ABC: 'Happy Endings' Still A Toss Up To Be Canceled Or Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

December 11th, 2012

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-December 9, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23 :oops: 0.53
Happy Endings :| :| :| 0.60
Private Practice canceled 0.61
Last Resort canceled 0.66
666 Park Avenue canceled 0.66
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.69
Malibu Country (F) :| :| :| 0.71
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.87
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.88
Scandal :) :) :) :) 0.91
The Neighbors :) :) :) :) 0.92
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.43
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.49
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.10

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The news that Happy Endings'  woeful ratings is sorely testing my rule that shows in their third season will fall no further than a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation because of the pull of the syndication gods. Having been burned twice by another low rated Sony sitcom ('Til Death), I'm still gunshy about moving it to "likely canceled". Call me "chicken". Heck, I'll call myself "chicken". Cluck, cluck!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • PCT

    Happy Endings is scheduled to be on until March. It just won’t air that one week due to the two-hour premiere of THE TASTE.

  • Jeff (Canada)

    I’m 75% sure that we’ll be seeing a season 4 of Happy Endings. Where, and when, are still up in the air. But wherever it goes, I’m sure it’ll still be “very funny”. ;)

  • THE OLD MAN

    “Ding Dong the B—- is dead!”

  • taylor

    Praying for a season 4 of Happy Endings. C’mon TBS!

  • DeanW

    Can’t wait to see Grey’s Anatomy ending. This show was good during its four first seasons. Now it’s boring and the Actors wanted to escape last season but they already stayed for money !

  • allyo

    I cant see happy endings being renewed it ratings simply are not good enough for abc. It’s a shame as the show was doing very well last year in the post modern family slot, i guess it didnt have a large loyal fanbase after all

  • Rebecca

    Still enjoying HE but so far nothing has been funnier than their Valentine’s episode – IMO that was its best episode. Enjoying A23, too, but I’m fine with it being canceled soon if that’s what happens. My other comedies are somewhat safe, plus OUAT.

  • Chad

    Happy Endings MUST have a season 4.

  • Ram510

    SCANDAL!!!!

  • gerry

    grey’s isn’t going anywhere. look at it on the index. if they don’t re-sign, abc will still give it a season to see how it does without them. they can’t afford to lose it.

  • Just Desserts

    I’m still annoyed that ABC didn’t announce Private Practice is ending back in June when Kate Walsh said she was leaving.

  • Fred

    @Rebecca,

    The Valentine episode was a comedy classic. While not every ep makes me laugh straight through , most have me giggling throughout.

    I have been a disappointed with OUAT this season. Just a few standout eps for me (Captain Hooks introduction and the Winter Finale). While I’m still entertained, it doesn’t WOW me like last season. Last season a solid A (would’ve been an A+ but a few eps were filler). This season I would rate it a B.

    Same for

  • Ricky

    I would say HE might be going down very soon. After all, it’s kinda in a Cougar-Town-type fix, third season but nowhere near syndication-ready yet.

    The Elimination Game: now with All-Stars! http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2012/12/09/play-the-elimination-game-page-2/160888/comment-page-4/#comments

  • tommie

    Considering Sony got it renewed after the ratings disaster that was the first season, I’m pretty sure they’ll throw everything and the kitchen sink at ABC to get them to renew it.

  • Steve

    May as well go ahead and add “Zero Hour” to ABC’s Likely to be Cancelled list.

  • TSC’s Revenge

    I just don’t understand all of the hate for Apt23! It’s ratings are nearly even with Happy Endings yet it is rated as a Certain to be Cancelled while Happy Endings is rated a tossup?  Last Tuesday HE was on at 9pm with a 1.3 demo rating.  Apt23 followed with a 1.2 demo rating.  Considering the later time slot… nearly identical.  Apt23 has had some rave critical reviews… let’s not forget Cheers… nearly canceled it’s first year and went on to become one of the most successful shows in history. 

  • Tom

    Well, HE doesn’t follow “THE” rule, as they will only be at 56 episodes, and the show needs more than 1 full season to get to 88.

    I think Sony tries very hard to get it to 88; at this point, given the schedule burial, if it happens, it will probably be on cable (CC, USA, etc.)

  • Jeff (Canada)

    @TSC’s Revenge

    There are several things wrong with your argument.

    1. No one here HATES Apt 23. In fact most of us probably love it, and that includes the people who make this great site. The Renew/Cancel Index is based off the relative ratings Apt 23 brings in for ABC, so it being the low man on the totem pole isn’t anyone here’s fault.

    2. Being ‘nearly rated’ isn’t equal. Happy Endings is above it (not by much, have you), and if Happy Endings were in its 2nd season right now, not its 3rd (and not as close to syndication), Happy Endings would have the same dismal rating as Apt 23.

    3. Lots of shows have had rave critical reviews. That means squat to advertisers. That’s the world we live in.

    4. You can’t compare the TV landscape of 25 years ago with what we have today. It’s two totally different beasts.

  • Sarah

    @Just Desserts

    I agree. I think anyone with a brain knew it would be cancelled without her.

  • tommie

    @TSC’s Revenge: I just don’t understand all of the hate for Apt23! It’s ratings are nearly even with Happy Endings yet it is rated as a Certain to be Cancelled while Happy Endings is rated a tossup?

    First of all, I love Apartment 23 and would be more than happy to see it renewed, but let’s face it – it’s in the ratings basement, it will only have 26 episodes at the end of this season and they wrapped filming for season 2 last week.

    Happy Endings might be pardoned by the syndication Gods despite being a season and a half away and Sony has been known to basically sell their low-rated comedies for basically nothing if syndication is within reach (hello ‘Til Death!). I could easily see ABC/Sony do a Rules of Engagement type of deal where it’ll be filler programming from now on. It’s proven that it can do well on Wednesdays between successful comedies.

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