FOX: 'The Cleveland Show' Is A Toss Up To Be Canceled Or Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

December 11th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-December 9, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) final season 0.49
The Mob Doctor canceled 0.53
Ben And Kate :oops: 0.72
Raising Hope :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.85
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.86
The Cleveland Show :| :| :| 0.96
Bones :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.08
American Dad already renewed 1.15
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.18
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.27
Family Guy already renewed 1.45
The Simpsons already renewed 1.65

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Often my partner in crime writes about something before I get around to it, and that's what happened with The Cleveland Show. It's the only one of Fox's animated shows without an order for episodes beyond this season, and with the extra lead time needed for animated production it may have already passed the date needed to get episodes for next season into production. At the end of this season it will already have 88 episodes, so the syndication gods are not compelled to step in to save it. For that reason it's now a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.

Raising Hope is predicted as "certain to be renewed" even with its somewhat weak early ratings. While the syndication gods ruling Fox aren't quite as predictable as those ruling CBS, it would take nothing short of a cataclysm to prevent the show from getting a fourth season. Read more about it here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • kiber9

    @Sarah Not really sweating it but if Bones was moved to Friday, so be it, it’s still another season on Bones, that’s a plus in my book.

  • Jim

    @tjw

    I did not say that this season would be the last; Simpsons is renewed through next season. Series finale either in 2014 or 2015 regardless.

    Here’s how I see Animation Domination during 2013-14:
    7:30: The Cleveland Show (if it gets renewed)
    8:00: The Simpsons (Farewell Season)
    8:30: Bob’s Burgers / Murder Police
    9:00: Family Guy
    9:30: American Dad

  • Sarah

    @kiber9

    “@Sarah Not really sweating it but if Bones was moved to Friday, so be it, it’s still another season on Bones, that’s a plus in my book.”

    True, but it doesn’t deserve that, IMO, especially if it’ll be the final season.

  • Nick

    @r0ckmypants

    If you used that logic, then the Renew/Cancel Index wouldn’t start until May 2013, after the last network premiere (The Family Tools).
    Concerning TGG and The Following, networks usually renew at least 1 rookie drama and 1 rookie comedy to save face. With B&K, TMP, and TMD all flopping, those two are almost certain renewals.

    And Fox HAS ordered a pilot for the Wyman/Abrams project. This early in the season, it doesn’t really matter anyway what series has pilot orders or not, as pilots can still be ordered and shot.

  • Nick

    @SarahL

    Yes, it would definitely be better for Bones to be on Thursdays. However, Fox needs an anchor on Mondays. Glee won’t cut it, and The Following is apparently limited to airing in the winter/spring, although that could possibly change.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Concerning TGG and The Following, networks usually renew at least 1 rookie drama and 1 rookie comedy to save face. With B&K, TMP, and TMD all flopping, those two are almost certain renewals.”

    Your mileage may vary on that prediction. A lot.

    Fox canceled all their new sitcoms last season. I can’t be bothered to look for more examples, but I’m sure there are plenty in recent years.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Robert Seidman

    Fox canceled all their new sitcoms last season

    Nope…New Girl.

  • The End

    @Sarah

    Bones will get renewed, so no if there. I think it’s doing okay Monday, nothing particularly on Fox is performing fantastically.

    Personally I’m wondering how Touch will do, production on this show is likely over by now, so it makes me wonder how long Fox will keep them waiting if it performs well enough for renewal.

  • The End

    @kiber9

    The day won’t make much difference for Bones, it’s the same with most shows, though the ‘day’ is often used as excuse for shows doing poorly, if Nielsen families want to watch something, they’l watch it, regardless of what time of the day its on.

  • tjw

    In 2011, Fox canceled all of their new dramas (Lone Star, The Chicago Code and The Good Guys depending on what season you consider Summer 2010 to be) and very nearly did the same last year (Touch got renewed though it won’t air until 2013).

    In 2011, NBC canceled every new scripted show it aired except for Harry’s Law.

    In 2010, CBS canceled its new comedy (Accidentally on Purpose).

    In 2009, Fox canceled its new comedies (Sit Down, Shut Up and Do Not Disturb)

    In 2009, NBC canceled all of its new dramas, though that probably wouldn’t have happened had it not been for the Leno/Conan fiasco.

    In 2008, CBS canceled all of its new dramas (Cane, Moonlight, Viva Laughlin)

    In 2008, Fox canceled all of its new comedies (Back to You, The Return of Jezebel James, Unhitched)

    So that’s seven (almost eight) times in five seasons.

  • Sarah

    @The End

    “Bones will get renewed, so no if there. I think it’s doing okay Monday…”

    I just don’t want to jinx it since we still have all spring, unless they renew it early again. And like I said, while I prefer Thursday, I’ll take any day as long as it’s not Friday.

  • The End

    @Sarah

    Understandable, just take it one season at a time. At the moment it is performing well enough for renewal. Next season we’l just have to see where it is in that regard. 9 seasons is a great achievement, it won’t get beyond 10 though.

    If the Ninth season is the final one, I think it’d be better off staying on a day where it has performed respectfully, Monday works, it worked for House. Though House was ended because Hugh Laurie didn’t want to do anymore lol

  • Sarah

    @The End

    If it’s renewed, I hope they say “final season” from the get go so I’m not anxious and will have the whole season to come to term with it. lol

  • jesse

    Lmao@Fox

    How in the world did they renew Bob’s Burgers. That show is the worst animation i have seen.

  • Laura

    Bones was “renewed” for season 8 and 9 last season, Hart Hanson said so in an interview this year. But the season 9 renew was kind of hanging waiting to see the ratings and how the show would do in Season 8. David and Emily started renegotiating their contracts when this season started. So, from what HH said, at least in the bureaucratic side, it’s all good. Since the ratings have also been pretty decent (especially if you compare with everything else on Fox), it’s pretty much certain it will be back next season.

    Also, in a recent interview, Hart Hanson and Stephen Nathan both said they were very confident that they’d get a season 9, and that they should know for sure by the beginning of the year.

  • JakeSnake

    I’m still not sure why you guys don’t have Mindy Project as Likely Cancelled. The way things are going now I see Fox just dumping both of the new comedies and trying to start fresh next year.

  • Nick

    I’ll revise my statement. However, I do want to say that most of the shows mentioned above were HUGE flops.
    It is still safe to assume that a network will lean towards renewing a show if it is the only remaining show of a bunch of 3 or more.

  • The End

    @Sarah

    All part of the fun, waiting for that announcement to come :). Not so fun when your show is doing badly though LOL

    I agree that some form of notice should be given to Bones if Season 9 is the last, possibly by the time the final few episodes need to be written, they did this with House and it ended reasonably well, let’s hope Fox gives the show the same respect.

    @Laura
    @Bones was “renewed” for season 8 and 9 last season

    Do you have a source for this? I’ve heard nothing at all about a Season 9 renewal at the same time as the 8th, we know Season 9 will come however, but even so what you suggested is highly unusual and not something Fox would do.

  • tjw

    @Laura,

    “But the season 9 renew was kind of hanging waiting to see the ratings and how the show would do in Season 8.”

    That’s what we in the biz refer to as “not renewed.” Every network and every show is “kind of hanging waiting to see the ratings.” Hart Hanson and the actors may be signed on for a ninth season, but there’s no guarantee.

  • ToXiX

    I Hate My Teenage Daughter would be performing better than B&K & TMP. Should have renewed it Fox.

    Why so much Hate for Bobs Burgers? Its the funniest show on Animation Domination behind Family Guy. I’m thankful Fox let it live on and develop because this season has been great so far.

    I hope Cleveland Show is renewed but sadly it would Have been renewed by now if it was returning.

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