CBS: One Of 'CSI:NY,' 'The Mentalist' Or 'The Good Wife' Will Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 20th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 18, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.52
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.53
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.67
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.68
Vegas :cry: :cry: 0.72
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.76
Partners* canceled 0.79
CSI :) :) :) :) 0.93
Elementary :) :) :) :) 0.93
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.14
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
How I Met Your Mother** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.21
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.33
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.43
Big Bang Theory already renewed 1.91

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Sadly, we're into the broken record portion of the CBS prediction season. With all but a few of their shows now likely or certain to be renewed or canceled, we'll be slicing and dicing the prognosis of the few remaining "toss up" shows more than Iron Chef contestants.

CBS has debuted three new dramas every Fall since 2006-7. I'd expect them to do the same next Fall. So unless they have some schedule wizardry up their sleeves I haven't seen before (holding back Undercover Boss won't help!) they'll need to cancel three of their Fall 2012 dramas to make room for three more next Fall. With Made In Jersey gone, and Vegas a likely cancellation, that means one more Fall drama must go. It's virtually certain that CBS will cancel one of CSI:NYThe Good Wife, or The Mentalist.  And if spring drama Golden Boy is renewed, two from that list will need to be canceled. While readers can make their predictions in the comments this week, I will try and think of a way to make this merry go round discussion a little more interesting next week.

Since CBS typically cancels its lowest rated sitcom each season, last Friday's cancellation of rookie sitcom Partners was absolutely no surprise to any sane person who was paying attention.

Rookie Vegas fell back to a series low 1.6 rating last week. It's week 5 ratings crash was absolutely no fluke, and it's still more likely to be canceled than renewed by the end of the season.

Why are Hawaii Five-0 and Blue Bloods "certain to be renewed"? Both dramas are in their third seasons and need a fourth to reach the "magic" 88 episodes for stripped syndication. Both are "certain to be renewed" for their fourth seasons next year. Read more about that here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Ben

    @Billy Martins, You lost me, (and no doubt many other people), when you wrote “cancelled NCIS”. That program is a ratings giant, both in total viewers and the 18-49. The only way NCIS goes off the air is when Mark Harmon says it’s time to go and not one second sooner.

  • Holly

    @HT

    So if you don’t like the show, turn off or here’s a thought, turn off.

    Most people do, ergo the low ratings…

  • Desperate Houseboy

    Hope they will renew the good wife.

  • Michael

    CBS is gonna CLEAN house after this season. Their #1 days could be numbered :o

    GONE: Vegas, HIMYM, CSI:NY, The Mentalist,

    Yet….I think the’re gonna Keep the Good Wife, to which I don’t understand, but that will bring it to a 4th season…so again, the Syndication Gods want it.

  • Anthony Parello (AP076)

    @Michael
    Posted November 20, 2012 at 10:50 AM
    “Yet….I think the’re gonna Keep the Good Wife, to which I don’t understand, but that will bring it to a 4th season…so again, the Syndication Gods want it.”

    I believe The Good Wife is currently in its FOURTH season building up to its 88 episode package for stripped syndication (which I believe it does not have a deal yet???) so it is just as vulnerable to cancellation.

  • HT

    @Holly – only in younger demo – it’s actual viewing figures are always in the upper 9 million range – it’s not a show for young people – that show is on ABC – Revenge – bad continuity, they suddenly realized last year the dog must be at least 30 years old, so killed it quickly, the whole plane crash made no sense and now there’s a James Bond type hero running around – loved it last year but it’s struggling this year. The Good Wife is consistently well written, in my opinion (any true TGW fan will see the joke in the last 3 words).

  • Cj morton

    The good Wife, please be the one cancelled!

  • Tim

    The New NCIS LA will go to Tuesday 10 pm.
    And the horrible H50 will send to Sundays to die. The show is a dud that is surviving thanks to the TNT deal. I blame O’Loughlin, the man is painful to watch.

  • Anthony Parello (AP076)

    @HT

    “sometimes complex plots”

    I love The Good Wife tons but I would never in my wildest dreams describe its plots as complex or even “sometimes complex”. Lol, lol, lol

  • Anthony Parello (AP076)

    @Tim

    “I blame O’Loughlin, the man is painful to watch.”

    Not so much if the volume is turned down ;-)

  • Mateus

    The Good wife is the only drama in CBS which has the respect of critics and this count too much for the respect of the channel. It’s difficult to find a series with the perfect combination: great actors + amazing guests + incredible producers.

    I enjoy CSI:NY and The Mentalist, but CBS has a lot of programs like them … like The Good Wife?? No one.

  • Barbie

    CSI:NY will get its tenth (though possibly last) season. They have a very loyal following on tv’s hardest demo night and they get good syndication money. They have a perfect pairing for Blue Bloods. Also, whoever said it’s an expensive show, it’s not. One of the reasons it stayed over Miami it’s that it was considerably cheaper (Caruso was expensive!)

    Also, both The Mentalist and The Good Wife pull 1. something demos on Sundays, which are Friday demos. Of them will go.

  • Barbie

    @Mateus, that probably makes TGW a lot more expensive for them, though.

  • sally

    cancel The Good Wife,keep csi ny and mentalist and move mentalist back to thursday

  • Holly

    @HT,

    9 million total viewers is hardly impressive for CBS. And if older viewers=smarter show, NCIS must be the most intelligent show on broadcast.

  • Kenny

    How can CBS determine to cancel The Menatlist when comes on some sunday nights at 1130 est? C`MON CBS…..SAVE The Mentalist We as fans want a PROPER resolution to the Red John saga not a half assed one, that the writers had to throw together at the last moment because the show was cancelled.

  • thomas

    Barbie
    How can CSI NY be a perfect pairing for Blue Bloods since sometimes BB have better ratings at 10?

  • Mateus

    @Barbie, You’re right, It makes a lot expensive the production … but, with all the money that CBS earn with TBBT, NCIS’s and all investigations series, money is not the problem for them.

    I’m a big fan of the Florricks, so I hope that series will be save. And I would like that series return again to 10pm … less competition and more people will watch again (i think)

    Because of the time zone, here in Brazil, the program pass 2am, but i really don’t care LOL

  • Barbie

    @thomas Try putting a comedy there at 9 and see what happens to Blue Bloods. It’s about two shows that go well together and have the same kind of audience.

  • Holly

    @Kenny,

    How can CBS determine to cancel The Menatlist when comes on some sunday nights at 1130 est?

    First, The Mentalist has never started outside of primetime (it may have only aired a couple of minutes before 11 Eastern, but it hasn’t started after 11).

    CBS needs shows that can perform in the time slots they have available. Sunday at 10, with delays on several weeks, is one of their time slots whether fans like it or not. But it’s not like CBS is going to make a decision based on one or two episodes. They’ll make the decision based on the cost of the show, the advertising rates, and the overall ratings throughout the year.

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