NBC: 'Parks & Recreation' Now Certain To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

January 23rd, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 20, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :| :| :| 0.77
30 Rock final season 0.80
1600 Penn :cry: :cry: 0.80
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.86
Go On :) :) :) :) 0.92
Whitney :| :| :| 0.92
Deception :cry: :cry: 1.03
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.23
The Office final season 1.23
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.32
Up All Night :cry: :cry: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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The ratings for most of NBC's sitcoms continue to plumb new lows. The Cancellation Bear is reluctant to try and catch a falling knife and make bold predictions about  most of them at this time since they're all putting in woeful ratings. The exception to that trend was the 2013 of Parks & Recreation which tied its season high last week. That, plus the plunge elsewhere moves its prediction up to "certain to be renewed".

After three episodes, Deception has already fallen to a 1.3 adults 18-49 rating (although the third episodes ratings aren't in the average used in the table above yet). At that level it's likely to be canceled. It was in the headline last week though, so P&R gets the headline this week.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Jim

    NBC summer

    Monday
    8:00 The Voice
    10:00 Save Me(NBC won’t Do this, but i challenge them to)
    10:30 Reruns

    Tuesday
    8:00 The Voice/The Camp
    9:00 AGT

    Wednesday
    8:00 AGT (r)
    9:00 AGT
    10:00 Hannibal

  • Marixa

    Deceptions numbers are bad its so sad its actually a good show watch it people !!! :)

  • Mark

    If NBC plans a second season of The New Normal, its finale should definitely air after The Voice. Anyway the problem here is that most of the shows on Tuesdays are comedies, and all are of them are single-camera. Of course, they have the same target. And thus they kill each other. Worse scheduling ever. Same with Thursdays. It’s all multi-camera. What were they thinking? Next fall, Go On and TNN need to go to Thursdays and then have some multi-camera comedies premiere on Tuesdays after The Voice.

  • chrisbrannigan

    This is awesome news, I remember a few years ago when this show was probably getting cancelled and had about 12 viewers! Go On is awesome, wondering if it’ll do better if moved to Thursdays to replace The Office or 30 Rock next season?

  • Dan S

    I wonder if the new MJF comedy will be single camera or multi-cam ? As I’ve said before I will only watch a sitcom with NO laugh track, I feel it’s dumbing down the audience. It would seem logical to replace The Office with MJF if it’s a single cam otherwise put it on Tues after The Voice if it’s multi-cam. Go On will probably survive by the skin of its teeth but will undoubtedly be put behind a stronger show like P&R. Next season I would move Revolution to either Tues or Wed at 9pm to help bolster those time periods that have been ratings challenged for NBC.

  • Oliver

    It’s single cam. His Parkinsons likely precludes him from doing multicam.

    NBC has ordered 12 comedy pilots and a presentation so far. NBC ordered 7 comedies to series this season, expect them to do similarly next season.

  • Dondi

    @Bill – apologies if this was asked and answered, but why are the numbers from 2012 not taken into consideration?

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “@Bill – apologies if this was asked and answered, but why are the numbers from 2012 not taken into consideration?”

    I used to use averages from the entire season until a few years ago.

    However, since the general ratings level in the spring is lower than it is in the Fall, using full year averages often lead to an apples/oranges situation comparing shows that had Fall premieres vs. Spring premieres.

    By limiting the Indexes to “Spring” ratings only that apples/oranges situation is reduced significantly.

  • Dondi

    @Bill

    Thanks….that makes sense. Could it possibly skew the index for shows that premiered in fall? For example, an NBC Spring show airs with such a low rating that it forces the network average to fall considerably. A low rated show from the fall that was destined for cancellation might now appear to be doing well when in fact its rating hasn’t changed all that much.

    I suppose it takes a bit of judgement to handle outliers like that and having an outlier is probably unlikely. Anyhow, I enjoy looking at the index each week. Thanks for all your work!

  • Dan S

    @ Oliver, thanks so much for the info regarding MJF’s new show. As a single cam I’ll definitely check it out & hope it does well.

  • Mark

    I thought MJF’s show was going to be multi-cam and 2.5 Men alike. Don’t know why I imagined it that way but I did :D

  • iggy agrimotor

    getting your comedy nailed on WGN in Chicago is really important

    Yeah, WGN is real choosy: WGN America Acquires “‘Til Death” for Fall 2011

  • Nick

    @Oliver

    Tuesday February 5 is pre-empted for a Betty White birthday special.

    Betty White’s 2nd Annual 90th Birthday Special will not affect Go On & The New Normal at all, as it is from 8-9.

  • AiPod

    My bet:
    Renew: Parks and Rec, Go On, TNN.
    Cancel: Up all night, Guys with kids, 1600 Penn, Whitney

    Next fall NBC should bring back the combo Voice+Go On+TNN. I don’t mind if they order 13 episodes only, but at least they know that’s a combo that works for sure, and it beat off ABC and FOX. They may as well order 22 episodes and, unlike this year, wait for The Voice to return and match them together again. But that’s just what I wish they’d do. However, the most probably thing is that Go On and TNN will end up replacing 30 Rock and The Office. If that happens, they should be fine. 2.5 Men and TBBT doesn’t target the same people Go On and TNN do.

  • Greg

    Isn’t the Smash premiere a two-hour episode, though?

  • Oliver

    Yeah, it’s a two hour Smash premiere on Feb 5.

    My details are all wrong but the principles behind them are right…

  • Ron Swanson

    Parks & Rec is by far the best show on TV. I hope it keeps going for a few more years!

    Unlike the office, which was starting to show it’s age in the fifth season, I feel like P&R has continually gotten better. I love both the characters and the town / city of Pawnee.

    It’s time for the office to end. I enjoyed up through season 5. Season 6 and 7 were kind of a mixed bag. A small handful of episodes in season 8 were decent. Season 9 has been a return to form in a way. It doesn’t reach the heights of seasons 2/3, but definitely brings it back to the season 4/5 level in my opinion. I’m happy to see it get a good final run of episodes before ending.

    I hope Community debuts with strong enough numbers to get a sixth season (Six seasons and a movie? lol). I’ve only seen a few episodes myself, but I just can’t help but root for critically acclaimed shows with a small, but very dedicated fanbase. I was really happy to see one of my all-time favorite shows renewed for a final 13 episode fifth season last year (Chuck) despite it’s continually low ratings. I feel like Chuck and Community are in a similar boat (though I don’t think any show has cheated death as many times as Chuck).

    If Community does semi-decent, I’d say renew Parks & Rec, Community, Go On, and ditch everything else? I hate to say anyone’s favorite show should be cancelled….

    Thursay
    8:00pm – Community
    8:30pm – Parks & Recreation
    9:00pm – Go On
    9:30pm – MJF

    So yeah I would say drama wise, NBC should keep in mind that next year the Avengers tie-in SHIELD will debut on ABC. Now that Disney has acquired Lucasfilm, they say there are talks to finally bring the series Star Wars: Underworld to TV. Pairing up SHIELD with Star Wars could be big for ABC and definitely pull in big numbers given the Avengers / Star Wars tie in audience. Considering how AWESOME Clone Wars is, I think the quality could be really high for Star Wars: Underworld.

    It’s funny that even though NBC has the lowest ratings, I haven’t watched any shows on any other network in years. I just can’t stand commedy shows like TBBT and 2.5 Men. I watched House MD on Fox, but since that ended haven’t really tuned in to any other channels (besides Cartoon Network for Clone Wars and Adventure Time). I watched Revolution on monday nights….it just didn’t fill the void left by Chuck. It was decent, though I much prefer Parks & Rec which is LITERALLY the best show on TV and one of the best shows of all time.

  • DM

    I will say that 1600 Penn has improved drastically since the first two episodes. I laughed often at this last one. I wonder if the exodus of 30 Rock and The Office will benefit keeping them around.

  • mando

    Try Guys with Kids at 9:00 on Tuesday! I will perform better than Go On.
    And it’s time for NBC to focus on Multi-cam comedies.

  • Dan

    1600 Penn’s poor retention out of The Office will kill it. It’s retention is worse than The Mindy Project out of New Girl.

    I hope everyone looks forward to the Halloween episode of Community on Valentine’s Day?!

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