NBC: 'Parks & Recreation' Now Certain To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

January 23rd, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 20, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :| :| :| 0.77
30 Rock final season 0.80
1600 Penn :cry: :cry: 0.80
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.86
Go On :) :) :) :) 0.92
Whitney :| :| :| 0.92
Deception :cry: :cry: 1.03
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.23
The Office final season 1.23
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.32
Up All Night :cry: :cry: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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The ratings for most of NBC's sitcoms continue to plumb new lows. The Cancellation Bear is reluctant to try and catch a falling knife and make bold predictions about  most of them at this time since they're all putting in woeful ratings. The exception to that trend was the 2013 of Parks & Recreation which tied its season high last week. That, plus the plunge elsewhere moves its prediction up to "certain to be renewed".

After three episodes, Deception has already fallen to a 1.3 adults 18-49 rating (although the third episodes ratings aren't in the average used in the table above yet). At that level it's likely to be canceled. It was in the headline last week though, so P&R gets the headline this week.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Marie

    @Mary 1

    You’re totally right. It confuses me too. As you said both GO and TNN will have ended by March 25st, which is when The Voice returns. So I guess they’re talking about next year schedule? Anyway by that time NBC will probably launch new stuff behind The Voice. If anything, Go On and The New Normal stand a chance on Thursdays next fall, in an earlier time.

  • BigBrotherFan

    DECEPTION, GUYS WITH KIDS, 1600 PENN, FASHION STAR ALL CERTAIN TO BE CANCELED

    WHITNEY WILL BE RENEWED FOR A 3RD SEASON OF 13 EPISODES

    The New Normal could really go either way but if it can recover over last Tuesdays 1.2 UGLY NUMBERS I could see it getting the WHITNEY treatment this season. Even though it doesn`t deserve it.

    Chicago Fire will be renewed for how many episodes, who knows.

    Most of NBC midseason slate WILL FAIL with SMASH finally getting canceled

    Go ON will be renewed.

  • Oliver

    @Mary 1

    There’s too many episodes of Go On/TNN left for NBC to air them all before The Voice returns. The Voice returns in 5 weeks, but there’s 7 episodes of Go On remaining and 8 episodes of TNN (including an unaired Halloween episode). NBC will need to do some schedule trickery.

    NBC hasn’t released a March/April schedule yet.

  • Ultima

    @Oliver
    including an unaired Halloween episode

    They should have scheduled that for Valentine’s Day along with Community’s Halloween episode! ;)

  • Nick

    I don’t get the people who think Go On’s ratings are so much better than TNN. There’s a .1/.2 difference, and Go On has a better lead-in. They’re in the same boat, people.

  • Greg

    @Oliver

    The Voice returns in five weeks?! As far as I know, it returns in 8 weeks, on March 25. It would be perfectly possible to air the remaining episodes of Go On and The New Normal.

  • The End

    Greg is correct. Revolution and The Voice return on the same day(March 25).

  • Oliver

    @Greg

    You’re right. I know what I meant, I just phrased it very badly.

    Tuesday February 5 is pre-empted for a Betty White birthday special. Tuesday February 12 is pre-empted for the State of the Union address.

    The Voice returns to Tuesday on March 26.

    That leaves 5 airdates before The Voice returns: January 29, February 19, February 26, March 5 and March 19.

    But Goon has 8 episodes remaining (last episode was episode 14, Comeback Player of the Year) and The New Normal has 9 episodes (last episode was 14, Gaydar, plus #7 Para-New Normal Activity remains unaired).

  • Oliver

    Erm, 6 airdates: January 29, February 19, February 26, March 5, March 12 and March 19.

    I can’t count or express myself today. I’m going to go have a lie down.

  • NBC!!!

    NBC PREDICTION:

    Monday
    The Voice
    new drama

    Tuesday
    The Voice
    new drama
    Parenthood

    Wednesday
    SVU
    new drama
    Chicago fire

    Thursday
    Go On
    new comedy
    Parks
    new comedy (MJ Fox)
    Revolution

    Friday
    new drama (Dracula)
    Grimm
    Dateline

    Saturday
    Rock Center
    Dateline (9-11)

  • Six Seasons and a Movie

    I knew that the NBC comedies would be the most unpredictable thing come this time, and I was right. I just hope Community somehow comes out on top and gets renewed.

  • Knope

    Don’t toy with my emotions, TVBTN. P&R only has one data point so far, is it really safe to move it up to certain?

  • Greg

    @Oliver

    Indeed, I forgot about the pre-emptions. They could stick with the Go On/The New Normal block after The Voice for two weeks, then air the final episode of TNN and use Go On’s slot to launch the revamped Up All Night.

  • Honey Badger

    All the networks are in trouble, with the year over year ratings dropping drastically. The only network that has had overall ratings increase is NBC, and that is due to NBC ratings being so very very low to begin with, and the success of NBC Sunday Night NFL Football and “ The Voice “.

    More proof NBC is in big trouble without NBC Sunday Night Football, and “ The Voice “ with their mega ratings and ability to help their shows as a lead in. Without these shows ratings and helping other shows ratings as a lead ins, NBC has next to nothing. Just a bunch of very low rated shows. Look at the top 25 shows on television below, notice NBC has only 1 show on list.
    It seems the only shows that can draw over a 1.9 rating 18 – 49 on NBC on their own are Biggest Loser 2.4, The Office 2.2 (The Office is ending in its last season) , Law & Order SVU 2.1, and Chicago Fire 2.2.
    This should scare NBC very much.
    With the exceptions of NBC Sunday Night Football, and “ The Voice “, all of NBC shows would be canceled if they were on CBS.
    Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear.

    ABC is in the same boat, Take away Modern Family , Grey’s Anatomy and Once Upon A Time and all ABC has left is poor rated shows and overall their shows have been falling like a rock this year. Way to kill a network ABC.

    In week 17 of the broadcast television season ending Sunday, January 20, 2013, CBS came in first place among adults 18-49 with a 4.2 rating average. FOX came in second with a 2.6. ABC was third with a 1.7 and NBC was fourth with a 1.2 average. The CW finished last with a 0.6 adults 18-49 rating average.

    CBS won the week with total viewers, with 15.89 million viewers, ahead of second place FOX with 7.45 million viewers. ABC was third with 5.83 million. NBC was fourth with 3.73 million followed by the CW with 1.62 million.

    Primetime Broadcast Adults 18-49 Viewers for the week ending January 20, 2013:
    The AFC Championship was the highest rated program among adults 18-49 and with total viewers. American Idol was the highest rated non-sports program among adults 18-49. Modern Family was the highest rated scripted program.

    Rank Shows R=Repeat S=Special P=Premiere Net 18-49 rating 18-49 Viewers (000)
    1 AFC CHAMPIONSHIP ON CBS-01/20 S CBS 16.8 21236
    2 AFC CHMP POST GAME ON CBS-01/20 S CBS 9.1 11480
    3 American Idol-WEDNESDAY-01/16 P FOX 6.0 7570
    4 American Idol-THURSDAY-01/17 P FOX 5.6 7114
    5 Modern Family-01/16 ABC 4.3 5426
    6 2 Broke Girls-01/14 R CBS 4.1 5242
    7 NCIS-01/15 CBS 3.9 4935
    8 How I Met Your Mother-01/14 CBS 3.9 4880
    9 Big Bang Theory, THE – SP-01/14 SR CBS 3.7 4664
    10 MIKE & Molly-01/14 CBS 3.5 4402
    11 Hawaii Five-0 SP 1/20-01/20 S CBS 3.5 4372
    12 Big Bang Theory, THE-01/17 R CBS 3.2 4093
    13 Grey’S ANATOMY-01/17 ABC 3.0 3779
    14 Criminal Minds-01/16 CBS 2.9 3631
    15 NCIS: LOS ANGELES-01/15 CBS 2.7 3366
    16 Scandal-01/17 ABC 2.6 3329
    17 BACHELOR, THE-01/14 ABC 2.4 3097
    18 Once Upon A Time-01/20 ABC 2.4 3081
    19 Biggest Loser 14-01/14 NBC 2.4 3052
    20 Hawaii Five-0-01/14 CBS 2.4 3031
    21 Two and a Half Men-01/17 R CBS 2.3 2968
    22 CSI-01/16 CBS 2.3 2944
    23 MIDDLE, THE-01/16 ABC 2.3 2897
    24 Suburgatory-01/16 ABC 2.3 2889
    25 NASHVILLE-01/16 ABC 2.2 2806

  • SJ

    @Oliver

    One more correction: Go On and The New Normal both have 22-episode orders. They both aired 14 of them. So Go On has 8 and The New Normal has, in fact, 7, since I don’t believe the Halloween episode will ever be aired (maybe it’ll be a DVD extra or air as part of next season, should there be one).

    So Go On will have The Voice as a lead-in for two more episodes, The New Normal for one more episode. I guess NBC can just go ahead and air two-hour editions of The Voice on Tuesdays (unless they have one of Crossbones, Dracula or Hannibal ready by that time). Or they really have faith in the revamped Save Me and the re-re-re-re-re-re-re-re (…) revamped Up All Night.

    I don’t have the episode order for Off Their Rockers, but last year they did 12. They already aired six so far this year, with two more slated for next week. It looks like OTR will wrap up by Feb 26.

  • Oliver

    @SJ
    Whoops, you’re right.

    Anyway, the principle remains: NBC scheduling be crazy.

    I guess if OTR is done on Feb 26 then they could double-pump Goon/TNN for 2 weeks using that open slot, leaving an episode of both unaired.

    This would have worked out perfectly before they announced their Betty White special, so I wonder if that was their original plan.

  • Oliver

    Also, Hannibal has been in production for months, while Dracula and Crossbones are both still casting.

    I think they’ll launch Hannibal after The Voice on Tuesday in March/April. Fuller has said he believed it would air in Spring, and the post-Voice timeslot is too good to waste.

  • Dan

    I hope NBC announces their plans soon. The speculation is terrible and the clock is ticking in terms of how the midseason plans regarding The Voice, Go On, Save Me and other shows.

  • Greg

    NBC can give a special premiere for Up All Night before an episode of Go On (which slides to 9:30 just for that episode so UAN can have The Voice directly as a lead in). After that, Up All Night goes to Wednesdays at 8 (or 8:30).

    They could do that on March 26. Whitney and Up All Night would wrap up on April 17 and Save Me can take over after that.

  • steven

    I agree that it’d be best to air Hannibal after the voice, it’d be stupied to waste the potential hit by airing it in the summer

    go on should move to wherever it’d air after MJF

    the new normal… i dont see any reason to renew it honestly, it has to small of a audience appeal

    and im sure their gonna pick up the sean hayes family comedy, so maybe guys with kids or up all night can be saved unless they pick up more multi cam pilots

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