CBS: Guess Which Of 'The Good Wife,' 'The Mentalist,' Or 'CSI:NY' Gets Canceled (Poll)

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

December 4th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-December 2, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.52
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.53
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.66
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.67
Vegas :cry: :cry: 0.70
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.78
Partners* canceled 0.79
Elementary :) :) :) :) 0.91
CSI :) :) :) :) 0.92
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.14
How I Met Your Mother** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.19
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.32
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.43
Big Bang Theory already renewed 1.92

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CBS has debuted three new dramas every Fall since 2006-7. I'd expect them to do the same next Fall. So unless they have some schedule wizardry up their sleeves I haven't seen before (holding back Undercover Boss won't help!) they'll need to cancel three of their Fall 2012 dramas to make room for three more next Fall. With Made In Jersey gone, and Vegas a likely cancellation, that means one more Fall drama must go. It's virtually certain that CBS will cancel one of CSI:NYThe Good Wife, or The Mentalist.  And if spring drama Golden Boy is renewed, two from that list will need to be canceled.

Those imagining CBS will pull some schedule razzle dazzle (new shows on Saturday, time sharing, adding a 25th hour to the day!) do entertain us with your guesses in the comments.

What's your guess?


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Even with an ungrateful actor, Two and a Half Men is CBS' #2 rated scripted show and they'll do whatever it takes to bring it back.

Why are Hawaii Five-0 and Blue Bloods "certain to be renewed"? Both dramas are in their third seasons and need a fourth to reach the "magic" 88 episodes for stripped syndication. Both are "certain to be renewed" for their fourth seasons next year. Read more about that here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Raul

    Hope The Good Wife gets cancelled , horrible show!!

  • PeterScott

    CSI-NY: I wasn’t even aware it was still on. Well past time to go.

    Mentalist: I still watch, but grudgingly. It really jumped the shark for me when they killed Red John, but then it really wasn’t Red John. At this point Red John is some kind of Super Villain, with super mind control powers. They took that story element too far and now it is just silly.

    The Good Wife: Really not my type of show, but I watch it because it is so well done.

  • MissJo

    @suckerpuncher

    Only a tweet from a exec. producer from a several months ago isn’t a solid proof of a renewal for the next season. If it was true, CBS would have already announce it.

    The Mentalist is a toss up because its ratings aren’t great this season. Also, The Mentalist is owned by WB and CBS doesn’t make any money from its syndication, so no good reason to keep it on the schedule if it doesn’t perform well enough for them.

  • Adam Decker

    The Sunday at 9 slot is doomed. The Unit, Three Rivers, Cold Case, CSI: Miami, and NYC 22 all had that slot and all got cancelled. That’s why I think it will be The Mentalist. So I hope that they end it well this season or another network picks it up.

  • Ruby

    I like The good wife, don’t cancel it!!!!

  • Josh

    CSI:NY is better than any show on that list, shouldn’t be on it. The good wife, should be gone

  • Paul

    CSI:NY gets cancelled. The Good Wife moves to Fridays at 9pm and gets paired with fellow old-skewing show – Blue Bloods. Both can get 1.5’s for years and continue to reel in acclaim for CBS.

    I am very surprised a network like Lifetime, A&E, or TNT hasn’t swooped in and grabbed The Good Wife. The price must not be a good one. Aka, CBS should change it.

  • Chaz

    The Mentalist was renewed for a 5th AND 6th season! Won’t be a cancellation in next ’round (and hopefully not the round after that because i LOVE this show!!!) :D
    So my bets on CSI:NY and vegas along with golden boy not being renewed but i guess you never know with execs! Notoriously known for bad choices and cutting shows off before their time.

  • tftdguru

    Football season completely messes up the schedule (and ratings) for one of my favorite shows, “The Good Wife”. With uncertain start times, DVRs and regular viewers are stymied. If I wanted to watch the last 8 to 35 minutes of Amazing Race I would tune it in. Thank goodness for On Demand viewing.

  • Mike

    Dump Survivor and maybe move the shows that don’t perform well to Saturdays since there is no new programming for that night

  • Ginny

    Why did the mess with the “Mentalist” schedule. Who can go up against Sunday night football ???

  • Patricia

    Both my husband and I truly enjoy the Good Wife and hope it will not be cancelled!

  • shahida

    the good wife must be renewed.dont care about other two shows

  • Isabella

    I agree with Ali. Love The Good Wife, and feel there’s much more to be discovered there than in the other two (boring) shows.
    I am surprised to hear that they are even thinking of cancelling it. Wasn’t it one of their big hits not long ago?

  • Donald

    keep the good wife,its great,Az for the mentalist,its rum Its story,golden boy obviously won’t make it and CSI NY has been on too long!!

  • Will

    The Good Wife is one of the best shows on TV. Creatively, it runs rings around any of the bland and repetitive procedurals than plague CBS’ monotonous lineup. Which probably means, The Good Wife will be cancelled. This viewer will certainly miss it and its completely original characters and thought provoking plots.

  • Merlie

    Hoping that “The Good Wife” will stay, almost as good as David E. Kelley’s productions. “The Mentalist” is getting old……

  • Charlotte

    If the question was which show would I like to see get cancelled, it would be The Good Wife. However the question was which show do I think will get cancelled; that would be CSI NY. When it comes CSI NY renewing it would be beating a dead horse to a pulp. I think The Mentalist is the least likely to be cancelled.

  • Dan N.

    Don’t know if TPTB at CBS will read any of what we write here, but… “The Mentalist” has gone from being our favorite show two years ago, to being one of our LEAST favorite. We don’t even record it any more. The show runners are dragging out the plot line and making this show unwatchable.

    Dan

  • Ann

    Hope the Good Wife and The Mentalist are gone. At least The Good Wife, it has become so boring. It doesn’t matter who the guest actors are. Just cancel the darn thing. As for the Mentalist, we should at least have closer. We have heard the name Red John forever so we should have that cleared once and for all. Yes CSINY is expensive but I still enjoy watching the actors as a team. The writing is very real and actually they even include some funny action. Good luck with whom ever has to go. All I hope is we DO NOT have to watch anymore so called reality shows. Really!!!!! Enough is enough. I have enough of my own reality and do not need to have any TV shoving it down my throat. Yes I do turn them off but please no more. Golden Boy ugh!!! And one more comment, I do miss Without A Trace. Too bad , good actors and great stories. Reality shows do not make it.

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