FOX: 'The Mob Doctor' Is Still On The Air, That Means It Still Has A Chance, Right?

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 13th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 4, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) final season 0.47
The Mob Doctor :oops: 0.56
Ben And Kate :cry: :cry: 0.75
Raising Hope :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.94
The Cleveland Show :) :) :) :) 1.00
Bones :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.11
American Dad already renewed 1.13
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.26
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
Family Guy already renewed 1.39
The Simpsons already renewed 1.65

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The Cancellation Bear is a pattern recognition predator. He watches what networks do and predicts they'll do the same thing again, and again, and again. When it comes to which shows will be canceled and which will be renewed that's proven very successful.

While the bear is very good at predicting which shows will be canceled by the end of the season, he's never been very good at picking the date on which shows might be yanked off the schedule early, and this season is no exception.

Two years ago when Fox's Lone Star, "Lone Star'd" its premiere rating (1.3) it was yanked after its second episode (which had a 1.0). This season, The Mob Doctor was nearly as woeful (1.5, 1.3, 1.0, 0.9, 1.0) and yet looks like it will air most or all of its 13 episode order before vanishing.

To answer the headline question, of course The Mob Doctor has no chance of airing more than 13 episodes, but the bear may be doing a bit more analysis after this season about the longevity for obviously dead shows.

Two weeks ago a plunge to a 1.5 rating for The Mindy Project raised the question of whether it might be canceled along with Ben And Kate. It certainly could, and its currently a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.

Raising Hope is predicted as "certain to be renewed" even with its somewhat weak early ratings. While the syndication gods ruling Fox aren't quite as predictable as those ruling CBS, it would take nothing short of a cataclysm to prevent the show from getting a fourth season. Read more about it here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Jeff (Canada)

    Cancel Mindy, Mob, and Ben & Kate. Hopefully The Following or The Goodwin Games can be better successes for them so they can say they renewed at least one of there new shows. Goodwin Games has a great shot at renewal compared to the other comedies because it has less time to fall.

  • Sarah

    I’m really starting to worry about Bones. :(

  • Dan S

    The Mob Dr has taken out a hit on the bear if it tries any funny business. At the very least it airs all 13 episodes before The Following takes over in Jan. Too bad Lonestar didn’t get the same consideration before getting yanked after only 2 outings.

  • Bob Saget

    I stopped watching Mob Doctor thinking it was going to be ripped 3 episodes in and now I feel bad because it was actually a decent show. It’s never too late to bring back House.

  • AppleStinx

    ‘The Mob Doctor’ is still outrunning ‘Gossip Girl’, isn’t it? :grin:
    The show doesn’t have as many “you must be kidding!” moments as, say, ‘Revolution’. And it has tempted me to carry a pair of needle-nose pliers and a flask of alcohol wherever I go, just in case…

  • Ricky

    Just kill off TMD already and save Fox a little misery.

  • Ricky

    And I’m still happy to see RH in the five smileys!

    Two more winners in two more days? It could be done! http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2012/10/09/play-the-elimination-game/152342/comment-page-43/#comments

  • Jay S.

    Bob, that’s the vicious cycle Fox created by cancelling so many of their new dramas in recent years. They start with weak ratings, get dropped, viewers start to assume Fox’s dramas are all doomed, so they don’t give the new ones a chance, leading to even worse ratings, etc.

  • DW

    unless they dump it , its on for the full 13.

  • glover

    I love all the tuesday comedies, I wish only Ben and Kate gets canceled.

  • Kevin

    Didn’t they shorten the episode order for the Goodwin Games? That doesn’t speak to any confidence that the network has so i wouldn’t expect that to have a better shot at renewal compared to these comedies.

  • Drew

    I’m just enjoying The Mob Doctor while I can, It’s one of my favorite new shows, but reality is at these numbers, I’m guessing the following will take it’s slot in jan. and we’ll maybe get an official cancellation in May.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    @Drew “I’m just enjoying The Mob Doctor while I can, It’s one of my favorite new shows, but reality is at these numbers, I’m guessing the following will take it’s slot in jan. and we’ll maybe get an official cancellation in May.”

    No need to wonder, The Following is taking TMD timeslot in January.

    http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2012/10/24/fox-announces-premiere-dates-for-american-idol-the-following-and-touch/154571/

    And no, there will be no official announcement, The Mob Doctor will simply vanish into the TV ether.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Bob, that’s the vicious cycle Fox created by cancelling so many of their new dramas in recent years. They start with weak ratings, get dropped, viewers start to assume Fox’s dramas are all doomed, so they don’t give the new ones a chance, leading to even worse ratings, etc.”

    Nonsense. The pattern’s not new, and it’s not unique to Fox.

  • a p garcia

    Fox uncancel Terra Nova!

  • Karen

    I love watching the Mob Doctor. It is one of my favorite series that is on this season. Maybe if they put it in a different time slot, the show ratings would do better. Will miss TMD when it is cancelled.

  • Jay S.

    @Bill Gorman – the pattern might not be new and it may not be unique to Fox, but it’s hardly nonsense.

    Fox Monday night dramas in recent years: Lone Star, cancelled. Lie to Me, cancelled. Chicago Code, cancelled. Alcatraz, cancelled. Terra Nova, cancelled.

    You can call it nonsense all you like, but if you don’t think that pattern makes some viewers think twice before give a new drama like The Mob Doctor a shot, you’re dreaming.

  • Nick

    Fox 2013-2014 schedule:

    Mon-
    8: Bones (full final season)
    9: Gun Machine (new)/ Untitled Wyman/Abrams project (new)
     
    Tue-
    8: Raising Hope
    8:30: The Goodwin Games/ Live From Our Living Room (new)
    9: New Girl
    9:30: Wendy & Peter (new)

    Wed-
    8:  X Factor/ Idol

    Thu-
    8: X Factor/ Idol
    9: Glee (12 episode final season)/The Following

    Fri-
    8: Kitchen Nightmares
    9: Touch

    Sat-
    8: Fox Sports Saturday

    Sun-
    7: The OT/ Cops
    7:30: The OT/ The Cleveland Show
    8: The Simpsons
    8:30: Bob’s Burgers
    9: Family Guy
    9:30: American Dad

  • Take A Chance

    Oh Yeah, Raising Hope Yeah

  • ars041

    @ Nick:
    Your schedule for next season will end up being way off because a 12 episode final season for glee I don’t think so. for one, glee is still Fox’s number 1 show, so they won’t end their top scripted show. Even though the ratings are a little low it is still Fox’s top dog. And even if they were to end it, for those that watch Glee, you can’t fit sectionals, regionals and nationals into 12 episodes. Sorry but if it does get a final season it will be a full season.

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