CBS: 'CSI:NY' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

December 11th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-December 9, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F) :cry: :cry: 0.52
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.53
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.66
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.66
Vegas :cry: :cry: 0.70
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.78
Partners* canceled 0.79
Elementary :) :) :) :) 0.89
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.92
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.14
How I Met Your Mother** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.18
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.29
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.43
Big Bang Theory already renewed 1.92

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CBS has debuted three new dramas every Fall since 2006-7. I'd expect them to do the same next Fall. So unless they have some schedule wizardry up their sleeves I haven't seen before (holding back Undercover Boss won't help!) they'll need to cancel three of their Fall 2012 dramas to make room for three more next Fall. With Made In Jersey gone, and Vegas a likely cancellation, that means one more Fall drama had to go.

With most of the decision making criteria for that choice hidden from the public, the news last week that CSI:NY would end its season in February to make room for Golden Boy tips my prediction for it into "likely canceled".

For the time being, I'm keeping both The Good Wife and The Mentalist as toss ups for renewal or cancellation. However unlikely it may be based on recent history (I believe The Unit in 2006 was the last CBS spring rookie to get a renewal), a renewal for Golden Boy would require another Fall 2012 drama to be canceled to make room for it in the Fall of 2013. I'll wait to see its spring ratings before jumping to conclusions. Commenters may feel free to jump at their leisure.

Why are Hawaii Five-0 and Blue Bloods "certain to be renewed"? Both dramas are in their third seasons and need a fourth to reach the "magic" 88 episodes for stripped syndication. Both are "certain to be renewed" for their fourth seasons next year. Read more about that here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • sally

    keep CSI,NY GET READ OF THE MOST SCRIPTED BAD SHOW ON TV uNDERCOVER bOSS,

  • sally

    WHATS THE gOLDEN bOY? PUT tHE mENTALIST BACK ON thURSDAY.GET READ OF tHE gOOD wIFE

  • Court

    I went csiny to stay season 10 show is good but do it had good run to bad CBS can make show stay long on Friday night. Keep kill the off.

  • RG-X

    So why is CBS bothering with a cross-over episode with the 2 series?

    And they better give CSI NY a good send off- and not some generic ending that has no ending – do it right and finish the series.

  • Mak

    Wasn’t last weeks Menalist a repeat, which would explain it’s low numbers. Not only that, it was a repeat from the middle of last season. I’ll bet that if we looked at the numbers for repeats, those that are out of order seasonwise do much poorer than in season ones.

    Maybe the Mentalist has slipped a little bit, but it’s still a better show than NY or the Good Wife. Vegas may or may not get cancelled but Elementary consistently wins its night and pulls in good enough numbers to sustain another season.

  • CenterGravity

    Kill The Good Wife and Vegas. Save The Mentalist and CSI: New York.

  • Cancellation Bear

    I just love to feast on cops and detectives!

  • Nick

    What CBS should do for 2013-2014:

    Mon-
    8: How I Met Your Mother (full final season)
    8:30: Mike & Molly
    9: 2 Broke Girls
    9:30: Untitled Vanessa McCarthy project (new)
    10: Elementary

    Tue-
    8: NCIS
    9: Untitled NCIS: LA spinoff (new)
    10: NCIS: Los Angeles

    Wed-
    8: CSI
    9: Criminal Minds
    10: Darkness Falls (new)

    Thu-
    8: The Big Bang Theory
    8:30: Two and a Half Men (13 episode final season)
    9: Person of Interest
    10: Intelligence (new)

    Fri-
    8: Undercover Boss
    9: Hawaii 5-0
    10: Blue Bloods

    Sat-
    8: CSI (R)
    9: The Mentalist (R)
    10: 48 Hours Mystery

    Sun-
    7: 60 Minutes
    8: Survivor
    9: The Amazing Race
    10: The Mentalist

  • Justin121

    Methinks CBS Sundays is subject to Friday-like special considerations.

    I don’t believe either The Mentalist or The Good Wife will be cancelled come May.

    The M still has life left in it and not-bad-for-Sunday (10pm in 2013) ratings.

    That is in line with TV By The Numbers predictions for CBS this year:

    CSI: NY: cancelled.
    Mentalis, the: Renewed.
    Good Wife, the: Renewed.

    Not much to discuss in the CBS threads until new shows are picked up / Elemntary airs after Super Bowl.

  • Contrarian

    The same thing happened to CSI NY last season (order cut) and Miami was the one to be cancelled. So either NY will be back because it survived getting its order cut once before … or it won’t because you can only escape the bear so many times…

  • Nick

    Oi. CSI: NY has not had its order cut! Why don’t you people get that! It simply didn’t get extra episodes.

  • Jimbo

    “Oi. CSI: NY has not had its order cut! Why don’t you people get that! It simply didn’t get extra episodes.”

    Yeah, but not getting the extra episodes sure isn’t a good thing.

  • The End

    @Nick
    @8:30: Two and a Half Men (13 episode final season)

    Hahahaha, No.

    Absolutely no chance the show will get a 13 episode ‘final season’. It’l get a full season and won’t be announced as the last either. You obviously didn’t read my response to that on the other CBS prediction thread, I honestly don’t get where some people get this nonsense from.

  • rob60990

    According to Deadline, CBS picked up a Chuck Lorre comedy pilot so I won’t be surprised if Two & a Half Men ends if this gets picked up as a series.

  • The End

    @rob60990

    Plenty of space for such a pilot. If it gets past the initial hurdles and gets picked up for a 13 episode order. Some people are going to be feeling awfully stupid when CBS announces the renewal of Two and a Half Men for a full season.

  • Mon

    Well, CSI: NY was also “likely to be cancelled” same time last year and still got renewed. Only CBS knows. I hope CBS does some magic again that can keep NY on air. I think it will do great after CSI original.

    I also don’t get why would CSI: NY get incredibly expensive after just one year? It beat Miami last year that had just gotten millions of dollars worth of syndication money from AMC plus they said AMC was willing to shoulder some expenses had Miami gotten another season. So, NY must have brought A LOT more than that to the table. I can’t understand why this year would be any much different? I don’t think the actors asked for a raised? If anything, I suspect everyone took a paycut. I think The Good Wife is safe just because of critical acclaim. So it’s The Mentalist and CSI: NY fighting for a spot. If ever The Mentalist gets it, well I guess Miami kind of died for nothing?

  • Mon

    NY’s order wasn’t cut. CBS originally ordered 17 eps to make room for the tight schedule. They could have ordered (or cut) 13 to premiere Golden Boy earlier but didn’t. 17 is better than 13. As a fan I’m VERY thankful.

  • rob60990

    Space on schedule isn’t the problem if that comedy gets picked up. The question is can Chuck Lorre handle 4 comedies?

  • The End

    @rob60990

    You naturally devote the most attention to your best performing shows. We have no way of knowing if this pilot gets picked up for a series if it will perform, or if it will come to anything. Being picked up for a pilot doesn’t mean you’l get more than just that.

  • jk

    Long live CSI:NY! It will have 197 episodes after this season, and it deserves at least another 3. CBS owes CSI:NY and its fans a proper sendoff by letting us know when it will be canceled (especially after the backdoor crap they pulled on CSI: Miami — which pulled in 20 million viewers for CBS during its prime). I don’t think I can sit through another season finale not knowing if it will be the show’s last.

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