CW: Ho, Ho, Ho, Which Show(s) Gotta Go? (Poll)

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

December 18th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through December 16, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Nikita (F) :) :) :) :) 0.44
Emily Owens, M.D. canceled 0.52
Gossip Girl final season 0.56
90210 :| :| :| 0.68
Hart Of Dixie :| :| :| 0.78
Beauty And The Beast :| :| :| 0.95
Supernatural :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.24
Arrow :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.64
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.92

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We're into the holiday season for the Renew / Cancel Index and this post before the holiday break gives readers a chance to pick which shows they'd cancel were they a network programmer. You can vote as many times as you'd like, pick as many as you'd like. I've included every show, even canceled ones, so that no one feels left out!

Scheduling note: The Renew / Cancel Index will return with new Indexes and predictions on January 8, 2013 and will then only use the ratings since December 31, 2012 for its calculations for the remainder of the season. Expect prediction changes in the first weeks of 2013.
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Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • merranga

    what? no ubiquitous ‘all of them’ or ‘can the whole network’ post?

  • Wright

    Keep TVD, SPN and Arrow and cancel the rest. They have some good shows in the works. They should give them a chance. I would miss HOD and Nikita though.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “what? no ubiquitous ‘all of them’ or ‘can the whole network’ post?”

    Since you can select as many as you want, there is no need for an “all of the above”.

  • gustavo

    Gossip girl,Emily Owens,Nikita,90210 should end at the end of the season.

  • Melanie

    I vote keep TVD, SPN, Arrow, Nikita & maybe HOD. The rest can go, go, go!

  • Tony ^_^

    “Gossip Girl” and “Emily Owens” were already canceled…

    Considering how low “Beauty and the Beast” already is, it should be canceled.

    And then “Nikita” isn’t doing that well BUT it’s close to syndication so it’s safe for another season.

    At the end of this season, “90210” will have 114 episodes… Maybe a final season to wrap up story lines?

    Everything else should be renewed.

  • TV#1

    A possible CW 2013-2014 TV schedule…

    Mon:
    The Carrie Diaries
    90210 Final Season 10 Episodes/America’s Next Top Model

    Tue:
    *New Drama* (The Selection)
    Hart of Dixie

    Wed:
    Arrow
    *New Drama* (The Hundred)

    Thur:
    The Vampire Diaries
    Supernatural

    Fri:
    Nikita
    Repeats/Reality

    Mid-Season:
    Cult (13 Episodes)

  • David

    RENEWED:

    The Vampire Diaries
    Supernatural
    Hart of Dixie
    Arrow
    90210 short final season
    Nikita

    CANCELLED:

    Beauty And The Beast
    Emily Owens M.D.

  • CC

    Most hated show is Beauty and The Beast.

  • C.S.Strowbridge

    Emily Owens, M.D.
    Gossip Girl
    90210
    Hart Of Dixie

    90210 will likely get a shortened final season. But if they have to cancel a show earning 80% average or better it will be a mistake. They should tell the writers to wrap it up this season.

  • C.S.Strowbridge

    Oh, and just to keep the streak going…

    Bill Gorman, why are the shows that have already been canceled / ended on the list?

  • LucyFan

    EVERYTHING but BEAUTY AND THE BEAST!!!

    In Fact, Make BATB a daily soap!!! ;)

  • Dan S

    If ANTM was an option I would’ve voted for that also. I did vote for 90210, GG & the already cancelled EOMD. Haven’t seen BATB but wow a lot of people ready to kill that show.

  • DeeDee

    Arrow and Beauty and the Beast must stay, everything else doesn’t matter.

  • Pepper

    Already cancelled/ending
    Emily Owens
    GG

    Spring cancellations
    90210 unless Carrie Diaries completely tanks
    BatB or Cult, depending on Cult’s ratings

    Nikita and HoD are probably safe, despite low ratings. SPN, TVD, and Arrow are obviously going to be renewed.

    The CW can only afford to launch a few new shows, which is why the spring ratings of the new shows are going to be important

  • THE OLD MAN

    Emily Owens

  • Bad Wolf

    @CC

    Yes, I think the poll is very clear about that !

    My opinion : as of yesterday night, Gossip Girl is history, at last; ratings-wise, the show should have ended after season 3 at the latest. As a CW exec, I would coldly kill 90210, which survived way too long, before it inevitably sinks at Gossip Girl levels (which is very likely to happen this spring). I think I would certainly cancel Beauty and the Beast too, bar a stabilisation or a sudden rebound : I think its destiny is to join The Secret Circle and Ringer as the little shows that could have but miserably failed (about ratings of course).
    Hart of Dixie would be a tough one (even if I absolutely don’t care about it) : I’m torn between canceling it before likely very low rated 3rd and 4th seasons, and renewing it because of the miserable shape of the CW. Tough one.
    Nikita falls in the same category. As much as I love the show, its ratings, even if they slightly improved recently, are awful, but given the importance of a 4th season business-wise, I’m not sure at all about what I would do.
    Nothing about the 3 green shows : I think, apart from Arrow which I don’t plan to watch, they’re vastly overrated, especially on this forum, but the ratings range from good to excellent for the CW, so of course I would keep them, while not forgetting that Supernatural would likely be lower without the Arrow lead-in !

  • Jaime

    The LA Complex has to go. It was cancelled in Canada and The CW should finally cancel it too. It was a flop from the start and only got worse.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Bill Gorman, why are the shows that have already been canceled / ended on the list?”

    If I didn’t, another commenter would whine about them *not* being in.

  • Elizabeth

    Don’t cancel Beauty and the Beast, TVD, or Arrow!

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