CW: New Year, Same Deathmatch Between 'Beauty & The Beast,' 'Hart Of Dixie' & '90210'

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

January 8th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 6, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Gossip Girl* final season complete 0.61
Emily Owens, M.D. canceled 1.00
Nikita (F) :) :) :) :) pending
90210 :| :| :| pending
Hart Of Dixie :| :| :| pending
Beauty And The Beast :| :| :| pending
Supernatural :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Arrow :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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It's a New Year and the Cancellation Bear is back!

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Nothing has changed in the New Year yet between the three of the CW shows in the "mediocre middle" (90210, Hart Of Dixie, Beauty & The Beast) and at least one of them is certain to be canceled.

Will we be able to predict which one it will be? Certainly late season ratings dives might make the difference (hello, The Secret Circle!). But barring one of those, we may be flipping a three sided coin.

The renewal of either CW spring drama (Cult, The Carrie Diaries) would almost certainly mean more cancellations among those three.

How can Nikita with the lowest ratings on the network be "likely to be renewed"? The pull of a fourth season for syndication purposes is one of the strongest forces in the TV universe. Read more about it here.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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Want to know what the CW Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Shaz

    Mark Pedowitz on renewal odds of various shows:
    http://insidetv.ew.com/2013/01/13/cw-renewal-odds/

  • Freyja

    @AAA

    Unless the ratings take a complete nose dive, which I doubt they will and by nose dive I mean 0.3 or worse SPN should get renewed. ;)

    Safe bets are TVD, SPN and Arrow… ;)

    HOD, 90210, B&TB and Nikita toss ups. Nikita possibly because it’s on Friday!

  • Brandy

    Pedowitz on HOD: “pleased with dvr/vod performance”
    Pedowitz on Beauty:”Based on the passion of the fans,we think we have something here”.CBS congratulated it on having strong international sales.

  • Kim

    I love the CW but my new cable company does not have it. Please get with ATT Uverse and get your CW going with them. Love Arrow, Hart of Dixie, and Supernatural, like Beauty and the Beast hope they give it a chance to grow.

  • Bizarro

    @Fan
    Unless Nikita gets moved to the summer like ANTM next season where it needs to be. The CW does not need to waste its friday next year again with Nikita. They deserve to have a show that can get a 0.6 or higher now and then like ANTM and Supernatural. A 0.4-.3 is not good for a friday because it can’t have a fall to back it up like the other shows on the network. If it was moved to the summer it has a way better chance of it being renewed for maybe a fifth season. If it stays on friday it shows the CW is happy it is in its fourth season so they can cancel it and get their money and hope and pray another show will do better in that slot. Which would not be a surprise since ANTM got 0.4’s and occasional .6’s. Nikita hasn’t got one since almost a year ago.

  • halloween

    if they have good pilots…HoD,Cult, Nikita all canceled

  • Jay

    they will most likely not move TVD because it does well on thursdays and like the carrie diaries will get renewed its from the same creators as gg ,the oc, and hod wich arent good shows. Tvd creator only plans to do 6 seasons because he plans to end it strong and not be like GG and 90210 and if u think abot it spn should while its still going a bit strong and not be like the shows that have gone on for too long

  • Mico

    Monday
    Carrie Diaries
    new drama

    Tuesday
    new drama
    Supernatural

    Wednesday
    Arrow
    New Drama

    Thursday
    TVD
    TVD spinoff

    Friday
    ANTM/NIKITA
    Hart of Dixie 3,4

  • calob

    The pilots for next season look promising to me. especially Amazon, Embrace, Sleepy Hollow, Tomorrow People, and the TVD spin off. I’m really banking on a lot of shows being cancelled

  • Tom

    “I love the CW but my new cable company does not have it.”

    Who are these people? They deserve a commendation.

  • angellica

    more secret circle

  • Angellica .T.

    Hey cw I think it would be in your best interest to just renew the secret circle and I’m saying this in the nicest way possible just renew tsc

  • Ssh

    Shut up and wait for the final judgement.

  • Angellica .T.

    please renew the secret circle

  • Inigo

    My schedule for the CW fall 2013

    Monday
    8-The Carrie Diaries
    9-90210 (Final Season)

    Tuesday
    8-Cult
    9-Supernatural (Final Season)

    Wednesday
    8-Arrow
    9-Ringer (bring it back!)

    Thursday
    8-The Vampire Diaries
    9- The Secret Circle (just bring it back already!)

    Friday
    8- Nikita (Final Season)
    9- Hart of Dixie (Final Season)

    I hereby state that Beauty & The Beast should get cancelled ’cause it’s not good and sends the wrong messages. Nikita has definitly done it’s course, same with Hart of Dixie (which I don’t understand why it was renewed in the first place). 90210 was acceptable in the beginning, now it’s crap. Supernatural has already eight seasons. Make it stop! The storylines are getting stupid that it enrages me sometimes.

    I don’t think Carrie Diaries is a good show, but let the writers try to improve it (they should’ve given Ringer and The Secret Circle a chance).

  • Angellica .T.

    i totally agree with inigo just please renew the secret circle

  • Libor Micko

    We want HART oF DIXIE! It is the only show without violence and murders. The only show when I can just chill out and have fun by watching those beautiful scenes from southern USA. Please, do not cancel it :((( Make at least final season which will conclude the story.

  • Angellic .T.

    Did anybody read this Article carefully? Cause i’m not so sure some of u did and completely understand it from top to bottom.

  • clcd1234

    Don’t cancel Hart of Dixie. I have followed this show from the 1st episode. It is No.1 on my DVR list. It is a relaxing show to watch.
    The show always make me smile/laugh.

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