NBC: 'Whitney' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

December 4th, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-December 2, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
30 Rock final season 0.68
Whitney :cry: :cry: 0.68
Up All Night :cry: :cry: 0.71
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.76
Parks & Recreation :) :) :) :) 0.91
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.92
Chicago Fire :) :) :) :) 0.94
Law & Order: SVU :) :) :) :) 0.95
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.99
The New Normal :) :) :) :) 1.00
The Office final season 1.15
Go On :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.69

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Whitney was downgraded to "likely to be canceled" last week, but Chicago Fire usurped the headline. Now her time in the headline has come!

With the ratings for Chicago Fire and Law & Order:SVU now effectively converged, I can't justify different predictions for them. Since their ratings (except for last week) have had them at or above the NBC scripted average each week, so they're both likely to be renewed. Of course, an old show like L&O:SVU can have the ratings for renewal, but its costs might drive it into being canceled. If the spring ratings don't paint a clearer picture, I'll wonder about that later.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Mary 1

    I see NBC canceling the shows with the lowest ratings. Complaining that a show would do better if only it was in this time slot or that it does OK in repeats will not be a good enough reason to save it. That just sounds like one of those fan excuse bingo slots.

  • Jamie

    I hope Go On makes it, I really enjoy that show. Soon it won’t have The Voice anymore and we’ll have to see how well it holds (if at all). Next year will be interesting with TV since Christina and Cee-Lo are leaving; hopefully the new judges are as engaging but who even knows.

  • THE OLD MAN

    I say Whitney is a goner & take GWK & UAN with her

  • Melissa

    NBC Scripted Average: 1.8

    I’ve compiled all off the scripted ratings data for NBC this season. All of the seasonal averages listed below (and the scripted average) are up-to-date as of Sunday, December 2, 2012.

    Shows Above Average:

    Revolution – 3.1
    Go On – 2.6
    The Office – 2.1
    The New Normal – 2.0

    Shows Equal to Average:

    Parenthood – 1.8
    Law & Order: Special Victims Unit – 1.8

    Shows Below Average:

    Chicago Fire – 1.7
    Grimm – 1.7
    Parks and Recreation – 1.7
    Guys With Kids – 1.6
    Up All Night – 1.3
    Whitney – 1.3
    30 Rock – 1.2
    Animal Practice – 1.2

  • Salias

    SVU is doing okay on Wednesdays, it’s not Fan Excuse Bingo on this show. I want it to move off Wed, so something else can be put there. I think Grimm & SVU make an excellent pair, Rock Center kicking off Friday nights.

    Friday:
    Rock Center – 8PM
    Grimm – 9PM
    Law & Order: SVU – 10PM

  • KJ Styles

    Whitney should have been cancelled last year. It’s an awful show and it’s ratings don’t warrant renewal.

  • Jay

    Agree with the predictions, can’t see anything changing w/ perhaps SVU due to cost, etc. Chicago Fire is the best new show I have seen in a few years so will be glad when it is renewed. SVU has not proven to be a good lead-in for CF, example being when CF garnered a 2.3 the one time it aired after The Voice. Disclosure: find The Voice awful and never bought the lead-in thing. Guess it works witness the largely lame Revolution. I use the remote to choose what I watch, don’t care is on before or after.

  • Leondre

    @Jay
    Chicago Fire is only on after SVU, because in 2010, Dick Wolf told NBC to premiere any show he makes for the network after SVU.

  • GSN

    I’m sorry but you’d have to be an idiot or a complete hater to think that Whitney, Guys with Kids, or Up All Night are going to be cancelled. Ratings won’t determine their renewal trust me on this one.

  • LucyFan

    How is PARKS & REC not a toss up? Its ratings are down to VAMPIRE DIARIES levels…

  • omabin

    The thing with NBC is that they have so many shows debuting or coming back at midseason, especially dramas, that it makes it really tricky to predict.

    As it is, my predictions are:
    - Go On: Renewal
    - Parks and Recreation: Renewal
    - The New Normal: Renewal, but the big test is yet to come
    - Up All Night: Renewal (I know everyone disagrees with me on this one, but I think they will bring it back, and I don’t even watch the show)
    -
    - Parenthood: Renewal
    - Revolution: Renewal
    - Grimm: Renewal
    - SVU: Final Season Renewal (to fridays?)
    - Chicago Fire: probably the hardest call of the season at this point, as it could genuienly go either way, depending on midseason dramas. I think do no harm will flop, that deception won’t do much better than it is doing and that smash will be below parenthood (having nothing on hannibal without its schedule) so… renewal

  • Nick

    What NBC should do in 2013-2014:

    Mon-
    8: The Voice/ The Biggest Loser
    10: The Eleventh Commandment (new)

    Tue-
    8: The Voice
    9: Untitled Cee Lo Green Project (new)
    9:30: Go On
    10: Untitled Cuaron & Friedman Project (new)

    Wed-
    8: Parenthood
    9: Revolution
    10: Family Affair (new)

    Thu-
    8: Community (13 episode final season)
    8:30: Parks & Recreation
    9: Untitled Michael J. Fox project (new)
    9:30: The New Normal
    10: Law & Order: SVU

    Fri-
    8: Dateline
    9: Grimm
    10: Hench (new)

    Sat-
    8: Untitled MJF project (R)
    8:30: Untitled Cee Lo Green Project (R)
    9: Dateline NBC
    10: Law & Order: SVU (R)

    Sun- (midseason)
    7: Dateline NBC
    8: Howie Mandel’s Take It All/ The Biggest Loser
    9: The Celebrity Apprentice

  • MJDB

    My predictions:

    Revolution-Certain Renewal
    Go On-Certain Renewal
    The New Normal-Likely Renewal
    Parenthood-Certain Renewal
    Whitney-On the Bubble
    Guys With Kids-On the Bubble
    Law and Order: SVU-Likely Renewal
    Chicago Fire-Likely Renewal
    Up All Night-Likely Cancellation
    Parks and Recreation-Likely Renewal
    Rock Center With Brian Williams-On the Bubble
    Grimm-Certain Renewal

  • HEY YA

    NBC is nothing without Whitney

  • stevoreno

    So Parks and Rec is currently the only comedy that NBC is likely to keep for next year? I actually buy that. It seems like they are wanting to start fresh so I wouldn’t be surprised. I love Community but it is already de facto canceled. I think the new regime has really made it clear they don’t like or want the show. It will be interesting to see how many comedies they pick up next season.

  • stevoreno

    Oops! Fogot about Go On! which looks safe. So there are two.

  • Bob Saget

    THANK GOD CANCEL WHITNEY AND NEVER BRING HER BACK EVER AGAIN OKAY PLEASE DO THIS PLEASE. OK THANKS BYE

  • Nikki

    Parenthood is looking pretty safe, if they do cancel it for some odd reason it would be a big mistake. The show is always consistant and does well in a tough timeslot. And plus its close to syndication so i dont see them cancelling it when its so close. Seems like it would be a silly move.

  • Alex

    Lucky for Whitney she’s involved with 2 Broke Girls as well, so if she loses her sitcom I won’t feel too sorry for her because she’ll have the other one to work on.

  • The End

    @Alex

    She could insert herself into Season 3 of 2 Broke Girls in all honesty, as a reccuring role. That would cover her acting, and her producing duties.

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