CBS: One Of 'CSI:NY,' 'The Mentalist' Or 'The Good Wife' Will Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 20th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 18, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.52
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.53
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.67
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.68
Vegas :cry: :cry: 0.72
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.76
Partners* canceled 0.79
CSI :) :) :) :) 0.93
Elementary :) :) :) :) 0.93
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.14
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
How I Met Your Mother** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.21
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.33
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.43
Big Bang Theory already renewed 1.91

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Sadly, we're into the broken record portion of the CBS prediction season. With all but a few of their shows now likely or certain to be renewed or canceled, we'll be slicing and dicing the prognosis of the few remaining "toss up" shows more than Iron Chef contestants.

CBS has debuted three new dramas every Fall since 2006-7. I'd expect them to do the same next Fall. So unless they have some schedule wizardry up their sleeves I haven't seen before (holding back Undercover Boss won't help!) they'll need to cancel three of their Fall 2012 dramas to make room for three more next Fall. With Made In Jersey gone, and Vegas a likely cancellation, that means one more Fall drama must go. It's virtually certain that CBS will cancel one of CSI:NYThe Good Wife, or The Mentalist.  And if spring drama Golden Boy is renewed, two from that list will need to be canceled. While readers can make their predictions in the comments this week, I will try and think of a way to make this merry go round discussion a little more interesting next week.

Since CBS typically cancels its lowest rated sitcom each season, last Friday's cancellation of rookie sitcom Partners was absolutely no surprise to any sane person who was paying attention.

Rookie Vegas fell back to a series low 1.6 rating last week. It's week 5 ratings crash was absolutely no fluke, and it's still more likely to be canceled than renewed by the end of the season.

Why are Hawaii Five-0 and Blue Bloods "certain to be renewed"? Both dramas are in their third seasons and need a fourth to reach the "magic" 88 episodes for stripped syndication. Both are "certain to be renewed" for their fourth seasons next year. Read more about that here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Janice Arthur

    Honestly I think CBS should cancel The Good Wife, BUT, when it comes down to saving a time slot, I think CBS should cancel CSI: NY.

    I’m a Blue Bloods fan and I can honestly tell you, Blue Bloods has it’s own audience; it doesn’t truthfully rely on CSI: NY to help it. It sustained it’s ratings when led by Made in Jersey was still on whereas CSI: NY did not. Besides, CSI: NY is doing horribly by not beating out Grimm on NBC, I think Good Wife and Grimm could tie on Fridays.

    Plus, CSI: NY is already in syn., so it can go. But if I had to take a preference, I’d rather CSI: NY stay on CBS versus the original CSI, the storylines on the flagship are getting worse and worse — Ted Danson & Liz Shue are okay, but they aren’t Will Petersen, Laurence Fishburne, & Marg Helenburg. Fishburne was much better than Danson and of course Petersen tops them both.

    I vote for CBS to cancel CSI: NY, but renew The Good Wife one final season.

  • Kevin

    The Good Wife is an exceptional show. The cast and the plot lines are excellent. I wonder if its demographics are not skewed to a higher income audience as was the case with The West Wing in its later years when its ratings had dropped; that might allow for another season. I think and hope CBS will cut CSI NY and keep both The Mentalist and The Good Wife.

  • Barbie

    @Hugh, I think they pay much higher salaries to Emmy dearlings in TGW than to the whole CSI:NY cast together.

    @Janice, CSI:NY is already in syndication, as you say it “can go”, it’s also a strong reason to stay. For every episode they produce, they have a guaranteed 1.9mil in return for it. That’s also a powerful reason to keep it, as opposed to a show that may not reach/get syndication.

  • Jake

    CBS needs to take off H 5-0, CSI: NY and Good Wife. It makes good sense. they are the lowest rated dramas for CBS this season. Also HIMYM needs to go also, it’s the lowest rated comedy for the network. After cancelling the comedy and these three dramas then here’s the line up for Fall of 2013:
    MONDAY
    8pm Rules of Engagement
    8:30 Mike & Molly
    9pm 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 NEW COMEDY
    10pm Vegas

    TUESDAY
    8pm NCIS
    9pm NCIS: LA
    10pm NEW DRAMA

    WEDNESDAY
    8pm Survivor
    9pm Elementary
    10pm NEW DRAMA

    THURSDAY
    8pm Big Bang Theory
    8:30 2 & 1/2 Men
    9pm Person of Interest
    10pm NEW DRAMA

    FRIDAY
    8pm Amazing Race
    9pm CSI
    10pm Blue Bloods

    SUNDAY
    7pm 60min
    8pm The JOb
    9pm Criminal Minds
    10pm The Mentalist

  • Jake

    And if ABC wants a winning schedule here’s what they should do in the fall of 2013:
    MONDAYS
    8pm DWTS
    10pm Castle

    TUESDAYS
    8pm DWTS results
    9pm Last Man Standing
    9:30 Malibu Country
    10pm NEW DRAMA

    WEDNESDAYS
    8pm The Middle
    8:30 NEW COMEDY
    9pm Modern Family
    9:30 Suburgatory
    10pm Nashville

    THURSDAYS
    8pm Grey’s Anatomy
    9pm NEW DRAMA
    10pm Scandel

    FRIDAYS
    8pm The Neighbors
    8:30 Happy Endings
    9pm Shark Tank
    10pm 20/20

    SUNDAYS
    7pm AFHV
    8pm Once…Time
    9pm Revenge
    10pm NEW DRAMA

  • Jake

    NBC should stick with reality shows more. They need to use this schedule for fall 2013:
    MONDAYS
    8pm Voice
    10pm Revolution

    TUESDAYS
    8pm Voice results
    9pm NEW COMEDY
    9:30 NEW COMEDY
    10pm Parenthood

    WEDNESDAYS
    8pm Biggest Loser
    9pm L&O: SVU
    10pm NEW DRAMA

    THURSDAYS
    8pm Go On
    8:30 Parks & Recreation
    9pm New Normal
    9:30 Whitney
    10pm Rock Center with Brian Williams

    FRIDAYS
    8pm Biggest Loser
    9pm Grimm
    10pm Dateline

    SUNDAYS
    6pm SUN Night NFL

  • Zoel78

    @Leee

    I have this feeling in my gut…

    You’d be considered fugly, correct?

  • shirlean

    first of all it hurted me deeply when you took off c.s.i mamai. I just get to look at rerun i feel like if you can show rerun you can show the new verison. now you trying to take the mentalist no way it doesnt make since for you to do that. the good wife doesnt matter to me. i like c.si.,c.si.new york, what more are you going to try and take away from me. just keep them going please. if you guys are going broke lets have a fund raisin

  • Jeff321

    TGW is great, cancel one of the other lame shows.

  • 2134

    Sad to see The Mentalist in this position for really no fault of the show. The timeslot just sucks.

  • Ultima

    @Jake
    CBS needs to take off H 5-0, CSI: NY and Good Wife. It makes good sense

    If you think that makes good sense, then clearly you are out of your element. I suggest you find a new hobby.

  • Shawn1

    @Barbie: CSI: NY is much more expensive to produce than TGW. Critical acclaim doesn’t pay the bills and CBS doesn’t raise the salaries of the TGW cast simply because of the occasional award nomination.

    Syndication deals provide money to the producer AND the actors. Gary Sinise has a salary in the neighborhood of $250,000-300,000 per episode. Julianna Margulies doesn’t even come close to that figure. Most CSI: NY actors have been on the show for years and received their raises. Sela Ward doesn’t come cheap either, although she replaced Melina Kanakaredes, an actress that left the show after being asked to take a pay cut. Not to mention that all CSIs are or were known to be rather expensive to produce.

    It’s nice for CSI: NY to have a syndication deal and it helps the show’s renewal chances. However, its ad revenues must be significantly lower than in the old Wednesday timeslot and high production costs already killed CSI: Miami–even though that show had just signed a brand new syndication deal…

  • Vanquished

    My vote is for the Goodwife, though the mentalist is also a silly show…
    But my money is on CSI: NY, Everyone knows the Good Wife should have been cancelled in each of it’s 3 seasons so far but for some reason it prevails.

  • THE OLD MAN

    @ Shawn 1

    EW 11/2 did an article “TV’s Hottest Guest Gig” that stated Julianna M earns north of 125K per episode & guest stars earn $7674 per ep (studios regularly shell out 20K+ per ep for a guest) & the actors seek out TGW, not the other way around. Overall, the show is very cost effective.

    You’re absolutely right about the CSI’s production costs & actors’ salaries.

  • Michael

    The Good Wife is the smartest show on TV. It has to be renewed.

  • Cathy

    Does the news of the CSI / CSI BY crossover have any effect on the possible renew status of CSI NY.

    I see on the internet that as the crossover episode is airing in February it is a lock for a renewal.

  • Holly

    @Cathy,

    Does the news of the CSI / CSI NY crossover have any effect on the possible renew status of CSI NY.

    No.

  • Cathy

    Thanks Holly.

    I didn’t think it would but several people on line seem to think it means its a lock for renewal now as its airs during the Feb Sweeps

  • Cathy

    forget that last remark, sweeps arn’t in Feb!!

  • CBSViewer

    2013-2014 Schedule:

    MONDAY
    8:00PM – How I Met Your Mother
    8:30PM – NEW COMEDY
    9:00PM – 2 Broke Girls
    9:30PM – Mike & Molly
    10:00PM – NCIS: Los Angeles

    TUESDAY
    8:00PM – NCIS
    9:00PM – NEW DRAMA
    10:00PM – Elementary

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00PM – Survivor
    9:00PM – Criminal Minds
    10:00PM – CSI

    THURSDAY
    8:00PM – The Big Bang Theory
    8:30PM – Two and a Half Men
    9:00PM – Person of Interest
    10:00PM – NEW DRAMA

    FRIDAY
    8:00PM – NEW DRAMA / Undercover Boss
    9:00PM – CSI: NY
    10:00PM – Blue Bloods

    SATURDAY
    8:00PM – Crimetime Saturday
    9:00PM – Crimetime Saturday
    10:00PM – 48 Hours

    SUNDAY
    7:00PM – 60 Minutes
    8:00PM – The Amazing Race
    9:00PM – Hawaii Five-0
    10:00PM – The Mentalist

    Canceled: The Good Wife, Vegas, Golden Boy, Partners, Made in Jersey, Friend Me and Rules of Engagement.

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