CW: If '90210,' 'Hart Of Dixie,' & 'Beauty & The Beast' Have The Same Ratings, Which Gets Canceled?

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

December 11th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-December 9, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Nikita (F) :) :) :) :) 0.45
Emily Owens, M.D. canceled 0.52
Gossip Girl final season 0.53
90210 :| :| :| 0.67
Hart Of Dixie :| :| :| 0.78
Beauty And The Beast :| :| :| 0.97
Supernatural :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.25
Arrow :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.69
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.95

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All three of the CW shows in the "mediocre middle" (90210, Hart Of Dixie, Beauty & The Beast) scored the same 0.5 adults 18-49 ratings last week. If that continues, which one of the three is going to get canceled?

Given similar ratings, I'm inclined to believe that 90210 gets a short farewell season. In deciding between a weak sophomore show (Hart Of Dixie) and a weak freshman show (Beauty & The Beast) I'm inclined to believe the CW picks the sophomore. However, comparable ratings in early December do not always lead to comparable ratings in the spring (ask the bitter Secret Circle fans!). Fans of all three shows will probably  remain worried until May.

How can Nikita with the lowest ratings on the network be "likely to be renewed"? The pull of a fourth season for syndication purposes is one of the strongest forces in the TV universe. Read more about it here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Fred

    Yeah and its at 0.4 again so how is that falling. Nikita is a friday show and how can you lie so much when has HoD gotten 0.9 this season ? I don’t see it. HoD got 0.7 last season so it has fallen.

  • RyanCanada

    well i hope 90210 gets cancelled, its outdone its run, i stoped watching last season, Hart Of Dixie has alot of promise, and so does BATB, i say cancel 90210, renew BATB and HOD

  • Jared

    I think that the chances of all of these series being renewed will have to do with what the CW orders for next season. Currently the CW has a lot of SciFi/fantasy dramas in development(Amazon..Embrace..Wunderland..Sleepy Hollow..Copeland Prep..The Selection)which could easily be paired with BATB if it gets renewed. To me..series like 90210 and HoD(both of which I love) will he the harder sell in terms of what to pair them with next Fall.

  • jrh

    KEEP Hart of Dixie, Got tired of Beauty after a few shows…

  • Tom

    The only reason I’d pick HOD is because it sometimes presents a scene that’s actually humorous. In contrast, the scenes on B&B are so badly written that they’re unintentionally laughable. Let’s face it, Nina Lisandrello’s portrayal of Catherine’s “streetwise” partner is so hokey that no viewer unfortunate enough to witness it could keep a straight face. Then there’s KK running around looking like a fashion model with an oversized gun. Add to that the fact that Vincent in his Beast mode looks like someone suffering an attack of indigestion and you’ve got a show just begging to be cancelled.

  • calob

    i think they should delete a lot of shows to make room for the sci fi ones in development, (batb, hod, 90210, nikita)

  • Brandy

    #@red, HoD got a 0.8 for its premiere and 0.8_0.9 for episode five last season.Yrs Nikita rose back to two 0.4 but before that season two ended with 0.4 ,season three started with 0.3& under a million viewers, than 3.2 fell to 0.2& under a million viewers so yes thats falling & im not lying.Hod did get a 0.7 for season two premiere not 0.9 like you miread me saying.

  • Brandy

    @Fred, what do you call going under 2million viewers,premiering at 1.4 & ending at 0.7 for Nikitas season one?Or stsrting season two at 0.6,down from its first season finale,then after Christmas going to a 0.5& then last seven episodes at 0.4 in season two? Or season three premiering below a million viewers and down from its season two finale?Or the second episode of season three getting 0.2 ,down in demo from week nefore and still under million vieerrs? The Only reason the last couple episodes got 0.4s is cause Amanda was in them nut I expect the ones without her to get 0.3s and the ones shes in be a little higher rated but I also expect Nikita to fall come Jan or at the very least ,spring cause that happens.

  • MeiAmJohanna

    Beauty and the Beast is the BOMB! Meaning that it’s a hit. I love it. I can’t wait until the next ep. I can feel the love and the pain that each person feels. It’s a lot better than SuperNatural which should’ve ended at the fifth season. I mean I loved it until season six came along and that is where they lost me and angry me. they should’ve ended at season five… the ending was perfect. Don’t cancelled Beauty and the Beast, it’s an awesome show.

  • Fred

    Brandy what do you call from starting at 0.9 then going down to 0.5-0.6 for HoD = Falling down

    Nikita ROSE back up to what it had in april-may last season. Yeah it dropped because of the timeslot but it rose again.
    Amanda has nothing to do with the ratings it was the timeslot with a reality show about wannabe models as a lead in. It has no crossover viewers with an action show. Before you say it shouldn’t need a lead in take a look at 5 year old Castle when it has no good lead in just to give an example.

  • Brandy

    @Fred, my point was Nikita has fallen a lot in three seasons,going from 1.4 to series low of 0.2& Hart went from a high of 0.8_0.9 to steady 0.5_0.6 for going on two seasons.Its just my thought about Amanda and the ratings as the firdt three episodes without her Nikita 0.2_0.3& under a million viewers and rose in episodes 4_6 when Amanda was on to 0.4& over a million viewers.Shes the only good villian show the show has now without Percy.Regardles,Hart will most likley at 0.5_0.6 while Nikita continues the pattern of dropping in Jan and spring,like it always has and most shows do.

  • Fred

    Brandy you really are bending the facts extremely much. Fact is all shows fall Nikita was on 0.8-0.7 on the last couple of episodes on thursdays. Then it got moved to friday and has only fallen about 0.3 by a friday move. I say its not that bad at all over 3 seasons.

    So you also think the only show not dropping is gonna be your precious HoD i mean get real here lol. How biased can you be. For your info the first appearance Amanda was in was ep 4 at the 9pm slot and it got 0.3. So again you are so wrong and like i said it was that awful timeslot with that awful lead in.

  • Gail

    oh, please, please, please! spare Beauty and the Beast. i think this is one of the best shows that ever aired now a days.

  • omabin

    Beauty and the Beast is certain to be canceled IMO. I think both Hart and 90210 are safe even considering the midseason shows. Possibilities:
    - both cult/carrie diaries flop: cw cancels both together with beauty and the beast and adds a reality show filter to the friday 9pm hour, thus premiering 3 fall shows (gossip girl, emily owens and beauty and the beast current spos) and eventually a 4h one when 90210 finishes its short season, a la carrie diaris this year
    - one out of cult/carrie diaries is renewed: cw cancels the ones that flops together with beauty and the beast and moves a veteran show to the monday at 9pm hour on friday to die (90210 maybe?). Three spots remain open on monday-thursday so cw can try 3 new shows
    - both cult/carrie diaries are renewed: some veteran show is shipped of to fridays and beauty and the beast is canceled. this leaves two monday-thursday free spots, which means that in this case something else will need to go. I think this is a very unlikely scenario because i don’t see both midseason shows being renewed, but if this is the case, i say the cw passes on that final 90210 season and pairs carrie diaries with hart of dixie for their by then only girly night of the week, filling the rest with supernatural/action stuff.

  • Zoe

    I am totally hooked on Hart of Dixie. Let’s hope it doesn’t get cancelled because it would be a shame.

  • Sally

    My family love love love Hart of Dixie. It is one of our must see every week

  • katya

    hhart of dixie – cancelled

  • Fred

    Omabin I think Nikita is gonna stay on friday 8pm timeslot next season so how will 2 other shows move there. Or did i misread what you wrote ?

    Yeah i believe BatB is toast a freshman show getting 0.6 after their biggest ratings hit does not cut it.

  • Adrienne

    Beauty and the beast will be renewed.

  • samantha

    B&B needs to stay on. They need to keep shows like this that have new storylines. Not the same old thing like the other shows. This is an awesome show! I don’t watch much tv because most shows have similar plots or story lines. For oncethis is something different and should come back for many more seasoned.

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