CBS: One Of 'CSI:NY,' 'The Mentalist' Or 'The Good Wife' Will Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 20th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 18, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.52
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.53
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.67
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.68
Vegas :cry: :cry: 0.72
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.76
Partners* canceled 0.79
CSI :) :) :) :) 0.93
Elementary :) :) :) :) 0.93
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.14
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
How I Met Your Mother** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.21
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.33
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.43
Big Bang Theory already renewed 1.91

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Sadly, we're into the broken record portion of the CBS prediction season. With all but a few of their shows now likely or certain to be renewed or canceled, we'll be slicing and dicing the prognosis of the few remaining "toss up" shows more than Iron Chef contestants.

CBS has debuted three new dramas every Fall since 2006-7. I'd expect them to do the same next Fall. So unless they have some schedule wizardry up their sleeves I haven't seen before (holding back Undercover Boss won't help!) they'll need to cancel three of their Fall 2012 dramas to make room for three more next Fall. With Made In Jersey gone, and Vegas a likely cancellation, that means one more Fall drama must go. It's virtually certain that CBS will cancel one of CSI:NYThe Good Wife, or The Mentalist.  And if spring drama Golden Boy is renewed, two from that list will need to be canceled. While readers can make their predictions in the comments this week, I will try and think of a way to make this merry go round discussion a little more interesting next week.

Since CBS typically cancels its lowest rated sitcom each season, last Friday's cancellation of rookie sitcom Partners was absolutely no surprise to any sane person who was paying attention.

Rookie Vegas fell back to a series low 1.6 rating last week. It's week 5 ratings crash was absolutely no fluke, and it's still more likely to be canceled than renewed by the end of the season.

Why are Hawaii Five-0 and Blue Bloods "certain to be renewed"? Both dramas are in their third seasons and need a fourth to reach the "magic" 88 episodes for stripped syndication. Both are "certain to be renewed" for their fourth seasons next year. Read more about that here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Ben

    @Cathy,
    Sweeps are in November, February, May and July.

  • Cathy

    Ben

    I thought that and then I though I was wrong and they were in March! should not second guess myself.

  • Don Moeller

    C S I /N Y was old when it launched. It should have been cancelled instead of CSI/Miami. The Good Wife is old also. I am so sick of election junk. The Mentalist is a good show. It is interesting but in a bad time slot. CBS has problems with Sundays and football overruns. If Vegas goes, Mentalist should return to Tuesdays.

  • five

    Do not cancel The Good Wive – damn good stories – cancel Vegas or Mentalist.

  • five

    Meant ‘wife’

  • Anthony Parello (AP076)

    @Don
    “If Vegas goes, Mentalist should return to Tuesdays.”

    That is just never going to happen. It was farmed to Sundays for a reason. CBS does not exist to prop up The Mentalist’s ratings. Especially since WB is the producing studio.

  • Randy

    Cancel CSI: NY & The Good Wife.

  • Randy

    About Sunday, they have too many shows they are trying to cram in on CBS. They only need 3 shows. 60 Minutes should move to Saturdays already! You don’t need a show that starts at 6pm if you have football in which they know is going to go over time. The other weeks, just have Big Bang Theory reruns from 6pm till 7pm.

  • Alias

    Please renew The Good Wife, is not only one of the best shows but very original in its genre.

  • hellomikie92

    Csi NY, and The Mentalist needs to stay on the air. Cancel the Good Wife. That show is stupid.

    Also why hate on CSI NY and The Mentalist? If you don’t like these shows go watch Reality TV, it seems like most of you likes those kind of shows, anyway judging by the comments. Which I don’t understand. Nothing special about Reality TV.

  • Rollie

    The Mentalist, and The Good Wife are my picks to go after this season. Did anybody ever think about the fact that GW is in the same timeslot as Revenge?

  • JVO

    So I found myself stuck waiting in my car for a half hour recently, and I happened to be outside a CBS affiliate, and there was a large screen showing brief 5 second ads for CBS dramas. As it looped over and over again, I started taking note of the only dramas being advertised: CSI, The Mentalist, The Good Wife, Elementary, Vegas, Hawaii-Five-0, and Blue Bloods.

    What to these shows have in common? They’re every drama that’s in the bottom half of the average CBS demo rating. All but one were represented: CSI:NY was left out.

    Therefore, I conclude that CSI:NY is getting canned this year.

  • Darcy

    I have a feeling TGW could survive. I know CBS isn’t normally into final season, but it’s probably the most critically acclaimed show on their schedule, and to completely axe it would look bad for them.

  • Darcy

    We’ll see CSI:NY and Vegas go this year.

  • Skye

    I don’t actually know what I would do if The Good Wife was cancelled. I’ve never missed an episode since the beginning. The only reasons ratings have dropped is because of the time slot and the addition of Nick. Without that, I actually think it would still be going strong. I wish Robert and Michelle King all the luck in the world for renewal!! ?

  • Justin121

    Both CBS Fridays and Sundays are already weak, and can’t afford to lose more than one show, nor can they premiere new shows on those nights.

    So the real question is:

    Which show(s) get moved to Friday or Sunday next season?

    Almost all CBS shows do too good to be moved to Fri-Sun.

    The Mentalist was moved in the hopes CBS can premire new hits mid-week.

    As evidenced by Vegas and Elementary, the best CBS can hope for a new show at 10pm is 2.0-2.2.

    As this site frequently states, CBS needs to open slots for 3 dramas.

    Which three?

    Vegas, a Friday drama, and a Sunday drama seems like the likely answer.

    Again, the dilemma of what goes to Fri-Sun?

    Maybe Five-0?

    That, with Vegas, opens up 2 slots.

    I can’t see any of: NCIS, NCIS-LA, Survivor, Criminal Minds, CSI, PoI, or ELM sent to the Fri-Sun death slots.

    So, will CBS premiere three new drama on Monday, Tuesday, and the third on Friday?

  • JakeSnake

    lol it’s ironic how CBS is the most watched network overall, but it’s almost the least watched for me personally (only beaten by ABC). The only show I even care about on CBS at this point is Person of Interest, and then in the summer I watch Big Brother. I am glad POI is doing so well though. It definitely deserves to stay on for a long time IMO.

  • Barbie

    @JVO This makes no sense whatsoever, because at this point, the network wouldn’t even have decided which show “to can”. It’s too early in season, the spring is coming and ratings are going to drop, and even if they had decided, it would be just stupid for them not to advertise a single show. Because even if they were dropping it, advertisers are still paying for this season and want their money worth, so, it seems like you making s#$& up just want to make a point.

  • Hepha

    Among the three, TGW is the only one I do not watch. I tried to… but just couldn’t. So I’d like TGW to get the axe.
    The Mentalist, IMO, has still a huge potential, but CBS is mistreating it on Sundays… So maybe CBS should cancel TM so that it could be bought by another network, where it could be successful again.
    As for CSI NY, I know it’s in danger this year (like the 3 previous years), but I do think it has good chances to be renewed !

  • AprilFox

    I love The Mentalist and The Good Wife for me they still have lots of stories to tell. I liked CSI Miami over CSI NY. So I would gladly say bye to CSI: NY. (as long as they keep the original CSI). Vegas can go to, I watched this week’s episode and have given enough chances so I’m switching to something else.

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