Predict the Ratings for the 'Deception' Premiere - Poll

Categories: Broadcast TV

Written By

January 7th, 2013

Tonight, the new drama Deception, which has been compared to Revenge, premieres on NBC at 10PM. The show inherits Revolution's time period, but will it have similarly strong ratings? With The Biggest Loser instead of The Voice as a lead-in, the odds are against it. (Update: Given the strong ratings for TBL's premiere last night, maybe not!) other hand, it is counterprogramming to the two procedurals that air in the time period, Castle and Hawaii Five-0. (Hawaii Five-0 is a repeat tonight.)  The fall finale of Revolution earned a 2.9 adults 18-49 rating. How will Deception fare? Make your prediction, then explain your reasoning in the comments.

 
  • Spencer

    The pilot has been available online for a few weeks so could that affect the numbers?

  • Evan

    I’m gonna go out on a limb and say it will do somewhere around a 2.5. Last year Awake premiered to like a 2.0 and it got pretty good advertising but had a terrible timeslot and no lead in. SO with Biggest Loser being its lead in and no competition and not that this is any indication BUT it’s facebook page has 182,000 likes which is quite a lot for a show before its even premiered. So we’ll see what happens hopefully it will premiere well I’m always up to try a new serialized show that’s not a procedural

  • rob60990

    “The pilot has been available online for a few weeks so could that affect the numbers?”

    It never does. I still don’t know why this excuse gets thrown around since it’s been disproven many times.

  • torylicious

    Go Deception!!! 2.2

  • SJ

    @senor chang

    A young woman infiltrates herself in a wealthy family to (exact revenge) find out the truth about what happened to her (father) best friend. It is the EXACT. SAME. PLOT.

  • Ultima

    @Joseph
    I think the NCAA’s BCS Championship Game will kill all other cable and broadcast competition, and that the premiere of “Deception” might not even get a 1.0 in the 18-49 demo.

    But I can see the 18-49 demo rating for next week’s (January 14th) episode reach at least 3.0.

    You’ve been reading this site for a while now, how can you still be so awful at making predictions?

  • Hugh

    2.5

  • Nick

    The Bachelor: 2.6
    Castle: 2.0

    How I Met Your Mother (R): 1.3
    2 Broke Girls (R): 1.5
    2 Broke Girls (R): 1.7
    Mike & Molly (R): 1.5
    Hawaii Five-0 (R): 1.2

    Hart of Dixie (R): 0.3
    Beauty & the Beast (R): 0.1

    Bones (R): 1.2
    The Mob Doctor: 0.7

    The Biggest Loser: 2.5
    Deception: 2.4

    It will do nicely, for NBC.

    Nothing will really be affected by the sports thing, because it’s female skew across the board.

  • BrieK

    2.4

  • Networkman

    I’m going to say that The Biggest Loser should see 2.6-2.8 demo so Deception will see at least 2.3-2.4. I feel its viewerships will be in the range betweent 6-7 million. I feel it is a perfect fit after The Biggest Loser. And the show has some star power with Megan Good and Victor Garber. Laz Alonso also should have a loyal fan base, especially with the women demographic.

  • Brian

    I think that enough curiosity will be there to sample it tonight especially as guys flock to the NCAA football. I’m going 2.5 for the debut, but it will drop after that until it finds a steady rating. When all is said and done, I think Deception will end up around 1.7 to 1.8.

  • Ray

    @HSmith So if a person of color is cast as the lead, it’s “pure PC?” I smell a pure racist.

  • tv_viewer

    My predictions:

    The Biggest Loser 2.6
    Deception 1.8

    Last year The Biggest Loser’s season premiere on a Tuesday (January 3, 2012) rated a 2.4 followed by Parenthood with a rating of 1.7. The following week (January 10, 2012) The Biggest Loser and Parenthood repeated those numbers. The Biggest Loser didn’t have to compete against the BCS National championship game because Alabama beat LSU on a Monday (January 9, 2012). Because of the game, I predict tonight’s episode of The Biggest Loser will drop 0.3 to a 2.6. Even though Deception doesn’t appear to be as compatible with The Biggest Loser as Parenthood was, I predict Deception will retain about 70% of the The Biggest Loser’s viewership.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    I may or may not check it out, since it seems more like a straight forward crime drama with overtones of soap than Revenge does.

    Revenge is “different” in some respects due to the characters of Emily, Nolan and Aidan and their motivations which in my view make the show more interesting than just another “messed up family” crime drama. The element of “revenge” in Revenge is what makes that show fascinating. Unless Deception can bring something like that in, I don’t think it will match Revenge in quality. The cast doesn’t overwhelm me either.

  • Potato

    @SJ– Yeah, but by that logic:

    A group of friends navigating life

    is almost EVERY SITCOM EVER. What ripoffs!

  • Beth

    There was nothing on tv last week, so I watched the pilot on nbc.com I have to say that it wasn’t all that bad. It was actually pretty good. And I haven’t liked an NBC pilot since….well, um, since Las Vegas.

    Originally, I thought it was a bad idea to premier it tonight with the National Championship AND the Bachelor on other stations…however, the game was a total blowout, so some people may have changed the channel.

    I don’t understand why they don’t do a premier on a night where its’ demo isn’t anxiously awaiting the new season of the Bachelor. (I don’t watch the Bachelor) but I know many females who are always obsessed.

    Note to NBC Execs: if you air a pilot when nothing else is on….more people will watch it!!

    Oh and I can’t stand Revenge.

    Like this show and hope the cancellation bear doesn’t eat it. But not getting hopes up too high. It is after all, NBC.

  • James

    1.8

  • senor chang

    Overnights
    The Biggest Loser: 4.3 HH vs a 4.7 HH yesterday (which translated to a 2.9 18-49 rating). Built to a 4.7 HH in the 9:30 hour
    Deception: 4.3 HH, 93% out of the 9:30 portion of TBL

    Could premiere into the mid-high 2s assuming its skew is similar to TBL’s skew last night, or it may skew a little older and premiere at low 2s. Not a bad start, though.

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