ABC: 'Nashville' Now Certain To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

January 23rd, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 20, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Last Resort canceled 0.57
Private Practice canceled 0.59
Happy Endings :cry: :cry: 0.59
Malibu Country (F) :| :| :| 0.65
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.72
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.98
The Neighbors :) :) :) :) 1.01
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
Nashville :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.21
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.26
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.43
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.60
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.32

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After two episodes in 2013, Nashville has elevated its relative ratings enough to move its status from "likely" to "certain to be renewed". If the ratings plunge in the Spring, the prediction will change, but at this point, expect to see it on the schedule next season.

Those calling for blood after Revenge's 1.7 rating on Sunday night should calm themselves. One night is effectively irrelevant to the future of the show. As always, if the ratings continue their slide, so will its predicted status.

Fans of Don't Trust The B---- In Apt. 23, when a show is pulled off the schedule with no return date, it's been canceled. Only the delusional need more "confirmation" than that.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • tori

    @steve

    I wish ABC would continue with HE but as for Nieghbors. Until recently Neighbors either outscored or was equal to Nashville. Cancel Nashville and keep Neighbors. At least Neighbors is sort of unique. Nashville is like a dozens other shows and it not worth wasting one’s time.

  • blackrock1969

    Suggested fall lineup:

    Monday
    8:00 Dancing with the Stars/The Bachelor
    10:00 Castle

    Tuesday
    8:00 Dancing with the Stars results/How the Hell Am I Normal?(new), Super Fun Night (new)
    9:00 S.H.I.E.L.D. (new)
    10:00 Influence (new)

    Wednesday
    8:00 The Middle
    8:30 untitled James Caan (new)
    9:00 Modern Family
    9:30 Suburgatory
    10:00 Doubt (new)

    Thursday
    8:00 Nashville
    9:00 Grey’s Anatomy
    10:00 Scandal

    Friday
    8:00 Last Man Standing
    8:30 The Neighbors
    9:00 Shark Tank
    10:00 20/20

    Sunday
    7:00 America’s Funniest Home Videos
    8:00 Once Upon a Time
    9:00 Revenge
    10:00 Venice (new)

    Thoughts?

  • Patrick G.

    @ Ultima…You don’t need to educate me regarding the history of “V” on either NBC or ABC since I am a hardcore fan of both versions and am quite aware of the sequence of success for the “V” saga on NBC in the 80′s.

    I was merely pointing out that network cancellations of serialized shows without proper resolutions to their storylines infuriates the millions of viewers even the canceled shows have and alienates them to the network they air on. I, myself, have abandoned certain networks for this very reason. Cable shows, on the other hand, traditionally cancel their serialized programs far in advance of the last filmed episode, thus allowing proper resolution to their storylines. Cable has seen ever-increasing viewership over the past 2 decades, whereas the traditional broadcast networks keep losing theirs. A logical rationale can be extrapolated that, in part, because viewers are more respected and given proper conclusions to the shows on cable that they are investing their valuable and rare time to watch, that this factor is one of many that has viewers abandoning the Big 4 and flocking to cable. If I were a network programming head, I would be asking my department heads “why do we keep losing viewers?” and seeking every possible answer to stem that problem. Pissing off your audience when you cancel shows without providing a conclusion is certainly a valid reason, and ABC is notorious for doing this (until recently). Securing good will from what little audience a network has left is certainly something all the networks should strive for, and kudos to Already Been Canceled for finally starting to do this with the final episodes they have been ordering lately for some of their canceled dramas.

    That being said, I was merely stating that it’s not too late to get one final episode or 2-hour movie out of ABC’s version of “V” since I and over 5 million other people at the time of the show’s cancellation were left hanging without a proper ending. The series did, after all, have over 13 million viewers when it premiered and could snag an audience somewhere between those low and high numbers if ABC decided to make their own variation of “V: The Final Battle” and air and promote it during a sweeps period. The saga could still give ABC one last ratings and financial success, especially now that some time has passed and the show’s original large audience would be curious to see how a “Final Battle” would end things!

    The old mini-series format should be resurrected, anyway, since it gives the networks an opportunity to have a unique programming “Event” again, which is why the format yielded such high ratings during “Sweeps” periods back in the 80′s. It’s an opportunity for the nets to tell a great story in a shorter period of time than a regular series commitment. Ordering so many 13-episode series trials every season is basically creating a bunch of drawn out mini-series, anyway. The networks need to reinvent themselves if they are going to win viewers back from cable, and revisiting past successes is certainly a way to do this.

    Sequiturs indeed!! ;)

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