Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 20, 2013):
| Program | Status | Renew/ Cancel Index |
| Animal Practice* | canceled | 0.66 |
| The New Normal |  |
0.77 |
| 30 Rock | final season | 0.80 |
| 1600 Penn |  |
0.80 |
| Guys With Kids | |
0.86 |
| Go On |  |
0.92 |
| Whitney | |
0.92 |
| Deception | |
1.03 |
| Parenthood |  |
1.05 |
| Parks & Recreation | |
1.09 |
| Law & Order: SVU | |
1.23 |
| The Office | final season | 1.23 |
| Chicago Fire | |
1.32 |
| Up All Night | |
pending |
| Grimm (F) | |
pending |
| Revolution | |
pending |
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The ratings for most of NBC's sitcoms continue to plumb new lows. The Cancellation Bear is reluctant to try and catch a falling knife and make bold predictions about most of them at this time since they're all putting in woeful ratings. The exception to that trend was the 2013 of Parks & Recreation which tied its season high last week. That, plus the plunge elsewhere moves its prediction up to "certain to be renewed".
After three episodes, Deception has already fallen to a 1.3 adults 18-49 rating (although the third episodes ratings aren't in the average used in the table above yet). At that level it's likely to be canceled. It was in the headline last week though, so P&R gets the headline this week.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old" Fall predictions in the table.
Notes:
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- certain to be cancelled by May, 2013 - - more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
- - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2013
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.
Parks and Recreation can relax and enjoy..
I love seeing Chicago Fire as certain to be renewed!
OK, this is an abbreviated list, correct? Grimm and Revolution?
Revolution???
Chicago Fire is the Highest Rated NBC show… pretty sweet for a freshman show
So with the disaster that is NBC’s current sitcom lineup, if Community comes back at a 1.3-1.4 like it was getting last year, where would it end up? Unless I’m mistaken, a 1.4 average would be a .8 index right now and a 1.3 would be a .75, right?
@Observer and ethan
In bright red text at the beginning of the post:
(includes results from December 31, 2012- January 20, 2013)
I feel like such a loser. Chicago Fire is the show I claimed would be one of the first ones to die this season. Well played NBC, well played..
“OK, this is an abbreviated list, correct? Grimm and Revolution?”
Sadly, accidentally abbreviated. Now fixed.
@Bill, thanks!
@Bill can you add the current network overall average to these posts please. it would help for comparison purposes
yay Parks!
Goon and TNM not looking good…
NBC has 11 comedy pilots (inc. a presentation) ordered so far, on top of the MJF full-season order, so expect a comedy bloodbath.
Go On and TNN are now both in serious trouble, dragged into the bubble mess. How heavily do NBC weight any episodes that will have The Voice as lead-in in spring? It’s the ultimate “retentionista” test.
Looks like Community has a good chance of renewal afterall.
Parks should be safe, but I think Parks was always safe.
“@Bill can you add the current network overall average to these posts please. it would help for comparison purposes”
No, primarily because the scripted show ratings average I use isn’t *really* the average. It treats all shows the same regardless of run time.
It works well for my prediction purposes (and is simpler for me to work with), but it’s not really for public consumption because I don’t want anyone thinking “hey, that’s the average, I got it from TV by the Numbers!”.
It’s nice and Funny to see how Whitney and Guys with kids, is slowly climbing up the Sitcom totempole, right now higher than both 1600 Penn and The New Normal, next stop? Go On, making them NBC’s 3rd and 4th best rated comedies, hope they come back doing well though…..well hope.
I only watch Grimm and Revolution. I could care less about the rest.
Only things I currently watch on NBC, Whitney and The Office. I’m not thrilled with their lineup this season.
I am 100% certain I heard NBC announce an official cancel on Whitney a few weeks ago..
What if Whitney and Guys with Kids move to 9:00 on Tues, next week?
I think they will do better!!
Go On hasn’t been doing so hot lately. It must have gotten a good boost being The Voice’s lead-out program.