CW: '90210' Ratings Are Terrible, How Can It Be A "Toss Up" For Cancellation Or Renewal?

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

January 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Emily Owens, M.D. canceled 0.51
90210 :| :| :| 0.58
Gossip Girl* final season complete 0.61
Nikita (F) :) :) :) :) 0.65
The Carrie Diaries :| :| :| 0.80
Hart Of Dixie :| :| :| 0.87
Beauty And The Beast :| :| :| 1.02
Supernatural :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
Arrow :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.60
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.96

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Fans of 90210 better hope that the CW's Mark Pedowitz is still handing out short final seasons for old shows, because that's the only way 90210 survives into next season. Its ratings are dreadful, even for the CW. Since reading Mr. Pedowitz's mind is the only way to know for sure, I'm keeping it as a "toss up".

Desperate fans may cite Pedowitz's public statements as cause for hoping for one thing, or another, but after doing this for more than five years, I'm 100% certain that trying to assign probabilities based on TV executive public statements is folly.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CW Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • thesnowleopard

    @Melanie
    True. Cult and The Following both owe a heavy debt to FreakyLinks (not to mention Marble Hornets). In fact, Cult looks almost like a FreakyLinks clone.

  • Peter Mazzilli

    Oh well… now that everyone is making fantasy schedules… HERE I GOOO! :D <3

    MONDAY:
    8:00 – Embrace
    9:00 – Beauty and The Beast
    TUESDAY:
    8:00 – Hart of Dixie
    9:00 – The Carrie Diaries/The Selection
    WEDNESDAY:
    8:00 – Arrow
    9:00 – Supernatural
    THURSDAY:
    8:00 – The Vampire Diaries
    9:00 – The Originals
    FRIDAY:
    8:00 – Nikita (October – February) (Renewed for 2-16 episodes-season through 2013 – 2015)/Oxygen (February – May)
    9:00 – Tomorrow People

  • Peter Mazzilli

    Embrace could be the ”off cycle pilot” that spoiler tv and deadline were talking about…

  • GG

    FLOPITA HAS TO GO. Thats the #1 MUST!

    Followed by 90210

    I see carrie surviving for another season but it might be just that. (Like Life Unexpected)

  • Penny

    Dream schedule

    ===Monday===
    90210 – 8pm – Short final season for fall
    Hart of Dixie – 9pm – Full third season

    ===Tuesday===
    Cult – 8pm – Full season
    The Tomorrow People – 9pm – Full season

    ===Wednesday===
    Arrow – 8pm – Full season
    Supernatural – 8pm – Full season

    ===Thursday===
    The Vampire Diaries – 8pm – Full season
    The Originals – 9pm – Full season

    ===Fridays===
    The Selection – 8pm – Full season
    Niktia – 9pm – Final Fourth Season

    The Carrie Diaries and Beauty And The Beast cancelled.

  • Revenge

    Floppy and The Flop, Floparrie Diaries have to go.

  • DonnaT

    Even though I stopped watching B&TB after 2 episodes – I still can’t stand KK – B&TB has had two back to back 0.7′s only one of which (I think) is refected in this chart. I would not be surprised to see it with 4 smileys on Tuesday.

  • Bonnie

    Monday
    8pm: Hart of Dixie
    9pm: Blink

    Tuesday
    8pm: The Tomorrow People
    9pm: The Hundred

    Wednesday
    8pm: Arrow
    9pm: Supernatural

    Thursday
    8pm: The Vampire Diaries
    9pm: The Originals

    Friday
    8pm: Beauty and the Beast
    9pm: Nikita

    Mid-season/Summer
    Oxygen
    The Selection

  • Dave

    “Floppy and The Flop, Floparrie Diaries have to go.”

    Seriously? It amazes me how many versions of the word “flop” is used on this site.

  • Felipe Nikita

    I think that if they split Arrow and Supernatural, Arrow will fall hard, is not a good show and it needs SPN

  • Peter Mazzilli

    @Dave Like….

    9021Flop (90210)
    Flop of Dixie (Hart of Dixie)
    The Floppie Diaries (The Carrie Diaries)
    Floparrow (Arrow)
    FlopyNatural (SuperNatural)
    Floppy and The Flop (Beauty and the beast)
    Flopkita (Nikita)
    Floppy Girl (Gossip Girl)
    Flop (Cult)
    Flop Owens, M.D (Emily Owens, M.D)

  • Alex

    I think 90210, Carrie Diaries and Cult will be canceled.
    Beauty and the Beast will take place after Nikita on Fridays.
    As for new shows i can see CW ordering Oxygen, Tomorrow People, Selection and maybe one of the dramas (either Company Town or Blink)
    Vampire Diaries spin off is unnecessary.

  • xoox

    90210 and NIKITA both should be cancelled.

  • Angellica .T.

    please give back the secret circle for more seasons u made a mistake its better than u thought ur bear spit it out.

  • Win

    @Bill

    Why will my comments not post on the site????

  • Win

    Oh now it posts….
    Sorry bill.

  • JacobYates

    @bill gorman
    What are the average ratings for a tv show on the CW? And how is Beauty and the Beast on the bubble if its renew cancel index is 1.02?

  • Cathy viviano

    For God’s sakes-cancel 90210 please!!!!!! The first season was nice but when Dustin Milligan/Lori Laughlin and Rob Estes left the show along with the lady that played Tabitha (Harry’s mom)-90210 went downhill!!!!

    Thank you :)

  • Hades

    If this is going to be the last season of 90210 shouldnt there have been an announcement by now?

  • Brandy

    @Hades a few final season announcements have been made during what turned out to be the final season and CW is going to make a descion very soon so if it is the last season the producers/writers can be told early so , it can be properly wrapped up.

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