NBC: 'The New Normal' Is Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

December 11th, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-December 9, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
30 Rock final season 0.68
Whitney :cry: :cry: 0.70
Up All Night :cry: :cry: 0.71
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.77
Parks & Recreation :) :) :) :) 0.91
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.93
Law & Order: SVU :) :) :) :) 0.95
Chicago Fire :) :) :) :) 0.96
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.00
The New Normal :) :) :) :) 1.00
The Office final season 1.16
Go On :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.38
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.71

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The New Normal has become one of the anti-fan focal points of the current season among our commenters. Certainly some is driven by the content of the show, and some is driven by the Retentionista tendencies of many of our commenters.

The content of the show is irrelevant to the Cancellation Bear, and he views the retentionistas as the equivalent of TV prediction flat earthers.

Through 11 weeks, The New Normal ratings average was almost exactly that of all NBC scripted shows, and it has not fallen more than one tenth below the NBC scripted show average for any given week. As much as the retentionistas will rage, networks do not cancel new shows with average ratings.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • TVDude

    I never really thought TNN was in danger, although, I don’t think NBC will be as generous with its schedule next season by putting it on behind The Voice. It’s tough to say what the schedule will be like next year, but I think the new shows will really struggle since The Office won’t be around to bump up Thursday nights.

    Will the move Go On and The New Normal to 9pm/9:30pm Thursdays next season? It’s looking even worse next year than it is this year. It goes to show how NBC really depends on The Office, which is apparently show with narrow appeal, but Go On and The New Normal have broad appeal? I don’t get their logic, but I hope it works out for them. It seems NBC is definitely on planning expanding their multicam presence, so it’ll be interesting in May.

  • Max Vrany

    @Bill, I’m talking about your rule about predicting future ratings and how you break it more often than you’d like. Of course, you’re not the bear*, but still.

    *Or are you????

  • Josh

    I love “The New Normal”… funny show.

  • Melanie

    “TV prediction flat earthers”

    :D Gosh, I love it here where the world revolves around the demo–I mean, sun.

  • buttondiet

    I think TNN will be renewed for a smaller second season, 13 episodes to begin with maybe. and I think Whitney and Guys with Kids will air all the current ordered episodes, be replaced by mid-season shows without getting extended to 22 episodes and then both cancelled in May.

  • michelle

    @TVDude The thing about The Office is that it didn’t always have narrow appeal. It was a big hit for a while, but then Daniels/Schur left to focus on Parks and Rec, Carell left to focus on his movie career, the quality has dropped considerably, and there’s no longer a true star of the show. At this point, it’s much too weak in the ratings to really be an effective anchor and as its ratings have dropped, so have the ratings for everything else airing on Thursday.

    As for Go On/TNN, I think the former has broader appeal than the latter. Not sure where NBC will place these if they get renewed. Maybe leading off Wednesday nights? Thursday seems risky because they’d get slaughtered by the competition at either 8 or 9.

  • RG-X

    Reneal? Eh, I just threw up a little in my mouth.

  • Bob

    I am not liking The New Normal as much as I did Partners….oh well. I always seem to find the cancelled shows to be of my liking…story of my life. And now on to Guys with Kids…..Please renew this incredibly awesome show!!!!! PLEASE!!! The show gets ZERO respect from the network if you ask me. Why not put it on after the Voice for a week or two????

  • Mary 1

    I had to check what revisionista means, hah. I would think shows are affected more by their direct competition than by what show comes before it. Look how much better CBS did yesterday when it was competing against the Howie Mandel new show vs when it competes against the Voice.

    I have my doubts that the tons of country music buying people that are watching the Voice (judging by how well the country songs sell on itunes the next day) are really the main audience making up the New Normal viewers anyways. I’m happy to see it’s likely to be renewed even though with Ryan Murphy at the helm, who knows what wrench he’ll throw at it, like maybe the new divorce (hope not).

  • Oliver

    @Tebow TiVo

    At least with the Wednesday comedies we know they’re not getting any help against Survivor, X Factor, The Middle, and Arrow. I think NBC is more willing to take a chance on them than something expensive like TNN.

    That’s not exactly a list of hit shows, though, is it? They don’t have lead-ins, but Whitney and GWK are still underperforming in a very uncompetitive timeslot.

    @TVDude

    My guess is that NBC puts the new Michael J. Fox show at 9pm Thursday and builds around that.

    The “broad appeal” thing seems incredibly dumb to me, and seems little more than an excuse for execs to publicly trash their own shows. It sounds like they’re aiming for return to “least objectionable programming”, yet in the same season they’ve developed Save Me, the weirdest and least marketable sitcom in years.

  • CenterGravity

    Renew Revolution, SVU, and Community; I don’t care one way or the other about the rest.

  • Oliver

    @Mary 1

    The Voice is a big mainstream hit. I bet you a significant chunk of its audience stick around to watch both Go On and The New Normal.

  • xwiseguyx

    I’m sure that The New Normal will continue to thrive on NBC for years to come!

  • CrimTV

    @MrMumble

    NBC hasn’t renewed The New Normal and Whitney haven’t been renewed

  • CrimTV

    @Oliver

    Yes maybe for Go On, but by then people would realise that their TV is on NBC and they wanna watch something else.

  • Nick

    What NBC should do for 2013-2014:

    Mon-
    8: The Voice/ The Biggest Loser
    10: The Eleventh Commandment (new)

    Tue-
    8: The Voice
    9: Untitled Cee Lo Green Project (new)
    9:30: Go On
    10: Untitled Cuaron & Friedman Project (new)

    Wed-
    8: Parenthood
    9: Revolution
    10: Family Affair (new)

    Thu-
    8: Community (13 episode final season)
    8:30: Parks & Recreation
    9: Untitled Michael J. Fox project (new)
    9:30: The New Normal
    10: Law & Order: SVU

    Fri-
    8: Dateline
    9: Grimm
    10: Hench (new)

    Sat-
    8: Untitled MJF project (R)
    8:30: Untitled Cee Lo Green Project (R)
    9: Dateline NBC
    10: Law & Order: SVU (R)

    Sun- (midseason)
    7: Dateline NBC
    8: Howie Mandel’s Take It All/ The Biggest Loser
    9: The Celebrity Apprentice

  • Nick

    I doubt TNN will flop as bad as you people say without The Voice. It’s Go On that I’m worried about.

  • Contrarian

    No, New Normal’s relative ratings are too high for retention to kill it. Will have to drop Secret Circle or Romantically Challenged style before the real retentionistas come out.

  • Mark3

    Tnn is such a unfunny show. I bet it gets a second season and then its done. To damn boring!

  • Raykov

    TNN was never in danger IMO, cause it’s NBC’s second highest rated comedy (not counting The Office, cause it ain’t coming back)

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