NBC: 'The New Normal' Is Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

December 11th, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-December 9, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
30 Rock final season 0.68
Whitney :cry: :cry: 0.70
Up All Night :cry: :cry: 0.71
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.77
Parks & Recreation :) :) :) :) 0.91
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.93
Law & Order: SVU :) :) :) :) 0.95
Chicago Fire :) :) :) :) 0.96
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.00
The New Normal :) :) :) :) 1.00
The Office final season 1.16
Go On :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.38
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.71

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The New Normal has become one of the anti-fan focal points of the current season among our commenters. Certainly some is driven by the content of the show, and some is driven by the Retentionista tendencies of many of our commenters.

The content of the show is irrelevant to the Cancellation Bear, and he views the retentionistas as the equivalent of TV prediction flat earthers.

Through 11 weeks, The New Normal ratings average was almost exactly that of all NBC scripted shows, and it has not fallen more than one tenth below the NBC scripted show average for any given week. As much as the retentionistas will rage, networks do not cancel new shows with average ratings.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • toadytoady

    You sound confused Justin. Parenthood isnt new.

  • Nadine

    I’m a big Matthew Perry fan, but I gotta say that The New Normal is consistently more entertaining than Go On, which I’ve reluctantly had to give up on. So I’m pretty glad to hear NBC is likely to renew it.

  • Nadine

    @Davis: are you seriously suggested that NBC put The New Normal opposite TBBT on Thursdays? Why would they do that? Why not just stick it on a skewer and roast it?

  • Oliver

    Something has to face The Big Bang Theory.

  • Justin121

    I know it isn”t new.

    I was talking about the last ~4 seasons for NBC…

  • Dan

    @Oliver – Something does have to face the Big Bang Theory so next season NBC should do this.

    8:00 Parks and Recreation
    8:30 The New Normal
    9:00 Go On
    9:30 Michael J Fox Comedy
    10:00 Grimm?

    Its better to have a veteran face Big Bang and CBS will probably have a new comedy airing at 8:30. Also for those wondering why I moved Grimm to Thursdays. Its a proven winner and could probably hold its own next season against likely Scandal and Elementary.

  • Austin Lauran

    I have an important question:

    If you were the president of NBC, would you decide to air cheap reality shows on Thursday Night since none of the sitcoms are doing good or would you try to launch a hit sitcom on that night that could compete with TBBT?

    Anyways, is it possible for NBC to recover or is it too late?

  • Rachel A.

    They shouldn’t put a comedy against another comedy. Not when the incumbent comedy has 15 million viewers. It’s pretty much guaranteed that all the comedy audience you can get is already watching CBS. So let’s shot for a different target. A drama, for example. A sci-fi. A reality. Whatever. But not a comedy.

  • Dan

    @Rachel A – NBC was always known for it’s comedies on Thursdays just like Fox has Sundays, CBS has Mondays and now ABC has Wednesdays. Unfortunately once CBS decided to nix its Wendnesday comedy block and move Survivor to Wednesdays, They saw an opportunity for Big Bang on Thursdays. Big Bang and Two and a Half Men are powerhouses so everything at 8 is going down. X Factor holds up OK but Last Resort sunk and both 30 Rock (which is ending) and Up All Night are doing poorly.

    If NBC can find a comedy that can lead the night off with a 1.7-2.0 they will be OK.

  • Oliver

    NBC won’t be able to launch anything new at 8pm Thursday.

    NBC can either 1) accept it’s a death slot and fill it with filler programming (potentially abandoning their traditional comedy night in the process), 2) keep throwing veterans in that timeslot to face certain death, or 3) keep Community there and accept weak ratings in the slot (and hope that CBS is forced to move TBBT back to Mondays in a season or two).

    #1 or #3 makes the most sense. I suspect they will choose #2, which is crazy.

    @Dan
    Easy to say but, in January, it’s possible NBC won’t have any comedy which can get 2.0.

  • jowm

    Not surprised NN is being renewed, this is the network that brought us a second season of Whitney, which is the worst comedy I’ve seen in years.

    I can see NN being sold off to LOGO network or something.

  • TeeVeeViewer

    If NBC renews New Normal, they will do so only to use it as a vanity project, just as they’ve held onto 30 Rock, which has been perpetually low-rated during its run. They want to create the illusion that people like this alleged edgy show, even though viewers are avoiding it.

  • Dan

    @Oliver – Its doubtful any comedy would get a 2.0 but we can all hope. What is funny is in 2009-2010, the lowest rated NBC comedy got a 2.0 regularly (30 Rock and Parks), Office would get a 4.0 and Community would get a 3.2. 10 years ago if any comedy got a 4.0 behind Friends or Frasier it would be in danger of being yanked.

    I don’t think NBC is satisfied with whatever they get but unfortunately they will always have their 2 hour comedy block on Thursday and whatever leads it off will always gt crushed by The Big Bang Theory. I think NBC is just burning through the last 13 eps of Community just to get it out of the way, no matter how bad the ratings are.

    I think it’s possible that NBC may put Parks at 9 next season. With 3 veterans ending NBC will definitely keep Parks and it may inherit The Office’s slot since NBC isn’t picking up The Farm (bad decision) Its guaranteed Go On, New Normal and Parks will be on Thursday next season with a new comedy but will NBC put their new hit Go On to replace The Office? Who knows.

  • Dan

    @TeeVeeViewer – I think what you just described can be said for all NBC shows. All are low rated but are kept as vanity project just like Chuck, Friday Night Lights, Community, 30 Rock, Parks, Up All Night, SVU, Rock Center etc. NBC has accepted low numbers and now that they have The Voice as a boost for some shows, their luck may turn around.

  • blackrock1969

    My idea for Thursday…

    8:00 Parks & Recreation
    8:30 The New Normal
    9:00 Go On
    9:30 new comedy
    10:00 Revolution

  • TeeVeeViewer

    @Dan Good point. Maybe ratings consistently below 2.0 are the “New Normal” for NBC’s sitcoms.

  • Dan

    @Blackrock1969 – That could be the 2013 Fall schedule but I think that NBC will keep Revolution behind The Voice on Mondays, moving it next season will ensure that it will flop. Unless Deception succeeds, NBC could put Grimm Thursdays at 10.

  • Dan

    If NBC schedules a new drama (Or an existing one) Tuesdays at 9 after The Voice next fall, than Go on could move to THursdays and likely fulfill The Office’s departing slot. New Normal can come with it and with Parks guaranteed a spot, I bet that new Michael J Fox comedy will land at 9:30.

  • shawn

    Love the polar bear.

    Think P&R is a lock for renewal/strip syndication.

  • Dan

    Parks and Recreation should be certain. More time for that when the index returns

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