Bubble Watch: ‘666 Park Avenue,’ ‘Last Resort’ and ‘Partners’ Cancellations Spur Nielsen Rage and Fan Campaigns

Categories: Bubble Watch

Written By

November 18th, 2012

 

CBS’s Partners was cancelled and removed from the schedule on Friday. Slightly softer exits for ABC’s 666 Park Avenue and Last Resort. Neither show got a back nine pickup, but both will get to air all of their episodes according to ABC. All three are marked “canceled” in the table below. None of them will be back next year.

Nobody who reads our site regularly should be surprised at any of those cancellations. They’d all been certain cancellations both here and in the Renew/Cancel Index for a while. In the case of the two ABC shows, they were. by wide margins the lowest-rated dramas that hadn’t already been cancelled (joining Private Practice). Similarly Partners was CBS’s lowest-rated comedy by a wide margin. Predicting those cancellations was akin to predicting that “water is wet” and “fire is hot.”

Another easy prediction: the Nielsen rage and fan campaigns that ensured in comments, e-mails, Twitter, Facebook, etc. While I’m not a believer in the fan campaigns, I’ll give them a very slight edge over Nielsen rage in terms of being worthwhile because they at least can give a person the illusion of doing something productive.  Still, I was amused by the EW story that quoted a “suit” as saying it amounts to “pissing in the wind.” But I'll take that over the "antiquated system" complaints, particularly the protests that Nielsen doesn't measure DVR viewing (it does!). But advertisers only pay for commercial viewing 3 days after shows air, and advertisers don't pay when the commercials get skipped/fast-forwarded during DVR playback.

No state-of-the-art measurement system is going to convince advertisers to pay for things they're not interested in paying for. But fans and TV networks can dream!

Don't Trust The B----, Happy Endings & The Neighbors

You can debate whether I did it on purpose or merely forgot to downgrade Don't Trust The B----to certain cancellation and Happy Endings to likely cancellation thiis week.  The B---- pulled some horrible, terrible, awful numbers on Tuesday, and Happy Endings wasn't much better.  Though Happy Endings is in its third season, because it's first season was only 13 episodes, it's going to need more than one more season to get to the 88 episodes necessary for Mon-Fri syndication.  But with Sony involved in its production, its relative ratings will have to get worse to get moved off the bubble.

As for The Neighbors, yep, I did merely forget to downgrade it to the bubble. I updated the text in the table, but the sorting and color is off. Next week...

Update: Bonus Forgetfulness

Yep, I forgot to add Whitney to the table even though it premiered on Wednesday. Because there's only one data point I'd have had it "on the bubble/too soon" this week anyway. It'll probably be there next week too since it's airing on Thanksgiving Eve...

When it comes to bubble status, like the Renew/Cancel Index we're focusing on the likelihood that a show will be renewed **for next season** (2013-14).  Certain shows are toss-ups where based on the ratings, the renewal decisions could go either way and not be surprising.

Here, “canceled” is used interchangeably with “won’t be renewed for next season” and is not meant to imply a show will be yanked off the schedule in the current season though obviously the two outcomes are not mutually exclusive. The semantics police and lawyers should feel free to break out the handcuffs and plead their cases in the comments. 

This Isn't The Renew/Cancel Index

Though the basic methodology is the same (intra-network relative ranking of shows by adults 18-49 ),unlike the Renew/Cancel Index which predicts what would happen if the season ended now, Bubble Watch prognosticates about what will happen by May. The two are still usually closely aligned, and almost certainly very closely aligned towards the end of the season.

Note: only scripted shows that have aired at least one episode this season are in the table below.

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Show Network Status
666 Park Avenue ABC Canceled
Last Resort ABC Canceled
Made In Jersey CBS Canceled
Partners CBS Canceled
Animal Practice NBC Canceled
tvbythenumbers.com
Emily Owens, M.D. CW Certain Cancellation
The Mob Doctor Fox Certain Cancellation
tvbythenumbers.com
Don't Trust The B---- in Apartment 23 ABC Likely Cancellation
Vegas CBS Likely Cancellation
Ben And Kate Fox Likely Cancellation
Guys With Kids NBC Likely Cancellation
Up All Night NBC Likely Cancellation
tvbythenumbers.com
Happy Endings ABC On The Bubble
Last Man Standing ABC On The Bubble
Malibu Country ABC On The Bubble
Nashville ABC On The Bubble
Scandal ABC On The Bubble
CSI: NY CBS On The Bubble
The Good Wife CBS On The Bubble
The Mentalist CBS On The Bubble
90210 CW On The Bubble
Hart Of Dixie CW On The Bubble
Nikita CW On The Bubble
Beauty And The Beast CW On The Bubble
The Mindy Project Fox On The Bubble
Chicago Fire NBC On The Bubble
tvbythenumbers.com
Castle ABC Likely Renewal
Neighbors, The ABC On The Bubble, Sorry About the Sort/Color
Suburgatory ABC Likely Renewal
The Middle ABC Likely Renewal
CSI CBS Likely Renewal
Elementary CBS Likely Renewal
Hawaii Five-0 CBS Likely Renewal
How I Met Your Mother CBS Likely Renewal
Two and a Half Men CBS Likely Renewal
Bones Fox Likely Renewal
The Cleveland Show Fox Likely Renewal
Law & Order: SVU NBC Likely Renewal
Parks & Recreation NBC Likely Renewal
The New Normal NBC Likely Renewal
tvbythenumbers.com
Grey's Anatomy ABC Certain Renewal
Modern Family ABC Certain Renewal
Once Upon A Time ABC Certain Renewal
Revenge ABC Certain Renewal
2 Broke Girls CBS Certain Renewal
Blue Bloods CBS Certain Renewal
Criminal Minds CBS Certain Renewal
Mike & Molly CBS Certain Renewal
NCIS CBS Certain Renewal
NCIS: Los Angeles CBS Certain Renewal
Person Of Interest CBS Certain Renewal
Arrow CW Certain Renewal
Supernatural CW Certain Renewal
The Vampire Diaries CW Certain Renewal
Glee Fox Certain Renewal
New Girl Fox Certain Renewal
Raising Hope Fox Certain Renewal
Go On NBC Certain Renewal
Grimm NBC Certain Renewal
Parenthood NBC Certain Renewal
Revolution NBC Certain Renewal
tvbythenumbers.com
The Big Bang Theory CBS Renewed
American Dad Fox Renewed
Bob's Burgers Fox Renewed
Family Guy Fox Renewed
The Simpsons Fox Renewed
tvbythenumbers.com
Private Practice ABC Canceled/Final Season
Gossip Girl CW Final Season
Fringe Fox Final Season
30 Rock NBC Final Season
The Office NBC Final Season
 
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  • Nick

    @John

    I have watched both Last Resort and Homeland. I like them both. I can tell you wihout a doubt that Last Resort is MUCH better than Homeland.

  • JT

    I do not like The Neighbors. I watched Don’t Trust…, but would not be a great lost if they cancel this (I would prefer they renew, but I am more concerne about another shows). I would be more sad if they cancel Happy Endings. I enjoy so much that comedy.

  • His Majesty O’Keefe

    How could Last Resort return for another season? Are we to suppose they can drag it out that long? It should have been 5 or 6 episodes in total to begin with

  • Richard Steven Hack

    Nick: “Last Resort is MUCH better than Homeland.”

    First, the two shows can’t be realistically compared as they’re entirely different.

    Second, the actors on Homeland are far and away better than the actors on Last Resort (although the latter are mostly decent, except for Daisy Betts – even Scott Speedman has gotten better since his earlier movies.)

    Third, the Homeland premise makes sense, while the Last Resort premise is wildly improbable.

    If Last Resort had spent more time on the conspiracy rather than the sub, it would have been much better and more comparable to Homeland.

  • Larry

    Who do you complain to, or is the viewing audience just this damn immature. I’m middle age, six figure income so demo’s work out. I usually watch sports more than anything else, but have been hooked on ‘Last Resort’, albeit by chance. Never got into it with the original advertising which may be the problem. Well written, fast moving, having to put some thought into it (probably the problem). I guess a real brain drain like ‘Big Brother’ is going to be renewed? Never cared enough to do this, but I’m pissed.

  • JW

    I know that we’ve seen the impending cancellation of Last Resort in the tea leaves for some time, but it still sucks. It’s not a perfect show, but it’s got a great concept and a great cast.

    The biggest thing against the show is that the pilot was so jam-packed full of story and “holy crap” moments that viewers were let down by the comparatively less exciting episodes to follow.

    If I were writing the show, I would have teased the end of the season and then started working forward. At least people would know where the show was going. I really liked the show, and it seemed like there was no continuity to it. Each episode was fine, but where was the show going? I think a lot of people felt lost watching this show.

  • Scott Moriningstar

    Please tell them to keep Chicago Fire great show. Sad about 666 being cancelled.

  • geri

    I agree with By The Numbers bubble watch with a few exceptions. I think that The Mentalist shold be moved to Tuesday night’s lineup if they cancel Vagas. I like the show, but The Mentalist is really good. Simon Baker’s edgy humor is hard to resist. It was a mistake to move it to Sunday.

  • P0tZ

    Gutted to hear 666 park avenue & last resort will be cancelled. I’d imagine there is high costs involved with last resort but why 666?
    We (me & my partner) have found 666 gripping TV & coming from the UK have a wide selection of “supernaturalism” to choose from but 666 & American horror story are the 2 best shows along with walking dead that we have access to over here.
    Keep 666 alive….If only for your European buddies!!

  • Sara

    666 Park Avenue is such a smart show with good acting and intriguing story lines. Such a shame its the only show i watch. Perhaps if they put it in a 9pm slot they wouldnt have as many dvr recordings as people watching in live time. The only show of its kind. As a side note. I cant believe Revolution is being renewed. The worst acting ever. Laughable.

  • SmartAssPants

    Cancel Last Resort & renew The Neighbors?

    Unbelievable!!

  • Ty

    I cannot believe that 666 Park Ave has been canceled! what is the point of airing showing with a great story line if they are only going to make it one season? and keep stupid shows! I am done with ABC!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • Cindy

    666 Park Avenue is such a good show. The network hasn’t given it enough of a chance. It is eerie and suspenseful. Anyone who ever enjoyed the book or movie ‘Rosemary’s Baby’ would be hooked on the story line with the evil landlord (maybe Satan?) and the odd mix of characters, including the walking dead and ghosts. It has the conspiracy, supernatural, going back in time flavor that is intriguing. Best of all, you root for the heroine every week. You want her to succeed and get to the bottom of the mystery surrounding the seeming possession of the charming old New York hotel (Think Hotel California) and its inhabitants. Seriously ABC, give it a chance. Please.

  • 666 PARK ROCKS

    ABC you really suck ass. You are cancelling one of the best shows you have had on in years. WTF is wrong with you guys. Renew, renew, renew.

    I am a Nielsen Rater and I tend on picking winners, cancel 666 and I might start giving ABC a good whipping on future shows.

  • Martine

    Last Resort makes absolutely no sense. When a military person gets orders they should follow them, and traitors have a limited appeal unless they are cast as the bad guys. No one much likes people that are willing to fire on their own people even in self defense. Especially if they earned it.

  • bellaherna

    Wait why is LAST RESORT being cancelled when it has more viewers than that trashy show GLEE? TV is just garbage these days with many of the good interesting shows biting the dust for trashy stupid boring shows!

  • bellaherna

    When a show like FRINGE is on its 5th & final season SOMETHING is SERIOUSLY wrong with Viewers…..Unreal how many trashy STUPID unimaginative shows are kept on while interesting intriguing shows are left on the wayside but alas I guess what happened with our country re-electing Obama should tell us something! Just pitiful!

  • bellaherna

    Oh and while I am at it…..HOMELAND is AWESOME. I like Last Resort but Homeland is definitely better!

  • All Networks need more cowbell

    It figures, 1 show I finally like and it’s canceled. Thanks ABC, i can see why your network does so poorly. Perhaps if Last Resort was on at 10pm…. Seems stupid to put on a show like that at 8pm. Most of us 1% aren’t able to sit down until about 9pm since we have to do real work!

  • All Networks need more cowbell

    I’m cancelling ABC and NBC. Worst Networks of programming. At least CBS and Fox have a few drama shows worth watching. I’d a 1%er that DVRs all shows I watch, so I don’t have to watch any commercials. commercials are the biggest waste of time, even Super Bowl commercials. I can watch 4-5 shows in two hours or less. Gives me more time to spend with my wife and kids, work on personal budget/finances and hobbies.

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