NBC: 'Whitney' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

December 4th, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-December 2, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
30 Rock final season 0.68
Whitney :cry: :cry: 0.68
Up All Night :cry: :cry: 0.71
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.76
Parks & Recreation :) :) :) :) 0.91
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.92
Chicago Fire :) :) :) :) 0.94
Law & Order: SVU :) :) :) :) 0.95
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.99
The New Normal :) :) :) :) 1.00
The Office final season 1.15
Go On :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.69

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Whitney was downgraded to "likely to be canceled" last week, but Chicago Fire usurped the headline. Now her time in the headline has come!

With the ratings for Chicago Fire and Law & Order:SVU now effectively converged, I can't justify different predictions for them. Since their ratings (except for last week) have had them at or above the NBC scripted average each week, so they're both likely to be renewed. Of course, an old show like L&O:SVU can have the ratings for renewal, but its costs might drive it into being canceled. If the spring ratings don't paint a clearer picture, I'll wonder about that later.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Salias

    NBC should cancel Whitney, Chicago Fire, and Guys With Kids. Bring on four of their new comedies, or two new comedies & a new drama — whichever ones still in the pan.

    SVU should be moved to Fridays at 10PM after Grimm, not necesiarily a final season, but move it off of Wednesdays at 9. Dateline on Sundays, & Rock Center on Fridays before Grimm.

    And Revolution to Wendesday with Smash so The Voice can lead a new drama.

  • Charlie Sheen

    I really truly believe that if NBC was going to get rid of Whitney they would’ve done it last year and they didn’t.

    NBC seems to be going with a project plan with the multi-cams that they own to put together a block. It probably wouldn’t make much sense at this point to cancel it when they can sell Whitney to syndication in fall 2015 which is just two years from now.

    I see Guys with Kids staying around too.

  • genius

    Hi, love the site, first time commenter…

    What would have to happen in the spring for Go On to not get a season 2 renewal?

  • Glue

    I still don’t get why its the office’s final season. IT COULD HAVE EASILY WENT TO 10 SEASONS. MAYBE EVEN 11.

  • Maximillian

    Chicago Fire renewal will probably depend heavily on how mid season does, I would imagine. NBC came back strong this season (thanks to The Voice and getting lucky with Revolution), but they may play it safe next year to not screw anything up too much and slide backwards.

    Getting rid of their lowest rated comedies (Whitney, GwK, UAN) alongside 30 Rock and Office being in final seasons, bringing in new comedies next year may be their best bet to round out a new lineup of shows with the least amount of risk.

    I personally think NBC has too many comedies, so I would love to see some new dramas, but since TNN isnt really a hit, and P&R is getting old, they really will need fresh stuff to pair with Go On.

  • Holly

    @genius,

    What would have to happen in the spring for Go On to not get a season 2 renewal?

    The bottom would have to drop out of the ratings…If it started getting in the low 1s, it would be in danger.

  • Jeff (Canada)

    Out of all the networks, I think NBC is doing the best this season regarding new shows. Yes, they do have a LOT of new shows, but they’re having more hits than misses.

  • Kevin

    NBC better canceled Whitney after two lousy seasons. It truly didn’t deserve to get renewed for another season because of…ratings?! :-(

  • Glue

    @Genius

    For the ratings not to go down.

  • Hope Solo & Jerramy Stevens

    I also see Whitney, GWK, and Up All Night all sticking around.

    Chicago Fire and Revolution are likely coming back. Grimm also will likely come back.

    Go On has its real test coming up when it stops getting those Voice boosts. The New Normal could be in trouble if it moves or doesn’t have The Voice in front of it.

  • genius

    They will go down.

    Off Their Rockers lead in, vs The Voice lead in… duh

    I was wondering what the safe range would be once it inevitably drops.

    1.5-1.9… safe?
    1.0-1.4… one and done?

  • Maximillian

    @genius, if it fell (which I agree, it has the chance to fall — however, we have seen a few shows this season that have had terrible lead ins but a very stable and core viewership, so time will tell)… it most likely will still get renewed because the season average is going to be higher then most of their other comedies.

  • DougF

    As long as Scott Stuber is an Executive Producer it will stay. As will Guys with Kids (Jimmy Fallon EP), Up All Night (Lorne Michaels EP) and like 30 Rock (Lorne Michaels EP) did until Tina Fey wanted to end it

    Shows that have Executive Producer’s with ties to NBC in other areas seem to get the benefit of the doubt

  • Justin

    Maybe E! Will pick it up if NBC Cancels it.

  • Justin

    @DougF Plus GWK, UAN, and Whitney can’t cost that much.

  • Oliver

    NBC has been curiously quiet on Whitney’s order.

  • glen

    It would appear that NBC is in trouble Wednesday at 8 p.m. I liked Animal Practice (I know, I’m in the minority) and I like Whitney, but perhaps NBC needs to realize the answer isn’t to air comedies against ABC’s established Wednesday night comedies. As for Go On and New Normal, it would be interesting to see their ratings if they stand on their own without the Voice as a lead in (though I do like new normal, the comedies are obviously benefiting from a good timeslot and let’s be honest, a timeslot that follows a hit show is hard to come by at NBC).

  • Salias

    Chicago Fire is NBC’s worst looking drama to be truthful, it falls under typical and it’s ratings are meek for it’s slot and lack of heavy competition. SVU did slightly better last year w/ CSI on CBS and ABC’s high rated Revenge.

    I see NBC sacrificing Chicago Fire to bring on 2 new comedies or a new drama and I’d be fine with that.

    Whitney should have never been brought back a 2nd season, and I don’t see it getting renewed along w/ Guys With Kids without some major boost in their ratings.

    SVU should either go back to Tuesday at 10, swapping w/ Parenthood or go to Fridays at 10, behind Grimm. SVU can battle Fridays against Blue Bloods. People saying SVU is dying creatively, last week they ripped Penn State and had my head spinning like Penn State had just happened the day prior to the episode airing. I’d like to see SVU w/o Warren Leight though, he has turned the series into “Law & Order: Criminal Intent: SVU”, which irks me.

    Revolution is holding it’s own with The Voice, but I’d like to see it depart Mondays next season. I’d like to see ANY NBC show paired with The Voice air on it’s own w/o it.

  • Reed Addison

    It’s really hard to predict shows like Whitney because there was rumors all year last year that it was going to get canceled and it never did. Whitney has yet to settle in since its been back, Thanksgiving and the week off last week doesn’t help its momentum but if Whitney settles back to last year’s numbers it will likely stick around.

    I think some of you guys are onto something when it comes to shows that NBC owns and the producers being tied to the network. Someone hit the nail on the head last year saying that if Chelsea was owned by Universal instead of Warner Bros. it would probably be back this season. That’s why I see some of these shows coming back for that reason. Like somebody mentioned before Whitney and also Up All Night are getting close to syndication, this renewal is likely the key one in both series. If they both get renewed again then they will be around the next couple of seasons guaranteed.

  • Brian

    Glad to see Revolution and Grimm doing well as usual. I hope they continue to do well when they both return in March after the winter. Merry Christmas to you all and have a Happy New Year for when we re-convene again after the holidays :)

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