NBC: 'Parks & Recreation' Now Certain To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

January 23rd, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 20, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :| :| :| 0.77
30 Rock final season 0.80
1600 Penn :cry: :cry: 0.80
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.86
Go On :) :) :) :) 0.92
Whitney :| :| :| 0.92
Deception :cry: :cry: 1.03
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.23
The Office final season 1.23
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.32
Up All Night :cry: :cry: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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The ratings for most of NBC's sitcoms continue to plumb new lows. The Cancellation Bear is reluctant to try and catch a falling knife and make bold predictions about  most of them at this time since they're all putting in woeful ratings. The exception to that trend was the 2013 of Parks & Recreation which tied its season high last week. That, plus the plunge elsewhere moves its prediction up to "certain to be renewed".

After three episodes, Deception has already fallen to a 1.3 adults 18-49 rating (although the third episodes ratings aren't in the average used in the table above yet). At that level it's likely to be canceled. It was in the headline last week though, so P&R gets the headline this week.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • DD

    I love Chicago Fire, but no network should have a 1st year show as the most likely to be renewed!

  • tjw

    @DD,

    I would argue that the opposite is true. Do you think NBC’s disappointed that its highest rated scripted shows are probably going to be Revolution and Chicago Fire? Do you think ABC was mad when Modern Family was its highest rated show during its first year or FOX when Glee debuted to huge numbers (thanks largely to Idol). As a network, do you think there’s more room for growth when your first year shows are your highest rated or would you rather have your best shows be in their 11th and 23rd seasons respectively (Family Guy and The Simpsons)?

  • Craig

    Parenthood finale looked more like a series than season…

  • Honey Badger

    I don’t get it. It seems without Sunday Night NFL Football or “The Voice” as a lead in. all NBC shows have under a 1.9 rating for 18 – 49 viewers.

    I understand the logic of most networks canceling the shows according to their ratings versus the same network’s other shows. But when a network gets this far down, shouldn’t they do something different?

    If you were in charge of NBC what would you do?

  • THE OLD MAN

    P&R deserves headlines

  • Nevid

    I think they should cancel all the comedies, except Parks and Recreation, Go On (if it doesn’t keep falling) and Community (if it returns with decent numbers and cut one hour of comedies. What is working for them right know are dramas, so they should focus on that.

  • toucan

    Craig

    Last year’s final could have worked as a series final as well. Even the first season wrapped up the story lines pretty well. The Parenthood writers apparently aren’t confident about renewal and don’t want to leave things in limbo. They have to plot out the season long before they have ratings info.

  • Greg

    I was expecting Parks and Recreation to receive the 30 Rock treatment and get a final shortened season, but with Go On’s ratings getting lower and lower, it might not even be a final season at all, much less a short one.

  • Michael

    Out of all the comedies besides Parks and Rec, Whitney and Go On are the two most likely to survive. So based upon ratings, and my opinion….4 comedies go bye-bye…Up all Night, Guys w Kids, 1600 Penn and New Normal.

    But it wouldn’t surprise me at all if all 6 are on the chopping block.

    I do wonder why New Normal is still a “toss” when the ratings are lower than “Up all night” and “guys with kids” :s

  • Michael

    Community is DONE after this season…no sense having a roast on this one. When Chevy Chase is done, so goes the show. It’s a horrible “cult” following show anyways.

  • Dan

    Parks and Recreation will be renewed ratings or not. The show is a season away from a 100 eps and in a season where 2 veterans are certainly ending (THe Office and 30 Rock) and 1 veteran will probably end (Community) NBC will by my guess use Parks and Rec, Go and and New Normal to rebuild Thursdays

    Disregard the garbage ratings from the last 3 weeks of Go On and The New Normal because when The Voice returns, the ratings will spike up and NBC will renew them. Not like they have other options, Whitney, Guys With Kids and Up All Night probably doesnt have a chance.

    This season the networks have learned that comedy Tuesday 9 and 9:30 leads to low ratings for all shows. It was fine last season when ABC had 8 and 8:30 Tuesdays and FOX had 9 and 9:30.

    Word of advice for NBC next season do this

    Tuesdays
    8:00 The Voice
    9:00 New Drama
    10:00 Parenthood

    NBC air a drama after The Voice, comedies dont work Tuesdays and its better to stick with Wed and Thurs.

    Thursdays
    8:00 Parks and Recreation
    8:30 The New Normal
    9:00 Go On
    9:00 Michael J FOX comedy
    10:00 New Drama? Parenthood? Grimm? Chicago Fire? Definitely not Rock Center.
    NBC you have departing veterans so you need to rebuild Thursdays. Have established Parks lead off the night at 9 followed by New Normal than have Go On inherit The Office’s slot followed by new Michael J Fox comedy.

  • Nick

    What NBC should do for 2013-2014:

    Mon-
    8: The Voice/ The Biggest Loser
    10: The Sixth Gun (new)

    Tue-
    8: The Voice
    9: Untitled Cee Lo Green Project (new)
    9:30: The New Normal
    10: Untitled Cuaron & Friedman Project (new)

    Wed-
    8: Parenthood
    9: Revolution
    10: Family Affair (new)

    Thu-
    8: Parks & Recreation
    8:30: Go On
    9: Untitled Michael J. Fox project (new)
    9:30: Untitled Peter Murrieta Project (new)
    10: Law & Order: SVU

    Fri-
    8: Dateline
    9: Grimm
    10: Dracula (new)

    Sat-
    8: Untitled MJF project (R)
    8:30: Untitled Cee Lo Green Project (R)
    9: Hench (R)
    10: Law & Order: SVU (R)

    Sun- (midseason)
    7: Dateline NBC
    8: The Celebrity Apprentice
    10: Chicago Fire

    Midseason- Community, Betty White’s Off Their Rockers

  • Dan

    @Michael – New Normal is still a toss only because Up All Night and Guys With KIds have been low rated consistently all season, New Normal is 50/50 because its numbers have only gone down the past 3 weeks, before that it was doing fine.

    NBC has a comedy mess this season after renewing and picking up so many comedies for 13 ep orders. No matter how bad the numbers get, I believe they will salvage Parks & Rec, Go On and The New Normal for single camera show for this fall.

    No clue what to make of Whitney, GWK and UAN. I am certain UAN will be axed after its reboot, GWK is finished on Feb 27 so its 50/50 more toward cancellation and Whitney still has a chance if NBC wants a multi camera show this fall. It all depends on NBC’s pilots for next year but I expect a major revamp from NBC for next fall.

  • Oliver

    @Dan

    NBC should ignore low-rated episodes of Goon and TNN without The Voice lead-in…

    …but then move them to Thursday next season, where they’ll have no lead-in and therefore be low rated? It’s Up All Night all over again.

  • Ultima

    @Honey Badger
    I don’t get it. It seems without Sunday Night NFL Football or “The Voice” as a lead in. all NBC shows have under a 1.9 rating for 18 – 49 viewers.

    The Biggest Loser, The Office, Law & Order SVU, and Chicago Fire have all pulled 2.0+ ratings this month.

    I understand the logic of most networks canceling the shows according to their ratings versus the same network’s other shows. But when a network gets this far down, shouldn’t they do something different?

    Yes, which usually starts with firing the people who keep greenlighting unsuccessful shows! NBC actually did that, although it doesn’t appear to be working out very well.

    If you were in charge of NBC what would you do?

    Schedule The Voice more! ;)

  • Oliver

    @Honey Badger

    Figure out what NBC stands for and who they are trying to appeal to.

    Overhaul NBC’s comedy promos. They are awful, making bad shows seem worse.

    Relaunch Thursday as Family Night, anchored by MJF, modeled on ABC’s relaunch of Wednesdays. 4 new comedies.

    Stop developing crappy, broad, bland, tonally confused comedies. Figure out what is wrong with NBC’s comedy unit to churn out unwatchable crap season after season. Why does NBC keep giving big promotional pushes to awful shows (i.e. Animal Practice, Whitney)?

    Make big bets. MJF/Revolution/Voice are big bets. They won’t always succeed, but when they do, they’re huge. Just make sure they are well thought-out and well executed, not boring unfunny monkey sitcoms (that pilot should have never aired).

    Stop firing showrunners and retooling shows. Major retooling does not work, it just annoys existing viewers rather than attracting new ones.

    Accept low ratings for veterans in the short-term and launch fewer, bigger, new shows each season. Aggressively promote the few new shows you do have (let’s say 4 new comedies and a drama for Tuesday). No-one is going to hate you for keeping Community, Parks and SVU around for a couple more seasons, especially since Community/Parks may benefit from syndication.

    Be very wary of buying shows from the same people with crappy track records (I’m looking at you, Scott Silveri). Stop with cronyism and giving deals based on friendship. Find new people. That said, people who create quality shows that don’t set the Nielsens alight are worth dealing with (Fey/Carlock/Harmon/Schur).

    Stop chopping and changing the schedule all the time. Pulling Grimm for months is unnecessary and won’t do it any favours. Yes, that means ordering fewer mid-season shows.

    Cancel Up All Night already. Geez.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    Deception is definitely a goner.

    I just wish the inimitably bad Revolution would follow it to cancellation.

  • James

    NBC

    Monday
    The Voice
    Believe (new)

    Tuesday
    The Voice
    A Family Affair (new)
    Parenthood

    Wednesday
    Betty White
    Guys with Kids
    SVU
    Chicago Fire

    Thursday
    Go On
    Michael J. Fox
    Parks & Rec.
    Assistance (new)

    Friday
    Dateline
    Grimm
    Dracula (new)

  • Dan

    @OLiver – If they axe Go On and The New Normal, what will they air THursdays next season? 3 new shows and Parks? THey definitely arent putting multi camera shows on THursdays, they made that mistake 2 years ago with Whitney. Go On and The New Normal are the best chance for Thurs and what is weird is I think Go ON will do better 9 on Thurs as being the only comedy in that slot than it does on Tues with Betty White as a lead in, especially when it goes up against New Girl and Happy Endings. Trust Me these shows are better off on Thursdays next season then on Tuesdays, even with a strong Voice lead in.

    @Ultima – The new Up All NIght wont be ready until April so heres my theory

    Save Me doubles up for 2 weeks from March 6-27, maybe premiering on March 13. Then Save Me replaces 1600 Penn when it finishes its run on March 28. Whitney will have 5 eps left after episode 11 airs February 27. Those will probably be paired with the last 5 Up All Night episodes.

    Maybe like this
    March 13-27
    Wednesday
    8:00 Save Me
    8:30 Save Me
    9:00 SVU
    10:00 Chicago Fire

    Thursday (Feb 7-March 28)
    8:00 Community
    8:30 Parks and Rec
    9:00 The Office
    9:30 1600 Penn
    10:00 Do No Harm

    Wednesday April-May
    8:00 Whitney
    8:30 Up All Night
    9:00 SVU
    10:00 Chicago Fire

    Thursday (April 4-May 16)
    8:00 Community
    8:00 Parks and Rec
    9:00 The Office
    9:30 Save Me
    10:00 Do No Harm

    This way all comedies will air by May.

  • SJ

    Deception and 1600 Penn are dead. No saving them anymore.

    The New Normal is now likely cancellation, along with Whitney and Guys with Kids.

    Go On, Community (due to it not having premiered yet) – bubble

    Parks and Rec – the only comedy I’m certain will be on NBC’s schedule next year. Along with Betty White’s Off Their Rockers, but that’s not really a scripted show, so…

    Chicago Fire is the unsung hero of this television season. It is definitely coming back. SVU and Parenthood should both get their victory laps next season and then they, too, will ride off into the sunset.

    I have a feeling Smash and Do No Harm are going to do very badly out of the gate. Probably a 1.8 for Smash’s two-hour premiere, somewhere around a 1.4 for DNH, both falling sharply in the coming weeks. Without The Voice and football (which is not coming back this season anymore) NBC is a mess.

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