CBS: One Of 'CSI:NY,' 'The Mentalist' Or 'The Good Wife' Will Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 20th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 18, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.52
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.53
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.67
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.68
Vegas :cry: :cry: 0.72
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.76
Partners* canceled 0.79
CSI :) :) :) :) 0.93
Elementary :) :) :) :) 0.93
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.14
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
How I Met Your Mother** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.21
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.33
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.43
Big Bang Theory already renewed 1.91

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Sadly, we're into the broken record portion of the CBS prediction season. With all but a few of their shows now likely or certain to be renewed or canceled, we'll be slicing and dicing the prognosis of the few remaining "toss up" shows more than Iron Chef contestants.

CBS has debuted three new dramas every Fall since 2006-7. I'd expect them to do the same next Fall. So unless they have some schedule wizardry up their sleeves I haven't seen before (holding back Undercover Boss won't help!) they'll need to cancel three of their Fall 2012 dramas to make room for three more next Fall. With Made In Jersey gone, and Vegas a likely cancellation, that means one more Fall drama must go. It's virtually certain that CBS will cancel one of CSI:NYThe Good Wife, or The Mentalist.  And if spring drama Golden Boy is renewed, two from that list will need to be canceled. While readers can make their predictions in the comments this week, I will try and think of a way to make this merry go round discussion a little more interesting next week.

Since CBS typically cancels its lowest rated sitcom each season, last Friday's cancellation of rookie sitcom Partners was absolutely no surprise to any sane person who was paying attention.

Rookie Vegas fell back to a series low 1.6 rating last week. It's week 5 ratings crash was absolutely no fluke, and it's still more likely to be canceled than renewed by the end of the season.

Why are Hawaii Five-0 and Blue Bloods "certain to be renewed"? Both dramas are in their third seasons and need a fourth to reach the "magic" 88 episodes for stripped syndication. Both are "certain to be renewed" for their fourth seasons next year. Read more about that here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Jan

    H.L. Mencken said ” No one ever went broke underestimating the taste of the American public.” The networks and many of the comments here certainly prove that quote to be true. First of all, despite CSI NY’s history of several near-cancellations, it is still one of the most intelligent and entertaining shows on TV, and to me, much better than the original CSI in Las Vegas. The plots are more inventive and much of the writing is more intelligent – largely because the multifaceted NYC lends itself to stories which are more varied and interesting than does the desert town of Las Vegas. Yes, there are good actors on the Las Vegas show, but the ensemble acting of CSI NY is more cohesive and seamless, and no one beats Gary Sinise as a quality actor and compelling lead. (I say this realizing that CSI LV has had many more cast changes than CSI NY.)
    The Good Wife is also one of the few intelligent network shows with a fine cast. The Mentalist has a cute premise but relies almost entirely on the charisma of Simon Baker, which is substantial but wearing thin. Bottom line: for those of us who like a challenge while being entertained, keep CSI NY and TGW, otherwise we will defect entirely to cable. And though we realize that networks are always after the young viewers, one of these days, you guys will recognize the strength (and buying power – listen up, advertisers) of the Baby Boomers.

  • Bob Saget

    My comedies and Hawaii 5-0 are looking strong. I’m hoping we see ROE soon.

  • Michelle

    PLEASE renew the Good Wife, love that show. The Good Wife and the Mentalist would be doing better, but due to scheduling problems the ratings are down. The network needs to adjust DVR scheduling. Amazing Race ALWAYS runs over and you never know when the Good Wife and the Mentalist will be on. I hate Amazing Race and refuse to watch it, so I DVR both the Good Wife and The Mentalist, just to watch the Good Wife. Cancel CSI: NY. Renew the Good Wife!

  • Billy martins

    Come on @ Bob u know that NCIS has run so long it”s been on for like 10 yrs & u know that network will eventually will get rid of it one day it will also should get rid of 2&/men too it”s already shown it”s has age.nothing lasts on television that”s life man!!!

  • sick of teenage tv

    Keep the good wife move it to Fridays stupid football game always push It back a half hour so thats why no sees it
    besides she Hor

  • Ben

    @Billy Martins; NCIS is seen by almost twenty million viewers every week in the all age demo. It gets around 3.3 in 18 to 49 age demo. NCIS is an excellent example of a show that has been around for years and the ratings are still extremely high for any program on TV.
    Far from cancelling NCIS, CBS is going to air a spinoff of NCIS: Los Angeles. CBS wants more NCIS, not less.
    There are prime time shows on TV, that have been around a lot longer than NCIS; The Simpsons for example.
    NCIS is not showing it’s age. A recent program dealt very well with the subject of soldiers returning from overseas wars with PTS and gave advice at the end of the show on where those veterans can get help for their medical programs.
    If CBS cancelled NCIS it would go in history as the most stupid decision ever made in the history of television. No network has ever cancelled a program with those kind of ratings. ABC, Fox, NBC, CW and all the other networks wish they had a scripted program that gets the ratings NCIS has, as well as the spin off sucess of NCIS: Los Angeles.

  • priscilla tapia

    CSI NY and Criminal Minds have to be renewed because they are so entertaining its intoxicating in a good way they draw people to see these show they are amazing

  • Loey

    Please keep CSI NY. For what they have tried to do this season, it deserves a chance to be renewed!!!

  • Chad Jacobs

    How about put The Mentalist back on during the week and not on Sunday Night and you might get more viewers. CBS screwed The Unit over with the same time slot. NFL games run long and it pushes everything back and CBS wonders why people aren’t watching the 10pm Mentalist that sometimes doesn’t come on until 10:45?

  • Mike

    The Mentalist is by FAR the most original and entertaining of all the CBS scripted dramas. And yes, this includes CSI.

  • Mike

    I have to DVR TM half the time because it comes on late due to football. But l never miss a show. I do not know how the ratings take into account people using DVRs or TIVO to now watch The Mentalist.

  • SHERI

    LOVE Hawaii 5-0 ! O’Loughlin & supporting cast are great ! Would love to see it on Tuesday nights after NCIS & NCIS LA, great night of crime drama !

    LOVE CSI NY and hope it again survives. Sinese if amazing and the supporting cast is great.

    Never enjoyed The Good Wife and hope it goes

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