ABC: 'Last Resort' & '666 Park Avenue' Are Certain To Be Canceled, Why Are They Still On The Air?

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 13th, 2012

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 11, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23 :cry: :cry: 0.58
666 Park Avenue :oops: canceled 11/16 0.64
Happy Endings :| :| :| 0.64
Private Practice canceled 0.65
Last Resort :oops: canceled 11/16 0.68
Last Man Standing (F) :) :) :) :) 0.72
Scandal :| :| :| 0.79
Malibu Country (F) :) :) :) :) 0.80
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.82
Nashville :| :| :| 0.85
The Neighbors :| :| :| 0.86
The Middle
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
1.02
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.33
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.94

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11/16 Update: Last Resort & 666 Park Avenue were canceled.
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Rookies Last Resort and 666 Park Avenue are both certain to be canceled by the end of the season, why are they still on the air (along with Partners, The Mob Doctor and Emily Owens)?

Robert noted that the difference in the number of shows that have been yanked off the air isn't much different than last season. Why leave the losers on the air? The best guess is that economically it no longer makes sense for the networks to stock so many "extra" replacement shows, and any replacement options work out negatively for them even vs. airing a dead show. Sticking with the losers through 13 episodes is the economically less painful decision. That fans continue with hope for those failed shows isn't surprising, but if they followed the Cancellation Bear, they might save themselves some surprises.

In ABC's case, they have one veteran drama (Private Practice), and two failed rookies (Last Resort, 666 Park Avenue) that they didn't have the bench to replace early (nor could any early replacements have been marketed effectively). Instead of taking the rookies off the schedule early, as they did with Charlie's Angels, My Generation & The Whole Truth in recent years, they're leaving them on the schedule until they burn through their 13 episode orders (and may even get an extra episode or two like Pan Am did)

Sophomore sitcom Don't Trust The B---- In Apt. 23 didn't start well this season, and its ratings completely tanked in its second episode. If it weren't for hurricane Sandy, the 1.2 rating last week would have made it "certain to be canceled". As it is, I'll wait for one more week's ratings before dropping it there.

Since Sony (and ABC) are likely to move heaven and earth to get a fourth season for Happy Endings somewhere, even with it's terrible ratings it's going no lower than a "toss up". May the syndication gods have mercy on the cancellation bear's soul.

Last Man Standing and Malibu Country both had nice premiere ratings for a Friday, but were down sharply to a 1.6 and 1.7 rating in their second episodes. That's still "likely renewed" for a Friday show, but further declines threaten those predictions.

Even with full season orders for this season, ABC's mediocre rated 10pm dramas Nashville and Scandal could be either canceled or renewed by the end of the season. Similarly rated Castle, already syndicated, is more likely to be renewed than canceled. Read more about that here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • omabin

    I would do it like this come midseason:

    Mondays:
    DWTS
    DWTS
    Castle

    Tuesday
    Shark Tank
    Red Widow
    Body of Proof

    Wednesday
    The Middle
    How to Live with Your Parents
    Modern Family
    Suburgatory
    Happy Endings
    Apartment 23

    Thursday
    Winter Wipeout/ Wife Swap
    Grey’s Anatomy
    Nashville

    Friday
    Last Man Standing
    The Neighbours
    Malibu Country
    Family Tools
    Primetime: What Would You Do?

    Sunday
    Once Upon a Time
    Revenge
    Scandal

  • eridapo

    Based on results till 11/17/2012 (Friday’s are prelim)

    Show CI
    Don’t Trust the B— 0.55
    Happy Endings 0.62
    Private Practice 0.63 Canceled
    666 Park Avenue 0.66 Canceled
    Last Resort 0.67 Canceled
    Last Man Standing 0.69
    Malibu Country 0.73
    Scandal 0.83
    Castle 0.84
    Nashville 0.85 ( .80 excluding premiere)
    The Neighbors 0.87 ( .81 excluding premiere)
    The Middle 1.06
    Suburgatory 1.09
    Revenge 1.13
    Once Upon A Time 1.37
    Grey’s Anatomy 1.45
    Modern Family 1.98

  • jess

    I hope Nashville isn’t canceled. I personally think they will keep it because they will pull in extra income from the sale of the songs streaming and also the cd sales when the soundtrack comes out next month, so it’s an added incentive for the show to work out.

  • Alexis

    Last Resort is awesome!!! Can’t believe they cancelled it.

  • omabin

    I am curious. Do people think they will pull the plug on DWTS next fall? I think they should,’ but the problem is that they would need a bigger hit that could hold Mondays for them in order to do so and it does not look liek they will have one. Nashville should have been that show but it looks like if it gets renewed (which I am not betting on at this point) it will only be a very margina 10 pm performer, not more than that. The only other dramas capble of holding Monday that ABC has are Greys, but they wont move it, Once or Revenge. Revenge was just moved so I dont think they will do it again. Do you think they might try to make OUAT the Monday 9pm anchor? I would hate for the show to be moved, it’s perfect where it is, but I fear ABC may have this idea.

  • UncleRob

    Canceling “Last Resort” is another network nitwits mistake.
    It’s a far better show than half of the rest of the schedule.
    Too bad people never gave it a chance.
    I just don’t get it.

  • UncleRob

    How crap like “Nashville” and “Malibu Country” can still be hanging on while an excellent show like “Last Resort” gets canceled speaks to the mindset of the US TV audience.

    Easily amused nitwits.

  • Ultima

    @omabin
    I am curious. Do people think they will pull the plug on DWTS next fall?

    Possibly. However, I think it is unlikely they they will go with more than an hour of scripted content on Mondays (the last time they did that was 2003, well before DWTS).

    If they do decide to cut back on DWTS, they’ll probably cut it down to one cycle first – going with The Bachelor in the fall, DWTS in the winter, The Bachelorette in the spring, and a new reality competition in the summer (with the hopes that it does well and could eventually move to the regular season).

  • omabin

    @Ultima,

    That does make sense, yeah.

  • jeluckett

    I love Last Resort! As a home bound person, I don’t get much outside activity, but TV is what I do get. Last Resort is my favorite! Please reconsider.

  • JIMBOB

    NNNN

  • MommaLouKC

    And this is why I’m reluctant to watch ABC. You put 666 Park Ave on Sunday night up against news shows, HBO and Showtime dramas, and FOOTBALL! How do you expect it to get a following if you immediately cancel it. Guess what ABC execs… I cancel your station. I will not be watching anything on your network… Local or national. And I LOVE TV. To quote Red Forman “Dumb Ass”!!!

  • mary ann lynn

    please keep 666 park ave. on! it’s a highlight for my family on a sunday night>

  • mary ann lynn

    i wish they’d leave 666 park ave. alone.

  • rob

    I love 666 Park Avenue! What can I do to save it.

  • Robert Amsel

    I’m sorry to see 666 Park Avenue go, since it’s quality has gotten progressively better since it started. Last Resort has a fascinating premise but the artistic decision NOT to show the real villain of the piece, an American president, has helped sink it.

  • susan

    666 Park Avenue was one of the best new shows on TV! I don’t understand why people didn’t like it.

  • Kells

    666 Park Avenue is a great show, me and my friends have been hooked since the fist episode. You should reconsider renewing it

  • Carissa

    I think they should keep 666park avenue on its a great show with a great cast me and my mom love it and every week we cant wait to watch it. PLEASE KEEP IT ON

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