ABC: New Year's Burnoff Signals 'Happy Endings' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

January 8th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 6, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23 :oops: 0.54
Happy Endings :cry: :cry: 0.60
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Malibu Country (F) :| :| :| 0.72
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.84
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.86
Private Practice canceled pending
Last Resort canceled pending
Castle :) :) :) :) pending
Nashville :) :) :) :) pending
The Neighbors :) :) :) :) pending
Scandal :) :) :) :) pending
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

-
It's a New Year and the Cancellation Bear is back!

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

The bear had already begun his holiday siesta when the accelerated Sunday burn off of Don't Trust The B---- in Apt. 23 and Happy Endings'  was announced in late December. While Don't Trust The B---- In Apt. 23 was already certain to be canceled, I figured that another 'Til Death style Sony sitcom miracle might save Happy Endings on ABC. But once the burnoff was announced that hope is all but gone. A Sony sitcom miracle is still possible, but it's a real longshot on ABC. On a cable network? Your guess is as good as mine. Desperate fans should start their futile "Save Our Show" campaigns now!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

-

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Tyler

    Eh, I don’t know. How is this any different than when they announced their midseason schedule and 7 episodes would be unaired? And it’s not like it’s airing on a Saturday. At least almost all the eps will air as opposed to before.

  • American

    Happy Endings and 23 are always grouped together on the schedule. Maybe they need to part ways.

  • Martin

    I’m not going to be one of those “crazies” but if ABC doesn’t renew it, which i hope it does, Sony, which in the past went to extreme lengths to get to sybdication, might get a cable network to do it, maybe TBS.

  • Dan

    Lets hope TBS can pull another Cougar Town and pick up Happy Endings because it and Apartment 23 are both otherwise gone along with The Neighbors. I believe from now until May, The Neighbors will slowly drop to on the bubble and then likely to be cancelled.

  • Justin

    @Martin

    I wonder if NBC Or CW would take the show? Probably won’t happen, But I can dream.

  • CenterGravity

    I think Last Resort is the last time I ever watch an ABC drama (been burned too many times by early cancellations). I hope Tim Allen gets renewed.

  • Red Jane

    The B in 23 should have been cancelled last year so good riddance… I like the main actress playing the B but the show is awful. Last Man Standing should also follow that path as should Malibu County though being Friday shows perhaps they will be kept to fill the schedule if they aren’t expensive…

  • George

    Something changed this season with Happy Endings. It’s been over the top, almost improv seeming and too much. I still look forward to it but last season was much better. I really do like Apt 23. I’m hoping Cougar Town does great on TBS. I would follow HE and Apt 23 there…

  • Pat

    Happy Endings should have stayed behind Modern Family. I knew once it moved it was doomed.

  • jimmers

    So sad to hear this. If it does get cancel (IT BETTER NOT) I sure do hope TBS picks it up and putting it on a comedy block with Cougar Town. Happy Endings is so hilarious! The best out there at the moment.

  • THE OLD MAN

    TOTALLY AWESOME PICTURE!

    “Bold move” with HE but I’m in agreement here. The B is so cooked. Got some gravy on his mashed potatoes here.

  • George

    Sunday airings of B and HE shouldn’t even be considered when it comes to rating as it is such a weird, freaky place to stick those shows

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Sunday airings of B and HE shouldn’t even be considered when it comes to rating as it is such a weird, freaky place to stick those shows”

    The *ratings* for those Sunday episodes are irrelevant to the prediction (although they are in the Index), the fact that they’ve been scheduled there for burn off is not.

    HE’s Fall ratings said “cancel me” long ago. The burnoff just signaled that there was very little hope for return.

  • Dan

    The CW should pick up both Happy Endings and Don’t Trust the B in Apt 23 as a comedy block since they have none and those numbers would be great on The CW! It will never happen, but hey we can dream.

  • Tom

    I’m not a regular Happy Endings watcher but agree with @Tyler on this.

    The show has been a gap filler since last season. The burn-off could just mean ABC’s kept all its shows this season and there were no gaps to be filled.

    Having a backup like Happy Endings allows ABC to take risks with their pickups next season. But all the rest of ABC’s comedies are doing too well to be “shelved in case of emergency”. So I could see Happy Endings getting a 13 episode pickup and filling the back bench for another season.

  • Ricky

    I’m hoping this is a sign that HE’s time is up at last. To think it has such a huge fanbase, and so few of them can be motivated to watch the show…

    We want your votes! The Elimination Game: http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2012/12/09/play-the-elimination-game-page-2/160888/comment-page-38/#comments

  • Dan

    @Bill – The burnoff was necessary to get all 19 Apartment 23 eps out of the way, while there will be 3 or 4 remaining Happy Endings eps after March 19. But it was a sign that ratings don’t matter at this point because both shows are terribly low rated.

    Apartment 23 has no chance after 2 seasons and 26 episodes.

    Happy Endings only has a chance if TBS or another network picks it up, which probably won’t happen. Its this year’s Cougar Town.

  • Josh

    I feel Happy Endings would do really well with Cougar Town on TBS. Plus I’m sure Sony will want it to syndication numbers.

  • Jenny

    I really hope TBS picks up Happy Endings. The show is great, and should live on.

  • Jenny

    Well, I guess Netflix could pick it up as well as this point too right?!

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures