FOX: 'The Cleveland Show' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

January 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The Mob Doctor* canceled 0.31
Fringe* (F) final season complete 0.50
Ben And Kate* canceled 0.60
The Cleveland Show :cry: :cry: 0.63
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.76
Raising Hope :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.02
Bones renewed 1.09
American Dad renewed 1.24
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.24
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
The Simpsons renewed 1.49
The Following :) :) :) :) 1.61
Family Guy renewed 1.63

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A combination of low ratings, and a seeming lack of time to produce new episodes in time for next season has me downgrading The Cleveland Show to "likely to be canceled". Could it still get an order for episodes to air in early 2014? I guess. But that's no longer even a toss up opportunity.

The Following premiered well, and its ratings rose in its second episode. That's not going to put food in the stomach of the Cancellation Bear.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the Fox Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • TV Addict

    I’m gunna miss the Cleveland Show if it goes. It was genuinely funny. I am glad that New Girl is doing crappy this season, cuz that show is genuinely boring.

  • Joe

    “yeah Cleveland is gone for sure. i still feel that raising hope is gone too. its rating have dropped by half since last season and its doing good wife numbers.”

    Why are you comparing two shows on completely different networks and completely different nights? First off, Raising Hope is only a season away from syndication, so there’s no way FOX drops it now. But even if it wasn’t, it’d still probably be getting renewed because it’s not far from FOX’s scripted average. Of course its ratings have dropped, it went from having a strong New Girl as its lead-in to leading off the night. But networks don’t measure ratings by how much they’ve dropped.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “You guys have a horrible record with the animated shows. Havent you put American Dad and Bobs as certain to be cancelled many a time?”

    Our record with animation predictions is great, you have no idea what you’re talking about.

    We’ve never had either of those shows as certain to be canceled. That’s your fevered imagination at work.

  • CrimTV

    @Illinois

    Fox will not move Glee to Fridays next season!

  • Dan

    No, this site never put American Dad as certain, it was on the bubble on this site in November 2010 but thats only because Cleveland was doing well back then and FOX had a lot of animated pilots for the next year.

    My guess is FOX will try to rebuild Tuesdays next season with the 2 hour comedy block, likely because ABC will probably revert to Dancing at 9 with something else at 8 and NBC will likely put a drama behind the Voice. Fox will likely air Raising Hope, then Mindy Project, then New Girl then a new comedy.

    Animation isn’t that hard to figure out in terms of predictions. Animated programs take a long time to produce so since The Simpsons, American Dad, Family Guy, and Bob’s Burgers have all been renewed, The Cleveland Show is the odd comedy out.

    Unlike NBC which has a slot of bubble comedies, FOX isn;t that hard to figure out

    Glee, Raising Hope, New Girl, The Following and The Mindy Project will be renewed
    The Cleveland Show, The Goodwin Games, and Touch will be cancelled

    How hard is that?

  • Nerdbot

    I watched only a couple of episodes of Ben and Kate and but I decided to stop until see if it’d be able to survive this season. As it didn’t, I think it was a good idea to drop a low-rated show before I became too attached to it.

  • Andies

    I knew it.. third season of the clevelnad’s ratings has been far from good.. I like ths show but I’ll admitt, I have missed many episodes compared to last season.. Main reason, it’s time slot is all over the place… 7;30 and then 9:30a and then back to 7:00. I never know when it is truly on.

  • robin

    I think FOX should put Glee on tuesday like it was for season 2 and 3 !

  • 728huey

    Based on the ratings, The Cleveland Show should be a goner, but it’s only a few episodes away from syndication, plus it wouldn’t necessarily need to come back next fall with the NFL games running into prime time. I could see a deal where FOX offers Seth McFarlane a 13 to 15 episode final season of The Cleveland Show to run during mid season to get enough episodes for syndication so it can live on in reruns on Adult Swim, Comedy Central, and maybe even BET. In the meantime, they can work on the reboot of The Flintstones.

  • Patrick Ausgewahlt

    When the Cleveland Show was between The Simpsons and Family Guy it did fine. Having The Simpsons and three MacFarlane shows was great. But then Bob’s Burgers came in. In recent weeks the Cleveland show got a 1.3 and a 1.2, but it’s repeat scored a 1.4. Also, I’m gonna do some Fan Excuse Bingo. Fox totally screwed it over. It has only aired 9 episodes this whole season. It’s constantly pre-empted for Football. It stil has like 20 episodes to air anyways.

  • ILoveSitcoms

    “Those shows simply have a different revenue model.”

    I think they do and this show airs at an unusual time as well. This may be a nice money maker for Fox. Not that I care what happens to it, it’s awful.

  • Illinois

    @ CrimTV

    I put Glee on Friday because it’s not doing so well after FOX’s #1 Program. I could see it on Tuesday at 8 or in Monday at 9 but I seriously think Friday is an option.

  • Cammie

    Friday for Glee is not an option. Friday is party night- most of us (The target audience)are not going to be home on Friday nights. Glee is just fine on Thursday. It won’t go on to Tuesday at 9:00 as Ryan Murphy has another show (New Normal- unless it is not renewed) at 9:30 on NBC. It won’t go back to 8:00 as the show has matured out of family hour.

  • Naun

    I don’t mind The Cleveland Show getting axed as long as Cleveland returns back to Family Guy! :)

  • Andrew

    I think FOX learned with the NFL schedule this year that you can’t schedule anything in that 7:30 timeslot during the fall anymore. And there’s the smoking gun that they constantly advertise “animation domination” on that network from 8-10PM and always leave TCS out of that advertisement, whether or not it’s a new episode or not. I think TCS could do basically the same ratings as American Dad given that timeslot, but it looks like FOX made its choice.

  • Dan

    @728Huey – The Cleveland Show has been sold into syndication to Adult Swim, TBS maybe a few other networks. At the end of this season, the show will have 88 episodes, all of which are scheduled to air through May. Fox has no reason to give the show another season, even though they could a short 13 ep season, but with full seasons of all their other shows plus Murder Police, there really wouldn’t be room for more Cleveland.

    @Naun – That probably wont happen for at least a season since the 2013-2014 production season of Family Guy is still under the assumption that Cleveland is in Virginia. The whole Cleveland show family should still move back to Quahog, I hope this isn’t the end of Cleveland (the character)

    @Andrew – Well with no Cleveland show, next season that wont be a problem

    Fall Sundays
    8:00 The Simpsons
    8:30 Bob’s Burgers
    9:00 Family Guy
    9:30 American Dad

    January or March
    7:30 American Dad
    8:00 The Simpsons
    8:30 Bob’s Burgers
    9:00 Family Guy
    9:30 Murder Police

  • The Hafk

    @Patrick Ausgewahlt

    When Fox adds a new show on the block next year, they need something that can survive in the 7:30 timeslot. Bob’s Burgers is too new and The Simpsons + Family Guy show no signs of moving, so it’s between Cleveland and American Dad. And when American Dad was airing at 7:30 it managed to stay in the high 1s. Not impressive but it’s pretty good for 7:30. Cleveland can’t pull those ratings.

    I see next season going like this:

    Time – Fall Schedule — Spring Schedule
    7:00 – The OT/Reruns — Final episodes of Cleveland/Reruns
    7:30 – The OT/Cleveland — American Dad (After new show premieres)
    8:00 – The Simpsons — The Simpsons
    8:30 – Bob’s Burgers — Bobs Burgers/New show
    9:00 – Family Guy — Family Guy
    9:30 – American Dad — American Dad/Bob’s Burgers (after new show premieres)

    Also, how well the new show does next year will probably determine if American Dad gets another order next year. (Although even if it doesn’t get one, it has over a whole season worth of backed episodes to air, and I don’t even think thats including the ones that were ordered in the renewal this fall, so it probably won’t end until at least 2015, maybe even 2016.)

    Cleveland’s only chance for survival is to air on another night, which I just don’t see happening. Usually when Fox airs animated shows outside of the block it decimates their ratings. It’s the reason Family Guy was originally canceled twice, and King of the Hill never recovered from when Fox aired it on Tuesdays. It went from being #15 to #106 in only one season and it never managed to make the top #50 again.

  • richard

    I hope it is cancelled.this show is worse than amrican dad. And family guy has never been that good. I havent watched family guy for some time. And i will probably never watch it again.

  • Oliver

    Fox will probably just take either Bob’s Burgers or American Dad off the air for the weeks they air Murder Police. I think they’ll give up on the 7pm hour on Sunday from next season and just air repeats.

    @The Hafk

    The main reason Family Guy was cancelled was because it was thrown into a death slot facing Friends and then Frasier. Every other network aired cheap filler programming in those timeslots because no-one could compete with NBC.

    @Patrick Ausgewahlt

    I think Fox hates The Cleveland Show and engineered its cancellation by putting it in crappy timeslots. There’d probably be a lot of complaints about it if anybody really liked the show.

  • Ultima

    @joel
    Does FOX have another animated sitcom in development?

    Yes, the awesomely titled “Murder Police.”

    My guess is that they will premiere it with a big football lead-in in January (and preempt it the following week, but such is life on Sundays…).

    For the fall, I wouldn’t be surprised to see only four shows on the schedule, with a full hour of repeats at 7pm when they have regional NFL games.

    Looking at their spring schedule, I doubt they have decided which of Bob’s Burgers and American Dad is headed to 7:30pm yet.

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