NBC: 'Parks & Recreation' Now Certain To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

January 23rd, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 20, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :| :| :| 0.77
30 Rock final season 0.80
1600 Penn :cry: :cry: 0.80
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.86
Go On :) :) :) :) 0.92
Whitney :| :| :| 0.92
Deception :cry: :cry: 1.03
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.23
The Office final season 1.23
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.32
Up All Night :cry: :cry: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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The ratings for most of NBC's sitcoms continue to plumb new lows. The Cancellation Bear is reluctant to try and catch a falling knife and make bold predictions about  most of them at this time since they're all putting in woeful ratings. The exception to that trend was the 2013 of Parks & Recreation which tied its season high last week. That, plus the plunge elsewhere moves its prediction up to "certain to be renewed".

After three episodes, Deception has already fallen to a 1.3 adults 18-49 rating (although the third episodes ratings aren't in the average used in the table above yet). At that level it's likely to be canceled. It was in the headline last week though, so P&R gets the headline this week.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Oliver

    @Dan

    Four new comedies should go on Thursday, relaunching the entire night at once. The 8pm show is cannon fodder, but it’s the signal of relaunching that matters.

    Goon should be paired with Parks on Wednesday at 8. They aren’t really a good fit demographically, since Parks skews much younger than Goon, but I think NBC needs at least one sophomore comedy on its schedule in fall. I don’t see Goon lasting very long.

    Keep several mid-season veteran comedies. Those that aren’t needed, air on Tuesday between Voice cycles, or bump them to Friday or Sunday.

  • Ultima

    @Dan
    re: sitcom scheduling

    Another option is that after February sweeps, they may pull Go On and double up The New Normal to burn it off before The Voice returns (going with 8-OTR new/repeat, 9-Voice, 10-Smash) and save the remaining 4-5 episodes of Go On for Thursday 9:30pm in April.

    There’s 11 Wednesdays after the GWK finale until the end of the season (12 if they go against Idol’s finale). That’s enough for five weeks of UAN/Whitney and six weeks of double Save Me airings.

  • Dan

    @Oliver – Thats a bad idea, 4 new comedies relaunching a might almost never works. The rare exception was ABC Fall 2009, which I did not expect at all. 1 of the 4 shows flopped but the remaining 3 are still airing. 4 new shows Thursdays will get crushed by Big Bang, POI, Grey’s, X Factor. Its better that NBC sticks with familiar shows like Parks, Go On and New Normal along with the new Michael J Fox show to rebuild a night that will be vacated by The Office, 30 Rock and likely Community.

    @Ultima – In the past 2 days we’ve had 2 networks doing that with veterans ABC with Happy Endings and Fox with Raising Hope leaving 6 Ben & Kate unaired and 8 Apartment 23 unaired. I think NBC will just stick with Go On and New Normal through sweeps because once Voice returns both shows will get growth. Its complicated moving around shows this late in the season and confusing. I could see NBC doing this but its very unlikely.

  • SJ

    The New Normal is lucky that NBC doesn’t really have anything in the way of mid-season comedies. Otherwise the most prudent thing to do would be to launch a new comedy out of The Voice in late March and bump Go On to 9:30, effectively pushing TNN to another day (likely Wednesday). However, with the low-rated Community and the non-starter that is Save Me, that is unlikely to happen.

    As for next season, I absolutely agree that NBC needs to relaunch that night completely. Four new comedies, one new drama. Throw it all at the wall and see what sticks. Go On/Parks and Rec to Wednesdays, Off Their Rockers/Community (or New Normal) benchwarmers. Everything else cancelled.

  • Ultima

    @Dan

    I meant leave them on through February sweeps, but after that, they’ll only have five episodes of each show left for the remainder of the year; too many to run through before The Voice returns, too few to stretch out until the end of the season (unless they are content with two months of repeats or ordered additional episodes).

    If they burn off New Normal (two weeks of double episodes), they can save the final four or five episodes of Go On for Thursdays in April/May after 1600 Penn ends. This would also allow them to continue airing Off Their Rockers through May, which appears to be their strongest comedy outside of The Office and P&R. Then they could just move The Voice to 9pm to boost Smash, because that’s a better idea than using it to boost repeats of Go On.

    They’re radically chaging their schedule the last week of March anyways, so it really shouldn’t be a big deal to move another show around.

  • Dan

    @Ultima – Well the way thefutoncritic shows it is March has repeats for all 4 weeks only scheduled through April 16 so if that is the projected season finale then, new episodes of both programs will air March 19 through April 16. Its probably better that instead of moving Go on to post office they just leave in in the slots. It would have been better for NBC to do that this past January but they kept both shows on without a Voice lead in.

  • CrystalFissure

    And the fandom rejoiced.

  • RyanCanada

    i hope New Normal doesnt get cancelled

  • KT

    I really hope Smash does better than everyone is predicting.. It’s the only show I watch on NBC. The songs are fantastic, the behind the scenes look into making a Broadway musical is fresh and different. I guess the average American doesn’t appreciate Broadway musicals, but the average American also watches garbage reality shows, so I personally think the average American is an idiot..

  • Numb3rs

    Like a lot of people have been saying for weeks now NBC really needs to move Whitney and Guys with Kids to 9p or Smash is gonna fail hard like Deception. I highly doubt its able to match Parenthood’s numbers with The New Normal as its lead-in.

    http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/live-feed/parks-recreation-reruns-land-at-414988

    WGN is one of the biggest affiliates in the entire country so getting your comedy nailed on WGN in Chicago is really important but they’ve had a bad stretch run of comedies since Two and a Half Men landed there in 2007 and that was their last big hit. I know the programmer at WGN has spoken openly about wanting more mass produced sitcoms on the networks. P&R won’t succeed just like 30 Rock but WGN probably took it since it scores well with the Hipsters in the demo.

    Friends has been running on that network for 15 years and has a huge fanbase with that show in that market so my thinking is that Whitney will likely land on WGN in 2015 but they need to try and get Mike & Molly or 2 Broke Girls also.

  • Jamie

    I care only about Grimm and Revolution. Revolution as really been a breath of fresh air. It’s so different and creative. Sure it could be something you’d expect to see on a movie but not on a tv show and I have to admit that it’s nice to see something where somebody took some innitiative and it isn’t a stolen idea like so many other tv shows and movies of late. Seriously the entertainment people are getting lazy at creativity and it’s starting to come off as pathetic. So it is really nice to see a show like revolution, even a show if you go to ABC, Like Once upon a Time. Different, Original. yet not so out there that it’s a turn off. These are perfect concepts while certainly they have their flaws at times as they are young shows and will get better with time but they are great at what they do. So my vote is for Grimm and Revolution to be renewed as well as Chicago Fire, My mom loves that show.

  • Daryl

    Deception had a good pilot, but the 2 episodes since then have been really boring, I don’t plan on watching it anymore. Cancel away!

  • SJ

    NBC needs to stop doubling up on Off Their Rockers like yesterday. I don’t see why they just don’t air a rerun at 8 and a new episode at 8:30. That way it can last them a little bit longer. At this point, its reruns will likely do better than new episodes of most of their sitcoms.

    The New Normal only has seven episodes left (there’s an unaired Halloween episode that I don’t think will ever see the light of day), which NBC can burn off between now and March 18. The Voice can then move to 9pm while Go On is either burned off alongside TNN or moves to 8pm with Betty or Save Me.

  • Mark

    Re-scheduling is key to solve NBC messy performance with comedies. TNN and Go On are 8/8.30 kind-of shows. At that time on Tuesday or Thursday they would probably beat the crap out of ABC and FOX, as their series aren’t any better (neither in quality nor in demos). 1600 Penn deserves another chance at a different time as well. It’s a great cast, it only needs time. On the other hand, Guys With Kids, Whitney and Up All Night just don’t work no matter what lead-in they have. They will probably get the axe.

  • Oliver

    NBC’s 2013-14 schedule should be:

    Monday:
    8: The Voice
    10: Revolution

    Tuesday:
    8: The Voice
    9: New Drama
    10: Parenthood

    Wednesday:
    8: Parks
    8.30: Goon
    9: SVU
    10: Chicago Fire

    Thursday:
    8: New Family Comedy
    8.30: New Family Comedy
    9: MJF
    9.30: New Adult Comedy
    10: New Drama

    Friday:
    8: Repeats/Grimm (Halloween)
    9: Deadline/Dracula (Halloween)
    10: Rock Center

    NBC puts all its promotion efforts into its ‘all-new’ family Thursday lineup. A deep bench of veterans, in case it flops.

  • haztaz

    my schedule: get out of comedies, they are not working!

    monday
    Voice/AGT (yes, both twice per season)
    Revolution

    tuesday
    Voice/AGT
    Biggest Loser
    Parenthood

    wednesday new horror night
    Dracula
    Crossbones
    Hannibal

    thursday
    Fear Factor (this slot is dead, lets not release anything here right now)
    Mjf
    Parks
    New Drama

    friday
    Chicago Fire
    Grimm
    SVU

    sat
    Rock Center
    SVU
    Dateline

  • Luke

    Parks and Rec now being syndicated on WGNA. The Syndi Gods demand a sixth season!

  • Dan

    @SJ – It reminds me about January 2008 when ABC aired Tuesday Just for Laughs twice at 8:00 and 8:30 (new and repeat) and then new According to Jim and Carpoolers at 9 and 9:30. May as well air something new at 8:30 my guess is why its new at 8 and not 8:30 is because NBC wants to lead off the night with a new series.

    @Luke – At this point even if cancelled Parks and Rec is able to be syndicated, WGNA is great for that. They air shows that have less than 88 eps and syndicate them.

  • Oliver

    Parks and Recreation has 90 episodes at the end of this season anyhow.

  • Mary 1

    I’m confused by everyone saying that Go On and TNN would continue after The Voice when it returns. With only 8 or 7 episodes left, it would seem that both shows would have run through all their episodes and there would have to be different shows coming on after the voice which airs in March. Has NBC’s March and April schedule come out yet?

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