FOX: 'The Cleveland Show' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

January 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The Mob Doctor* canceled 0.31
Fringe* (F) final season complete 0.50
Ben And Kate* canceled 0.60
The Cleveland Show :cry: :cry: 0.63
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.76
Raising Hope :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.02
Bones renewed 1.09
American Dad renewed 1.24
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.24
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
The Simpsons renewed 1.49
The Following :) :) :) :) 1.61
Family Guy renewed 1.63

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A combination of low ratings, and a seeming lack of time to produce new episodes in time for next season has me downgrading The Cleveland Show to "likely to be canceled". Could it still get an order for episodes to air in early 2014? I guess. But that's no longer even a toss up opportunity.

The Following premiered well, and its ratings rose in its second episode. That's not going to put food in the stomach of the Cancellation Bear.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the Fox Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • richard

    Even if I dislike a show, I never usually care if it is cancelled or not. But I am actively rooting for this show’s demise!

  • 728huey

    @Dan

    I understand your reasoning about FOX not needing to bring TCS back next season, but what happens if Murder Police tanks like Allen Gregory or Sit Down, Shut Up? I don’t think either American Dad or Bob’s Burgers have strong enough ratings by themselves to air an entire season even with reruns, so each show would need to take a break during off-peak times like the December holiday season and March to early April. FOX could still order some episodes of TCS just in case but not necessarily air them unless they need to or just burn them off if they don’t.

  • Jim

    I would hate to see Cleveland go, but all signs point to its end. I would like to see fox intergrate the live Action and Animated sitcoms…but i only see that working for Family Guy and The Simpsons.

  • Dan

    @728huey – If Murder Police flops, than it flops, but American Dad and Bob’s Burgers do well enough behind The Simpsons and Family Guy to air full seasons.

    Realistically The four current 8-10 Sunday shows can air new episodes September-May with reruns and murder police. Fox doesn’t need to crowd the animation sundays. In 2010-2011, Bob’s Burgers was the Murder Police of that year and the timeshare worked. The Simpsons, Cleveland Show, Family Guy, and American Dad aired fine with I believe Cleveland moving to 7:30 to accommodate Bob’s Burgers.

    2011-2012 was very crowded with not only Simpsons, BB, FG and AD airing in their slots but Bob’s Burgers airing in midseason and half seasons of Allen Gregory and Napoleon Dynamite airing in the 8:30 slot to bridge the gap until BB premiered. Both new series were and the lineup went back to normal this season.

  • Dan

    @Ultima – My guess is that since Bob’s Burgers is still relatively newer, American Dad will be headed to 7:30, so Murder Police would air behind Family Guy. It wouldn’t be the first time AD headed to 7:30 in favor for a new series. In the past 8 years American Dad was either preempted or moved temporarily to 7:30 for Free Ride, The Winner, Unhitched, Sons of Tucson, and Bob’s Burgers, and it still proven itself a reliable performer. I doubt Murder Police will survive another season in which case the lineup will revert to The Simpsons, Bob’s Burgers, Family Guy and American Dad, but FOX likes to try. Ever since King of the Hill ended, the only animated shows to survive beyond 1 season is Cleveland and Bob’s Burgers.

  • Michael

    “The Mindy Project” is kind of borderline, but I’d keep it. The only reason that “The Cleveland Show” was ever made was to reward the success of both “Family Guy” and “American Dad.” I don’t think anyone will really miss it, but it was worth a try. Keep everything else.

    Also, Fox needs to stop airing 2 hour blocks of its reality shows. They are wasting excellent opportunities to promote their scripted shows. CSI became a hit because it was on after “Survivor.” Both “Go On” and “Revolution” became hits because they were on after “The Voice.” There will come a day when “American Idol” can no longer pull in ratings, and Fox needs to use it to promote other shows.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    I think it’s too soon to declare The Following “certain” to be renewed. Give it another four episodes and if it remains north of 2.5, then it’s “certain”. But the rise this week does bode extremely well.

    The critics are moaning about the gore and tension of the show, but I don’t think any audience interested in the premise will care. A LOT of people like horror movies.

  • Bubba

    As long as Raising Hope isn’t canceled, I’m happy. I just wish My Name is Earl was back on.

  • Dan

    @Richard Steven Hack – Its too soon but the rise for both it and Bones, is very good news. And its not like Fox is in any position to dump any well performing over 3.0 series after the dreadfully rated The Mob Doctor, which couldn’t even break 2.0. The point is, even with CBS comedy competition and The Voice competition, even if The Following dips to the low 2.0s, FOX will still renew it because they have nothing else. If FOX renews The Following and The Mindy Project then they can consider this season somewhat of a success even though they started the season terribly low rated and The X Factor didn’t help at all. They can say half their dramas succeeded and half their new comedies succeeded.

  • JacobYates

    The good thing is if Cleveland is cancelled, he can be easily brought back into Family Guy with no problem at all.

  • The Watcher

    I may be in the minority, but I quit watching all the MacFarlane shows about three years ago. They all recycle the same old crap.

  • Melissa

    @Illinois

    I hope you’re right and they keep Bones on Mondays at the very least because the more drama pilots I see Fox pick up the more a worry that it will be moved to Fridays. And I will be very upset if that happens because it doesn’t deserve that, IMO.

  • Perdix

    Just put TCS characters back on FG.

  • gerry

    i don’t watch anything on fox anymore, but i am pulling for mindy. seems bleak, but pulling for her/the show nonetheless.

  • Sammy01

    I feel like I type this every week year after year, no way will Bones move to Friday unless it starts pulling mid 1’s.

    Monday nights are such a tough night for Fox and it has taken a big bucks film star series to make them competitive. I would really doubt they could risk/afford another ‘Following’ and I would bet nothing but Bones and its loyal audience would be getting over 2’s in the Monday @ 8pm slot.

    Unless Fox finds a smash hit show that can fill 22/24 eps and pull above 2.5 weekly on a night as competitive as Monday, Bones will be there as long as the shows runners and stars want to make it.

  • SpenB

    2013-2014 Schedule

    MONDAY
    8:00 Bones
    9:00 NEW DRAMA (13 eps.) / The Following (15 eps.)

    TUESDAY
    8:00 Glee
    9:00 New Girl
    9:30 NEW COMEDY

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 The X-Factor (final season) / American Idol

    THURSDAY
    8:00 The X-Factor (final season) / American Idol
    9:00 NEW COMEDY
    9:30 Raising Hope

    FRIDAY
    8:00 Kitchen Nightmares / Encores
    9:00 NEW SCI-FI DRAMA

    SUNDAY
    7:00 Encores
    7:30 American Dad
    8:00 The Simpsons
    8:30 Bob’s Burgers
    9:00 Family Guy
    9:30 NEW ANIMATED COMEDY

  • Nick

    Mon-
    8: Bones
    9: Gun Machine (new)/ Untitled Wyman/Abrams project (new)
     
    Tue-
    8: Raising Hope
    8:30: Live From Our Living Room (new)
    9: New Girl
    9:30: Wendy & Peter (new)

    Wed-
    8:  X Factor/ Idol

    Thu-
    8: The X Factor/ Idol
    9: Kitchen Nightmares/ The Following

    Fri-
    8: Glee
    9: Touch

    Sat-
    8: Fox Sports Saturday

    Sun-
    7: The OT/ Cops
    7:30: The OT/ Bob’s Burgers
    8: The Simpsons
    8:30: Bob’s Burgers/ Murder Police (new)
    9: Family Guy
    9:30: American Dad

    Midseason- The Cleveland Show, Dads (new)

  • ToXiX

    At this point im surprised American Idol isn’t on 3 nights a week considering how poorly Fox is doing this year.

  • yragcom1

    Yeah, Cleveland needs to go. I love Bob’s Burgers, but Cleveland is where I usually disconnect with Fox on Sunday.

  • Grimman

    Family Guy and American Dad is everything Cleveland Show is not, funny. Just let the bear eat it up and do what bears do in the woods.

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