ABC: 'Last Resort' & '666 Park Avenue' Are Certain To Be Canceled, Why Are They Still On The Air?

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 13th, 2012

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 11, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23 :cry: :cry: 0.58
666 Park Avenue :oops: canceled 11/16 0.64
Happy Endings :| :| :| 0.64
Private Practice canceled 0.65
Last Resort :oops: canceled 11/16 0.68
Last Man Standing (F) :) :) :) :) 0.72
Scandal :| :| :| 0.79
Malibu Country (F) :) :) :) :) 0.80
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.82
Nashville :| :| :| 0.85
The Neighbors :| :| :| 0.86
The Middle
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
1.02
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.33
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.94

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11/16 Update: Last Resort & 666 Park Avenue were canceled.
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Rookies Last Resort and 666 Park Avenue are both certain to be canceled by the end of the season, why are they still on the air (along with Partners, The Mob Doctor and Emily Owens)?

Robert noted that the difference in the number of shows that have been yanked off the air isn't much different than last season. Why leave the losers on the air? The best guess is that economically it no longer makes sense for the networks to stock so many "extra" replacement shows, and any replacement options work out negatively for them even vs. airing a dead show. Sticking with the losers through 13 episodes is the economically less painful decision. That fans continue with hope for those failed shows isn't surprising, but if they followed the Cancellation Bear, they might save themselves some surprises.

In ABC's case, they have one veteran drama (Private Practice), and two failed rookies (Last Resort, 666 Park Avenue) that they didn't have the bench to replace early (nor could any early replacements have been marketed effectively). Instead of taking the rookies off the schedule early, as they did with Charlie's Angels, My Generation & The Whole Truth in recent years, they're leaving them on the schedule until they burn through their 13 episode orders (and may even get an extra episode or two like Pan Am did)

Sophomore sitcom Don't Trust The B---- In Apt. 23 didn't start well this season, and its ratings completely tanked in its second episode. If it weren't for hurricane Sandy, the 1.2 rating last week would have made it "certain to be canceled". As it is, I'll wait for one more week's ratings before dropping it there.

Since Sony (and ABC) are likely to move heaven and earth to get a fourth season for Happy Endings somewhere, even with it's terrible ratings it's going no lower than a "toss up". May the syndication gods have mercy on the cancellation bear's soul.

Last Man Standing and Malibu Country both had nice premiere ratings for a Friday, but were down sharply to a 1.6 and 1.7 rating in their second episodes. That's still "likely renewed" for a Friday show, but further declines threaten those predictions.

Even with full season orders for this season, ABC's mediocre rated 10pm dramas Nashville and Scandal could be either canceled or renewed by the end of the season. Similarly rated Castle, already syndicated, is more likely to be renewed than canceled. Read more about that here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • KJ Styles

    I’m bummed about Last Resort’s ratings. As I’ve said before, ABC needs to stop debuting new shows against The Big Bang Theory. Everything they have put against it has failed. Last Resort is hands down the best new show of the season and it’s going to be cancelled. Hell, it’s the 3rd best show on ABC period behind only Modern Family and Once Upon A Time.

    They need to put Grey’s Anatomy at 8pm Thursday next year. While it wouldn’t dethrone Big Bang, it would get respectable ratings as it has a strong fanbase. It would also provide a great lead in for the show that follows it.

  • KJ Styles

    @Bill Gorman-Anything’s conceivable, but the overwhelming likelihood is an abrupt ending with no “resolution”. People working on a new show are incentivised to behave as if it is going to continue forever, they have absolutely no incentive to “wrap things up”.

    ABC wrapped up No Ordinary Family and Missing, so I could see them doing the same with Last Resort.

  • Scifibookguy

    My favorite ABC shows are Castle, Don’t Trust the B—- in Apt 23, and The Neighbors. For some reason, my favorite 1/2-hour comedy shows for the past 20 years never seem to last :(

  • ian

    Hey guys I think I have a good midseason schedule for ABC

    Sunday
    8:00 Once Upon A Time
    9:00 Revenge
    10:00 Scandal

    Monday
    8:00 The Bachelor
    10:00 Castle

    Tuesday
    8:00 How to Live With Your Parents
    8:30 Family Tools
    9:00 Happy Endings
    9:30 Don’t Trust the B
    10:00 Body of Proof

    Wednesday
    8:00 The Middle
    8:30 The Neighbors
    9:00 Modern Family
    9:30 Suburgatory
    10:00 Mistresses

    Thursday
    8:00 Red Widow (Jan-Mar)Zero Hour (March-May)
    9:00 Greys Anatomy
    10:00 Nashville

    Friday
    8:00 Last Man Standing
    8:30 Malibu Country
    9:00 Shark Tank
    10:00 20/20

  • One @ Scifibookguy

    Maybe it’s because your favorite sitcoms are all dreck. Don’t Trust the Bunghole and The Neighbors certainly are.

  • William Haney

    I like 666 Park Avenue, it is very well made. I wish ABC would give them more of a chance since it is going head to head with Sunday Night Football.

  • Ultima

    @ian
    Hey guys I think I have a good midseason schedule for ABC

    You’re missing Wife Swap, Primetime and Nightline.

    I think it is unlikely that ABC will move its dramas around on the schedule (with the possible exception of Scandal).

  • ian

    @Ultima
    You’re probably right but I thought i’d guess. I definitely think Scandal will get moved to Sundays though

  • Ultima

    @ian
    I definitely think Scandal will get moved to Sundays though

    If they move it (they might not think anything else can do better out of Grey’s), I would guess Thursday at 8pm or Tuesday at 10pm are the likely destinations. It depends on where they want to put Red Widow (after Grey’s or after a 9pm DWTS results show or someplace worse).

    I’m sure they’ll try to put a new drama Sunday at 10pm (one of their better available timeslots and huge promotional platform via the Academy Awards). They can easily fit 13 episodes of Zero Hour into the 11 weeks they have available starting in March (two-hour premiere and one other double episode, plus an episode after an 8-10pm airing of their Hallmark MOW).

    They have a lot of filler available, so I’m guessing Mistresses will wind up in the Monday 10pm timeslot behind The Bachelorette.

  • Nick

    666 Park Avenue a.k.a. Smoke Monster Spin-Off, can die an uninspired death.

    Last Resort deserves a better home than network TV. This type of show is just too sophisticated for network viewers. Put it on AMC or FX and I assure you it would flourish.

  • Chris K

    Shame – I really enjoy 666 Park Avenue and Scandal. I watch Last Resort but can’t really see the premise lasting too long. I don’t understand the low ratings for these shows but who am I? I also enjoyed Pan Am!

  • Jude

    The Neighbors is the only show I have faithfully continued to watch. You really had to give it more than the first 3 episodes to really get it. Excellent writing that keeps us laughing throughout and I look forward to seeing it on Wed. nights.

    The others well, tired of them already.

  • JED

    “666 Park Avenue” should be moved, not cancelled. There is nothing, I respect – nothing – that will get them better ratings in that time slot. So why axe something good to just throw more money down an endless well? That said, I would move it for mid-season to Tuesday’s at 10pm (“Private Practice” to their slot and burn it off). It is too good a show not to work with it. “Last Resort” is also in a bad time slot – an action/drama at 8pm on a Thursday isn’t going to fly (rather sink). It should be also rescheduled for mid-season. “Zero Hour” is the only show (1 hour drama) that looks great from them waiting for mid-season. “Nashville” lost my interest after only three episodes. “B In 23″ is hilarious, but I think it would be better on Friday. ABC made it’s biggest mistake already in 2012 by not picking up “Devious Maids” (coming soon to Lifetime).

  • ian

    I actually believe mistresses will do well because Alyssa Milano is a really good actress and the show seems interesting

  • nightmare

    JUST CANCEL 666 PARK AVENUE NOBODY WATCHING THIS CRAP I MEAN IF THEY DID THEN THE RATING WOULD NOT BE IN THE TOILET

  • RS

    Someone mentioned “The Neighbors.” Takes me back to my childhood and “Monty Python’s Flying Circus” on the local PBS channel. I’m loving it.

  • TV Addict

    Modern Family and Don’t Trust the B—- are the only two shows that I am always guarenteed to laugh through an entire episode. It’s strange to see one on top, and one on the bottom.

  • Nick

    @KJ Styles

    I’m bummed about Last Resort’s ratings. As I’ve said before, ABC needs to stop debuting new shows against The Big Bang Theory. Everything they have put against it has failed. Last Resort is hands down the best new show of the season and it’s going to be cancelled. Hell, it’s the 3rd best show on ABC period behind only Modern Family and Once Upon A Time.

    They need to put Grey’s Anatomy at 8pm Thursday next year. While it wouldn’t dethrone Big Bang, it would get respectable ratings as it has a strong fanbase. It would also provide a great lead in for the show that follows it.

    Thank you! I agree whole-heartedly with every single word you wrote. :-D

  • Nick

    ABC 2013-2014 schedule:

    Mon-
    8: Castle
    9: Revenge
    10: Rise & Fall (new)

    Tue-
    8: Shark Tank
    9: SHEILD (new)
    10: Zero Hour

    Wed-
    8: The Middle
    8:30: Suburgatory
    9: Modern Family
    9:30: Now What? (new)
    10: Birthright (new)

    Thu-
    8: Grey’s Anatomy
    9: Burns & Cooley (new)
    10: Nashville

    Fri-
    8: Last Man Standing
    8:30: Crazy Gene (new)
    9: Malibu Country
    9:30: How to Live With Your Parents (for the Rest of Your Life)
    10: 20/20
     
    Sat-
    8: Shark Tank (R)
    9: Castle (R)
    10: Primetime: What Would You Do?

    Sun-
    7: AFHV
    8: OUAT
    9: Beneath (new)
    10: Body of Proof

  • Tony

    That’s too bad. Last Resort is a fantastic show, one of my favorites on air right now, and Andre Braugher is absolutely incredible on it.

    Do yourselves a favor, and watch it!! Please!!!

    (Yes, I know it’s futile, but it feels good.)

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