FOX: 'Ben & Kate' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 27th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-November 25, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) final season 0.49
The Mob Doctor :oops: (canceled 11/28) 0.54
Ben And Kate :oops: 0.72
Raising Hope :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.85
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.90
The Cleveland Show :) :) :) :) 0.96
Bones :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.09
American Dad already renewed 1.14
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.18
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.29
Family Guy already renewed 1.42
The Simpsons already renewed 1.60

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11/28 Update: The Mob Doctor has been canceled.
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Ben & Kate's  prediction was changed to "certain to be canceled" last week, but Glee usurped the headline. Now it gets its rightful place.

Unless last week's rating was a complete fluke, The Mindy Project is going to drop to "likely canceled" next week. Stay tuned.

Two years ago when Fox's Lone Star, "Lone Star'd" its premiere rating (1.3) it was yanked after its second episode (which had a 1.0). This season, The Mob Doctor has been nearly as woeful and yet looks like it will air most or all of its 13 episode order before vanishing.

Raising Hope is predicted as "certain to be renewed" even with its somewhat weak early ratings. While the syndication gods ruling Fox aren't quite as predictable as those ruling CBS, it would take nothing short of a cataclysm to prevent the show from getting a fourth season. Read more about it here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Personally, I think you should take into consideration the fact that Tuesday Mindy got a 1.5 and B&K got a 1.4!!”

    As, of course, I will in next week’s averages.

  • The End

    @jessica

    Some people here have a ‘final season’ fetish for one reason or another here, labelling any show they either dislike, or think is doing poorly but will get renewed as getting a ‘final season’. Take no notice.

  • KJ Styles

    @Oliver- “You can, however, directly compare Nielsen rankings (i.e where shows performed relative to other broadcast shows) and New Girl’s first season ranked higher than MWC ever did.”

    That may be true, but to be fair Married With Children debuted in FOX’s first year when they didn’t have scripted programming every night. It wasn’t until 1990 until FOX was considered a major network. Once it was, MWC’s ratings went through the roof.

    20+ years after it’s debut, people are STILL talking about how great MWC is whereas New Girl isn’t even widely talked about today. It’s a hit, but not the monster hit MWC was. I don’t ever see it reaching legendary status like MWC has.

  • hawkwolf

    I hate Glee now.

  • Sarah

    A bit off-topic, but quick question. With Glee only getting a 2.2 does that mean Bones is the top non-animated scripted show this week?

  • Laura

    @Sarah

    Seems like it, yes. For two weeks in a row now. Last week it tied with New Girl, but it got better share. =D

  • Sarah

    @Laura

    I thought so. :) Thanks.

  • were123

    “Figure that Fox shows that averaged a 1.6 or less during the Fall are in significant danger. Glee averaged a 2.3.
    By the spring the threshold might fall to a 1.5 or less.”

    Wow, I never thought I’d see the day when FOX became NBC! It’s like they switched places! They have to do something quickly

  • Allan

    Coming from someone who loves seasons 1-4 of Fringe all the way through, whole-heartedly, and was kind of obsessed with the show for 4 years…. make no mistake: this season sucks, and is a huge disappointment to fans.

  • JJ

    Fringe season 5 is getting awesome. Screw the haters.

  • were123

    @Allan
    Speak for yourself, when you say “fans” it sounds like everybody hates this season, and for starters I love it, so no, I think it’s just a huge disappointment to you

  • Dann

    Please cancel this garbage.

  • J Warrner

    Ben and Kate is so horrible. I knew it wouldnt last. All of main characters are super annoying other than the kid…

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