NBC: 'Deception' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

January 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :| :| :| 0.77
1600 Penn :cry: :cry: 0.81
30 Rock final season 0.83
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.89
Go On :) :) :) :) 0.89
Whitney :| :| :| 0.95
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.97
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
The Office final season 1.25
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.28
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
Up All Night :cry: :cry: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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Although its not in the calculations above, Deception hit its second 1.3 adults 18-49 rating last night against repeat broadcast competition. I had moved it to "likely to be canceled" last week, but now it gets in the headline!

With their uneven scheduling, and universally terrible ratings, I'm still not quite sure what to make of the chances for most NBC sitcoms. I'm hoping future week's ratings provide more clarity, but I won't be surprised if its more of the same.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • TV Addict

    Next week you should make a poll about the NBC comedies, cause honestly, it’s a free for all right now.

  • Rare

    The New Normal is critically acclaimed? lol.

    NBC, like FOX, is in a tough spot with comedies. Two of their anchors are leaving and all that’s left is a bunch of mediocre-rated shows. But they can’t cancel *everything*. Parks will definitely get renewed, it’s the only show whose ratings can be called decent at this point. Go On will probably get renewed no matter how low it goes, because NBC won’t be willing to admit their big Matthew Perry comedy was a failure. Other than that, it’s a toss-up for pretty much everything else. I do think one of the mulit-cams will definitely be getting renewed, whether it’s Whitney, Guys with Kids, or revamped Up All Night. Whitney seems to be the front-runner at this point.

  • AiPod

    Go On and The New Normal won’t air next couple Tuesdays: there’s the Smash premiere on the 5th and the State of the Union on the 12th. This means both shows will coincide with The Voice for at least three episodes. Their last three episodes, actually. Unless NBC re-schedules them. If that happens, their audience will rise again, the average audience will increase, and voilà, both will renew.

  • Steven

    I tried to give “Deception” a chance, but I really couldn’t catch on.
    I found “Deception” to be a cross between “Scandal” and “Revenge” [I watch both shows].

  • Nerdbot

    Glad to see Chicago Fire as certain renew! I liked Guys with Kids but I stopped watching when I realized its ratings were awful. It’d be great if they renew that one, Go On and The New Normal, but I’d be OK if at least Chicago Fire survives.

  • Dan

    Deception and 1600 Penn will burn through their orders and be gone forever.

    Comedies Go On, The New Normal, and Parks and Rec will certainly come back
    Dramas SVU, Chicago Fire, Grimm, and Parenthood will certainly return
    Revolution and Whitney are on the bubble leading toward renewal as of now
    Smash and Community haven’t premiered yet
    Up All Night and Guys With Kids are on the “cancelled” side of the bubble.

  • davidwatts

    I caught Deception last night (no local sports to watch last night, and I’ll give most anything on NBC a looksee). I probably will not return to that show. A lot of over acting.

  • Angel Sylvester

    I am not surprised… but I am not sure if it is bad acting or the pace of the show that makes it a little lack luster. I liked the concept and the storyline but it does not grab you and take you into the show. There are other shows that there something about how the storyline is delivered – You almost feel like you are on the journey… you’re hooked and become attached to the characters… I am not sure we the audience ever felt as if we identified with the and/or related to the characters.

  • BxActor

    Yes deception will

  • Fred

    With The Voice and Revolution, NBC has certainly improved since last season. However they need more scripted hits. With no real sitcom hits and lots of poorly rated dramas, NBC is in need of improvement. Thank Goodness for the mega popular NFL.

    ABC is having a tough season because most of the older shows have shown declines. The still big sitcom Modern Family is now just big not huge like Big Bang Theory. Once Upon A Time is strong, but not mighty like last year. Revenge is now only an average performer. Grey’s is still a popular dramma but not the super rated hit it was. No new show is a hit, but Nashville has potential to be one. The low budget but high rated Shark Tank helps make up for some of the expensive low rated shows.

    The most troubling network (aside from the mini netlet CW) is FOX. X Factor proved to be just a modest perfomer, not quite a hit but not a bomb either. No real scripted hits except for the new Following. Bones is a farily sturdy drama and animation Sunday is still fine, but Glee is sliding. New Girl shows promise but like NBC, FOX needs HIT sitcoms like CBS and ABC.The still big hit American Idol is helping FOX plenty now despite lower ratings. As usual FOX suffers the first half of the season and then rebounds for the second half. With a slowly fading Idol it will prove more difficult this season and the future.

    CBS is still powerful thanks to the NCIS franchise and other crime dramas.Of course the stronger than ever Big Bang Theory is helpng. If there is a downside side for CBS its the unscripted department. No Idol like hits here. But for now it just doesn’t matter.

    The always struggling CW (owned by CBS) has very little to offer ratings wise. While top rated Vampire Diaries is a hit for CW it would be a considered a failure on all the broadcast networks. The new Arrow is a fairly solid performer for the mini-net. Because of lower budgets and expectations, CW proves more patient than the other networks. I am baffled how many seasons CW survives let alone their low rated programing.

  • Potato

    @Angel Sylvester– it’s tooootally the pace. The acting is a little campy but I get the impression it’s kinda on purpose, given that it’s way more soap than murder mystery. But almost nothing happens every episode– I think the mystery isn’t complicated enough. We already know all the suspects so most of the episodes are just the same things being said over and over (we get it– Edward might have killed someone before)

  • Mike

    I’m still waiting on them to schedule Hannibal

  • Marie

    I only started watching it last week & recorded it last night so I guess I might as well take a pass. Why watch it if it’s only going to be cancelled? That’s why I tend not to watch these shows.

  • Dan

    @Dude – They will air all episodes of Deception. Theres 11 total and it will end the week before The Voice and Revolution return. If NBC can deal with low rated Whitney and GWK, they can burn this show through. NBC needs to focus on what they will do with Wednesdays in March.

    I still think once Whitney and Guys With Kids air their last originals on February 27, NBC should air Save Me originals 8 and 8:30 in March then move Save Me to 9:30 when 1600 Penn is done on April 4, then return the final 5 eps of Whitney and Up All Night to Wednesdays beginning April 10 or 17.

  • The Old Woman

    I don’t understand why Grimm is in the ‘Pending’ category. Yes, it is not airing currently, but it aired much earlier compared to the other shows. So episode number wise I think it would be on par with the other shows. Would not the earlier ratings of the show go with the current index calculation?

  • Marixa

    The acting on Deception is actually kind of good and the plot moves faster than Revenge not sure about Scandal since I only saw it once. The thing with Deception is that it is a good show, but it lacked promotion and its not really compatible with its lead in again only a small excuses but I would haved loved to see how off would be doing after The Voice NBC is nothing without The Voice. kind of wish Deception was on another channel but ohh well maybe it will change its fate

  • stevenD

    I’d renew Parks and Rec, Go On, maybe Witney and maybe The New Normal, besides that nothing else unless Up All Night does well, but i’d have to do really well since it’s pretty much starting over. The single cam episodes are useless for syndication now.

    The dramas seem stable, I could easily see them renewing everything but Deception. Next year will be crowded though because of Dracula and Crossbones already picked up and they might air Hannibal in the fall. They might have to order less dramas next year or cut back on comedy hours, which they should.

  • Dan

    @The Old Woman – It’s pending because the chart is written to reflect the most current ratings (this year, since December 31, 2012) and Grimm hasn’t aired a new episode since November. Even though we know Grimm will be renewed, it won’t be updated in the chart until it airs a new episode this year.

  • Dahne

    Deception would be better if the main character would remember she is undercover. She reports in on her cell phone in places anyone could overhear her. She meets with the feds outside her workplace. She is less than subtle about getting her information and she seems content to tell this researcher that she is a cop not knowing yet were everything stands. The older brother is already suspicious of her. Making updates in hallways may not be the best bet for keeping her cover.

  • Dahne

    @Dan – Revolution is nowhere near the bubble as of right now. Yes it could possibly have a disastrous post-hiatus run but right now it is more than NBC should have hoped for.

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