAN

    UAN is the given here, GWK should also, but seeing how it pairs w/ Whitney could tick it upward, then again, maybe not. Have all year to wait, so…

    UAN is the given here.

  • TVDude

    I think TNN will be renewed, but that doesn’t change the fact that it is lead in dependent and won’t be a building block for NBC. Go On might survive beyond its second season, but it’s not a strong as it should be.

    I personally like TNN, but I think the ratings speak for themselves that people aren’t really interested in it. It would be doing worse than Parks and Rec if it were on the Thursday block. Both shows will get renewed, but neither one screams “we’re turning this network around!” Revolution… maybe, but not TNN.

  • Terry

    Modern Family seems to be more subtle with its gay content and lacks the “gay agenda” that the New Normal seems to have. I’m a fan of both shows, but TNN does seem to be more aggressive in delivering the “gay is normal” message.

  • Greg

    The New Normal is atrociously bad, but I don’t care if it gets renewed or not. With 30 Rock and The Office ending and Parks & Recreation having an unfunny season so far, the only NBC show I care about is Parenthood.

  • Jared

    I don’t watch much on NBC but I’m Loving The New Normal. I don’t think NBC thought it would be some huge comedy because of the subject but it’s certainly holding its own.

  • Dan S

    TNN may see a 2nd season but a lot of people will still not be watching. My favs are all looking good, Grimm, RVN & P&R

  • Oliver

    Wait and see how GO/TNN perform when they have Betty White’s Off Their Rockers as lead-in rather than The Voice.

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