FOX: 'The Mob Doctor' Is Still On The Air, That Means It Still Has A Chance, Right?

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 13th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 4, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) final season 0.47
The Mob Doctor :oops: 0.56
Ben And Kate :cry: :cry: 0.75
Raising Hope :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.94
The Cleveland Show :) :) :) :) 1.00
Bones :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.11
American Dad already renewed 1.13
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.26
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
Family Guy already renewed 1.39
The Simpsons already renewed 1.65

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The Cancellation Bear is a pattern recognition predator. He watches what networks do and predicts they'll do the same thing again, and again, and again. When it comes to which shows will be canceled and which will be renewed that's proven very successful.

While the bear is very good at predicting which shows will be canceled by the end of the season, he's never been very good at picking the date on which shows might be yanked off the schedule early, and this season is no exception.

Two years ago when Fox's Lone Star, "Lone Star'd" its premiere rating (1.3) it was yanked after its second episode (which had a 1.0). This season, The Mob Doctor was nearly as woeful (1.5, 1.3, 1.0, 0.9, 1.0) and yet looks like it will air most or all of its 13 episode order before vanishing.

To answer the headline question, of course The Mob Doctor has no chance of airing more than 13 episodes, but the bear may be doing a bit more analysis after this season about the longevity for obviously dead shows.

Two weeks ago a plunge to a 1.5 rating for The Mindy Project raised the question of whether it might be canceled along with Ben And Kate. It certainly could, and its currently a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.

Raising Hope is predicted as "certain to be renewed" even with its somewhat weak early ratings. While the syndication gods ruling Fox aren't quite as predictable as those ruling CBS, it would take nothing short of a cataclysm to prevent the show from getting a fourth season. Read more about it here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “@Bill Gorman – the pattern might not be new and it may not be unique to Fox, but it’s hardly nonsense.

    Fox Monday night dramas in recent years: Lone Star, cancelled. Lie to Me, cancelled. Chicago Code, cancelled. Alcatraz, cancelled. Terra Nova, cancelled.

    You can call it nonsense all you like, but if you don’t think that pattern makes some viewers think twice before give a new drama like The Mob Doctor a shot, you’re dreaming.”

    I wasn’t arguing that people may be reluctant to start watching a show that might be canceled. Lots of people profess to act that way. I’m sure plenty of them *do* act that way.

    What’s nonsense is your contentions that canceling shows early is (a) something recent or (b) unique to Fox. Neither of those are true.

    All networks should suffer from the same “thinking twice” problem, since they all cancel shows early, and have been doing so for a very long time.

    Fox is only unique in the minds of bitter fans of shows that Fox has canceled.

  • Justin121

    Isn’t every show on FOX low rated?

    If you take out cartoons, Mindy Project is #4.

    Bones, #3, is at 1.9 rating.

    Glee isn’t far ahead.

    Mob Doc isn’t doing that badly.

    Ben, Kate, and Mindy could all be renewed.

  • ToXiX

    For anyone who has any hope or second thought that Mob Doctor will be renewed, I’m sorry but Mob Doctor is gone in January forever.

  • Dan C.

    I’ve noticed a bit of a pattern: Lone Star took Lie to Me’s place in the fall when it aired, and it ended up tanking. Lie to Me came back and started doing well again, being in the upper 1′s to low 2′s. FOX cancelled that, and tried different shows in the slot. All either failed and got canned, or survived and got moved (Touch was in low 1′s before the Friday move). My theory: Lie to Me started a death slot. That’s just the most logical answer.

    Here’s hoping The Following survives. Looks both scary and fun.

  • Jay

    Networks can’t cancel their entire lineups. There has to be a quality, thought-out show ready in the wings. Many mid-season replacements are not quite ready for primetime yet. Some shows on air will get replaced by shows that are in the works for fall 2013. Networks are a little more forgiving, however, because of the competition from cable, internet, dvr…
    but is the competition really all that bad? Some shows do well in syndication and/or on iTunes.

  • Jon

    @ garcia…..I’d love to see Terra Nova get uncancelled. It sure looks foolish that they cancelled it now when you compare the ratings it got versus what the mob doctor is doing

  • Jon

    I keep hoping Ben & Kate will pick up some traction. It is a pretty funny show, and my 2nd favorite new sitcom of the year.

  • Neh

    Glee should get cancelled.
    Too bad it won’t.

  • Jamie

    I believe that Glee and Bones are safe. Sure, their ratings have dropped alittle but there still the top shows on the network. All of the rest of the shows are getting barely passable ratings so to the person that was worried about bones..I’m not really too worried because the exec of the network routs for it and it is a top show whether the ratings have went down due to busy monday nights. I have a thought for the fox network..1 thing they can do to get a hit show back on track is ‘Move Bones back to Thursday’. On Thursday night it can deliver from 8-10 million viewers as it’s proven that they have for almost the whole series. Fox’s scheduling is their biggest problem. Yeah, Lets put our hit show up against everything that could massacre it. Seriously the decisions they make are stupid. Even if Glee really sucks this year without the normal cast it will still stay either until the creator decides to end it or until the ratings really go sour. A veteran show won’t get axed just for getting lower ratings. afterall, Look at Fringe. it’s been getting terrible ratings for a long time now but they still got renewed. I’m not a hater. I just recently watched the first season for the first time and I love it. But if Fringe can get those kind of ratings then I don’t think there should be any worry for shows like bones and Glee. I don’t know about next year. I look for Glee to get a full last season next year. I look for bones to simply just be renewed. My hope is that Bones can stick around for a tenth season as it is flawless this year. But if I were fox around midseason I’d move bones back to thursdays..Atleast get one hit back in it’s hour so it can win. If they don’t I fear that once bones and Glee do end that this network is gone. Doesn’t it seem like almost every show on this network has gotten either lower ratings or are up for cancelation. The only show on the network that is still getting some ratings is bones..and it’s consistent.

  • Josh

    I think Fox should uncancel Alcatraz. That show was phenomenal, hopefully The Following does well.

  • Jack Burton

    I think all this talk about Glee being cancelled at all is both hilarious and utterly brain dead. The show is pulling respectable ratings in one of the most brutal time slots on the schedule. It’s also putting up the same type of numbers historically that Bones has which is now in it’s 8th year. Oh, and it is a FOX production and secondary funds cash cow. Syndication is forthcoming and certain to bring in more cash. It still racks up the episode sales on I-Tunes all the while performing as FOX’s #2 scripted show in broadcast numbers. Add +3 & +7 numbers to that and it gets even better.

    Please someone explain what I am missing other than “hate” related stupidity that would make anyone assume this show is in any danger prior to Season 8 when it starts pulling 2.0 consistently.

    Hate on it all you want it is still going nowhere and certainly not before Bones which has one foot in the grave due to age and cost.

  • David

    The biggest problem FOX has is they only have 2 days to launch new drama.

    Monday clearly isn’t the place to start a new show and even though Bones gets good ratings that’s only because it was launched on Thursday originally.

    Tuesday is comedy night.

    Simon Cowell’s garbage takes up Wednesday.

    Thursday is full of more Cowell and Glee which can’t move now due to Tuesday full up.

    Then theres Friday. Ramsey is there along with Fringe then Touch.

    FOX can only start a new show Mon 9pm (depending on The Following’s success). Friday isn’t an ideal day to launch a new show but still, this is FOX…

  • Spyder

    So what I am hearing is the poor bear isn’t going to have anything to eat on Thanksgiving :(

  • Jonny C…. formerly Jon

    Why is this even a question anymore???

    We all know the Following is gonna replace it come January, it’s obivous all Fox is doing is burning it off until then.

    Btw, the Following looks really good, I hope it does well.

    “FOX can only start a new show Mon 9pm (depending on The Following’s success). Friday isn’t an ideal day to launch a new show but still, this is FOX…”

    Which is why i never understood Fox’s thought process when they debut Dollhouse on Fridays 3 years ago…

  • Holly

    @Jonny C,

    Why is this even a question anymore???

    Because Bill needed a headline.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Because Bill needed a headline.”

    Guilty. As. Charged.

  • Justin121

    LOL @ the one who thinks Glee be above 2.0 by season EIGHT!

    I guarantee you it’ll hit lower than 1.9 this season.

    Cancelled years before eight *eye roll*

  • C2012

    Keep The Mindy Project, it’s actually a good show! Just don’t premiere as many new shows next year…

  • C Whitty

    I view Glee as a programme in slow death throws due to

    A) Quality degradation which started prior to

    B) Viewer degradation

    Now the question is how many more episodes/seasons will the show survive.

  • Sarah

    @Jamie

    “…so to the person that was worried about bones..I’m not really too worried because the exec of the network routs for it and it is a top show whether the ratings have went down due to busy monday nights.”

    That was me. And I know it’s the top drama on the network and I shouldn’t worry, at this point, but I just want it to get a full final season. Plus, I really don’t want it to be moved to Fridays because it does NOT deserve that, IMPO.

    “I have a thought for the fox network..1 thing they can do to get a hit show back on track is ‘Move Bones back to Thursday’. On Thursday night it can deliver from 8-10 million viewers as it’s proven that they have for almost the whole series.”

    I really wish they would do that (especially for the 2nd half of this season), but it’s not gonna happen because they need a stable (or somewhat stable, depending on how you look at it) lead-in for whenever is on at 9.

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