ABC: New Year's Burnoff Signals 'Happy Endings' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network’s decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 6, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don’t Trust the B in Apt 23 :oops: 0.54
Happy Endings :cry: :cry: 0.60
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Malibu Country (F) :| :| :| 0.72
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.84
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.86
Private Practice canceled pending
Last Resort canceled pending
Castle :) :) :) :) pending
Nashville :) :) :) :) pending
The Neighbors :) :) :) :) pending
Scandal :) :) :) :) pending
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Grey’s Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

It’s a New Year and the cancellation bear is back!

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the “old” Fall predictions will carry over.

The bear had already begun his holiday siesta when the accelerated Sunday burn off of Don’t Trust the B—- in Apt. 23 and Happy Endings’  was announced in late December. While Don’t Trust the B—- In Apt. 23 was already certain to be canceled, I figured that another ‘Til Death style Sony sitcom miracle might save Happy Endings on ABC. But once the burnoff was announced that hope is all but gone. A Sony sitcom miracle is still possible, but it’s a real longshot on ABC. On a cable network? Your guess is as good as mine. Desperate fans should start their futile “Save Our Show” campaigns now!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.


  • :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

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