CW: If '90210,' 'Hart Of Dixie,' & 'Beauty & The Beast' Have The Same Ratings, Which Gets Canceled?

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

December 11th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-December 9, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Nikita (F) :) :) :) :) 0.45
Emily Owens, M.D. canceled 0.52
Gossip Girl final season 0.53
90210 :| :| :| 0.67
Hart Of Dixie :| :| :| 0.78
Beauty And The Beast :| :| :| 0.97
Supernatural :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.25
Arrow :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.69
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.95

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All three of the CW shows in the "mediocre middle" (90210, Hart Of Dixie, Beauty & The Beast) scored the same 0.5 adults 18-49 ratings last week. If that continues, which one of the three is going to get canceled?

Given similar ratings, I'm inclined to believe that 90210 gets a short farewell season. In deciding between a weak sophomore show (Hart Of Dixie) and a weak freshman show (Beauty & The Beast) I'm inclined to believe the CW picks the sophomore. However, comparable ratings in early December do not always lead to comparable ratings in the spring (ask the bitter Secret Circle fans!). Fans of all three shows will probably  remain worried until May.

How can Nikita with the lowest ratings on the network be "likely to be renewed"? The pull of a fourth season for syndication purposes is one of the strongest forces in the TV universe. Read more about it here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Alexandra

    I think that 90210 and Hart of Dixie must be canceled because is something that dosen’t bring atention for fans. And beauty and the beast must have a season 2 because is a dark side of a classical story

  • Melissa

    I enjoy watching Beauty and the Beast. I look forward to it on Thursday night after Vampire Diaries. I do not watch Hart of Dixie or 90210. Please don’t cancel Beauty and the Beast.

  • Luca

    I golpe that BATB will ve renewed because is an amazing and beautiful show!!!! It must be renewed!!! Please!!!!!

  • Arimas2305

    Really hoping beauty and the beast gets a second season. I love this show. Gets better and better with each episode. Another amazing show is hart of dixie…love the crazy and weird off this small town

  • Cc

    Really hoping B & B will be canceled :)

  • CC

    I really want to see ‘canceled’ next to title “Beauty And The Beast” :)

  • Brandy

    Fred, going from a 0.7 for season one finale to a 0.2 for episode 3.2& under a million viewers in two two seasons or less is a lot.Take Ringer or SC for example:they both started out at 1.2/1.3 and ended at 0.4 for Ringer & 0.6 after a couple 0.5s for SC (0.4 being Ringers low &0.5 SCs low.Beauty & the Beast too_started at 1.2& last week had its low of 0.5.Just over its first season,Nikita lost 6 tenths in demo then intwo, it lost two more tenths and also lost a tenth in between seasons one and two and between season two and three. Losing eight to ten tenths in demo in three seasons(from 1.4 premiere to series low of 0.2) is major falling fast and hard.If it was the timeslot or leadin, why didnt Nikita rise more than one tenth?It just went from horrible to awful ratings.Also, a show in its thirdseason shouldnt need a leadin,it shouldve built an audience that would watch it whenever its on (8pm,9pm, Fri or not)& no matter the leadin.Just because people who watch Nikita but dont watch Top Model dosent mean they dont know how to turn on tv or change the channel to Nikita when Top Models over.Top Model got the same but mostly better ratings than Nikita when they aired together so if thats true, Top Model wasnt a bad lead just different than the show it was leading into.CW had to put Top Model and Nikita somewhere and had no where else to put them so they got paired together.Instead of complaining about Nikitas timeslot or leadin how bout you just enjoy it while you have it and be thankful you still have it for season three and maybe four.What will you exsuce be when Nikita falls sometime during the second half of the season?Cant blame the leadin cause it dosent have one.Cant blame the timeslot cause its back at 8pm.

  • Brandy

    Also, you should consider the fact that CW was trying to help Nikita by giving it a leadin cause it didnt do well witout one last season and brought SPN (,which nikita was a leadin for) down when nikita was getting 0.4s, Spn went from 0.8_0.9 in fall to 0.6 .Also,if beauty and beastpilot rerun and SzpN could both get 0.6 (,SPN did better than 0.6s in fall) in the 9pm slot, Wwhy cant/didnt Nikita get better ratings? Its not the timeslot if other shows can and do or have done better.

  • Fred

    I see now there is no point in arguing with a you. Since you keep bending the truth and ignoring what i write. I said why does Five 0 and Castle need a lead in they are a 3rd and 5th year show they also go down with a bad lead in and its the same with almost all shows. ANTM was no lead in for an action show. Those repeats you mentioned getting a 0.6 was for the pilots when they were up against only repeats from other channels. Now Arrow repeats gets about 0.2 on Nikita’s old timeslot. You keep saying its gone down to 0.2 that is also a lie because its now up to 0.4 again which it had in april – march. So its not gone down.

  • Teresa

    keep beauty and the beast !!!!!!!!!!!

  • Fred

    You also lie when you said the BatB pilot on friday got 0.6. It didn’t it got 0.4 and these 2 repeats that aired that day was against no competition only repeats that day. Nikita is a better lead in for SPN then ANTM is for Nikita there is crossover audience from these 2. Look at your precious HoD it has now fallen from 0.9-0.8 to 0.5-06 only in a 2nd season and it does not have a friday excuse.

  • Melissa

    BEAUTY AND THE BEAST MUST BE SAVED! 90210 IS THE SAME OLD THING IM TIRED OF IT.
    SAVED BEAUTY AND THE BEAST AND HART OF DIXIE

  • John A

    Bondoel has returned as ‘Fred’ i see.

  • Brandy

    Fred, my mistake as another website had the Beauty repeat at 0.6.Anyway loosing only three tenths over a season and half isnt bad as most new shows usually loose more.Nikiya lost 6tenths in season one and by seasons twos end had lost three more.Arrow so far this season also seems to be pretty stable(i dont watch) like Hart but time wiill tell.Look at Beauty ,it lost four tenths between episode one and two and five between episodes one and three and six tenths by episode eight though episode nine rose.

  • Brandy

    @ Fred, Bondoel, you lie about everthing being reruns fri oct 12.i just checked this site and Shark Tank,Fringe,Grimm,Csi:Ny at least were new.There was a xfactor repeat.

  • Brandy

    @fred bondoel,20/20,Dateline,Primetime what would you do were also new that night.Only reapeats were NCIS,xfactor,Arrow,Beauty &the Beast.So you lie about Beauty repeats having no competition.

  • Fred

    Pilot repeats usually get good ratings right after they premiered. So i was a wrong about BatB repeat but Arrow was against only repeats except for Shark Tank. But you bend the truth on everything.

  • Melissa

    They CANNOT cancel Beauty and the Beast!!! I love this show so much. It Is my favorite show out of everything else that is on T.V. KEEP IT GOING PLZ!!!

  • Rosie

    Definitely Beauty and the Beast will stay. The show is getting better and better!

  • herpderp

    It’s funny when foreigners try to dictate what American networks should do.

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