FOX: It's A New Year, But 'Ben & Kate' Is Still Getting Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

January 8th, 2013

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 6, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The Mob Doctor canceled 0.14
American Dad renewed 0.99
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.10
Family Guy renewed 1.28
The Simpsons renewed 1.49
Fringe (F) final season pending
Ben And Kate :oops: pending
The Mindy Project :| :| :| pending
Raising Hope :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
The Cleveland Show :| :| :| pending
Bones renewed pending
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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It's a New Year and the Cancellation Bear is back!

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

There hasn't been a new episode of Ben & Kate aired in 2013 yet (the first airs tonight), but, barring a miracle, its fate was sealed long ago. Only a New Year's ratings recovery the likes of which we've never seen can save it.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Want to know what the Fox Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Nick

    What Fox should do for 2013-2014:

    Mon-
    8: Bones (full final season)
    9: Gun Machine (new)/ Untitled Wyman/Abrams project (new)
     
    Tue-
    8: Raising Hope
    8:30: Live From Our Living Room (new)
    9: New Girl
    9:30: Wendy & Peter (new)

    Wed-
    8:  X Factor/ Idol

    Thu-
    8: The X Factor/ Idol
    9: Kitchen Nightmares/ The Following

    Fri-
    8: Glee
    9: Touch

    Sat-
    8: Fox Sports Saturday

    Sun-
    7: The OT/ Cops
    7:30: The OT/ Bob’s Burgers
    8: The Simpsons
    8:30: Bob’s Burgers/ Murder Police (new)
    9: Family Guy
    9:30: American Dad

    Midseason- The Cleveland Show

  • Jay

    The premise was confusing. (Her kid, his sister). And there’s no real excitement about any new shows this season. People are into cable dramas and British imports

  • Rebecca

    It’s too bad. I really like Ben & Kate. Mindy has grown on me, but I like BAK more. The only other Fox shows I watch are RH, BB and NG, which seem safe so far.

  • Cammie

    Glee on Friday- Hoping someone from Fox will like your suggestion Nick and move Glee to Friday to commit show suicide? They aren’t going to put in on Friday- Fox isn’t that stupid.

  • Nick

    @Cammie

    Glee on Friday- Hoping someone from Fox will like your suggestion Nick and move Glee to Friday to commit show suicide? They aren’t going to put in on Friday- Fox isn’t that stupid.

    I don’t have any vendetta against Glee. I think it’s a good show, albeit one that has an identity crisis.
    I actually think moving to Friday is good for it and for Fox. Glee is being murdered by Grey’s Anatomy on Thursdays right now. It needs to move to a different night/time. Mondays and Tuesdays are out of the question unless Fox wants to give up on comedies and/or dramas. Wednesday and Sundays are impossible, and Saturdays make no sense. Friday is the best option. Also, it may reconnect with its central teen audience if it moves to 8. Who knows, it may do well with Touch- the two odd men out.

  • Dan

    I also dont see Raising Hope shipped to fridays next season. I see likely a drama and KN for Fridays and I also believe Tuesday 2 hour comedy block will be intact with New Girl, Raising Hope, Mindy Project and a new comedy.

    I really dont think FOX is going to wait until summer to air Goodwin Games. I think Ben & Kate will air its remaining 8 episodes through March, and Goodwin Games will premiere April 2-May 14. The ratings will be bad but who cares there is always next season for new shows. FOX needs to accept the fact that the Tuesday comedy block this season failed but if they keep Raising Hope, New Girl, and Mindy in their current slots, along with a new series, maybe next season those shows will do better.

  • Andy Mikel
  • cas127

    Bill,

    I’m sure you’ve addressed it somewhere before but the answer to the following question might make a good perma-post:

    What is the rationale behind the mid-season Relative Ratings Reboot? Why do 2012 ratings performances get ignored once 2013 rolls around (for Index purposes)?

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I’m sure you’ve addressed it somewhere before but the answer to the following question might make a good perma-post:

    What is the rationale behind the mid-season Relative Ratings Reboot? Why do 2012 ratings performances get ignored once 2013 rolls around (for Index purposes)?”

    Pretty much the reason I make any changes, but not really worth a separate post.

    It’s simpler for me to work with, and it improved the ability to make predictions.

  • Jimmy Mahoney

    It only gets worse for Fox, several celebrities have been seriously injured during practice today for “Stars in Danger: The High Dive” here’s the link http://hollywoodandswine.com/several-d-list-celebrities-injured-after-hitting-rock-bottom-on-foxs-stars-in-danger-the-high-dive/

  • Lord Seth

    Whoa! Has any show on the Index gotten something as low as 0.14 before?

  • Brad

    The Cleveland Show is dead. FOX’s tentative schedule for the remainder of the season will air all remaining episodes except for two (although it was never announced how many episodes 4APSxx was for, so I’m assuming 22 – so two are leftover).

    If it’s renewed, there is no way it could launch in September 2013 as it takes roughly ten months to produce anything.

    I guess he’ll be moving back to Quahog…

    FOX’s tentative schedule: https://www.foxfast.com/FoxFast/aspxfiles/TitleDetailsHome.aspx?TitleId=1CD6FBAD-31B2-4C81-95AF-98D95CD1E65C

  • cas127

    Bill,

    “it improved the ability to make predictions.”

    I understand how it makes things more manageable.

    But…maybe I am missing something but doesn’t the quote come pretty close to saying that Fall ratings are irrelevant?

    That the midseason Ratings Reboot provides superior predictions…because it ignores the Fall ratings.

    This seems pretty seriously weird. It is kinda like saying that the Fall TV season is little more than Spring Practice – is this really true?

    What am I missing?

  • sirochs

    Come on, Ben and Kate and Mindy! Smart shows. I love Ben and Kate’s humor – right up my alley cat.

  • Dan

    @Brad – Immediately when I saw that schedule, it became apparent that the show is dead, unless FOX miraculously renews the show for 13 episodes for midseason. If not then after 4 seasons and 88 episodes, Cleveland will be moving back to Quahog.

    @Cas127 – Fall TV season is practice but it provides a guideline for qhether or not shows will be renewed in May. For example, second year shows ike Whitney, Up All Night and Last Man Standing which have somewhat full seasons have aired their episodes in the fall, but whether they get third seasons will be from how well they perform in the upcoming months. Same with freshman shows like The Neighbors, Malibu Cuntry, Go ON and The New Normal. They got full seasons based on how they performed this fall but whether they get second seasons will be based on how they do in Spring. Secret Circle for example did well Fall 2011 but because it didn’t retain a lot this spring, it was axed and Body of Proof was renewed because it did better in the spring than the fall (along with some other factors)

    Basically
    Fall Ratings = Full seasons for freshman series
    Spring Ratings = Renewal for the next season

  • Oliver

    Imagine you are a network head. It’s upfronts in May and you need to decide which shows to cancel and which to renew. In effect, your job is to maximise your fall ratings.

    Logically, you base your decisions on the most recent episodes. How shows perform in spring is a much better indicator as to how they will perform in September than how they performed back last fall.

    TVBTN uses all of spring’s ratings, but the last six episodes of any show is probably as just as accurate.

  • CBSviewer

    2013 Fall Schedule:

    MONDAY
    8:00 – Bones
    9:00 – The Following

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – Raising Hope
    8:30 – NEW COMEDY
    9:00 – New Girl
    9:30 – Raising Hope

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – The X-Factor

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – The X-Factor
    9:00 – Glee

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Kitchen Nightmares
    9:00 – Touch

  • CBSviewer

    SUNDAY
    8:00 – The Simpsons
    8:30 – Bob’s Burgers
    9:00 – Family Guy
    9:30 – American Dad !

  • Louise

    I actually like Ben & Kate – I mean, I’m not crazy about it, but it’s gentle, amusing and viewer-friendly. The Mindy Project is a huge letdown – the trailers and the idea seemed funny, but it’s just clunky, cringey, badly written, with uninteresting characters acted out by a poor cast.

  • Marie

    Ben & Kate and Mindy Project are two of my favourite new shows…I hope they at least last the full season. I liked Raising Hope at first, but now it’s tired. That would be the one I would cancel out of that bunch.

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