NBC: 'Deception' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

January 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :| :| :| 0.77
1600 Penn :cry: :cry: 0.81
30 Rock final season 0.83
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.89
Go On :) :) :) :) 0.89
Whitney :| :| :| 0.95
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.97
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
The Office final season 1.25
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.28
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
Up All Night :cry: :cry: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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Although its not in the calculations above, Deception hit its second 1.3 adults 18-49 rating last night against repeat broadcast competition. I had moved it to "likely to be canceled" last week, but now it gets in the headline!

With their uneven scheduling, and universally terrible ratings, I'm still not quite sure what to make of the chances for most NBC sitcoms. I'm hoping future week's ratings provide more clarity, but I won't be surprised if its more of the same.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Michael

    @Honey Badger

    Interesting that all of the shows that you mention use live audiences. NBC sitcoms did fine when they had live audiences, and their current live audience sitcoms have high retention rates, and do great with decent lead-ins. Here are the 2 biggest things that “Go On” has going for it:

    1) Its lead actor was once on a high rated show that used a live audience.

    2) Its lead in is a high rated show that uses a live audience.

  • Fred

    @RSH

    I agree that Revolution is not a SCI-FI/FANTASY modern classic. That very limited list of shows begins with LOST and to a lesser extent OUUAT.
    However despite the constant lapses of logic, plot holes and mediocre acting, Revolution remains watchable and sometimes addicting.

  • were123

    With today’s 1.1 for The New Normal and 1.2 for Go On, will we see them both as likely cancellation? I’d like to see at least Go On as a toss up, but after hitting those numbers I see both of them as gonners :(
    I think NBC will renew far less comedies this year, sparing Parks & Rec and only 2 or 3 others comedies, the ones that rate the highest (maybe Up all Night if the retool brings more numbers, Whitney if it can score a comback like it did starting the winter, or at least a 1.5, and/or Go On if it can bounce back to 1.5 or higher).
    It’s obvious that without The Voice NBC is crashing hard, and that’s the only reason why low rated scripted shows have a chance

  • SF Gay

    The New Normal is the SECOND LOWEST shows in NBC.. so why are they not canceling it? at same time, other ones with higher ratings cancelled or being canceled.
    Tried to watch it but just actings were horrible and the worst show I ever watched on TV in my entire life.
    Please CANCEL the show and keep “Up All Night”.
    Oh also, any shows can have better ratings after the Voice so why bother to put the new normal after the Voice. Other shows will have even higher ratings on that time slot.
    Just do not get it why NOT canceling the worst show(the new normal) in history.

  • KJ Styles

    NBC is absolutely dreadful, especially it’s comedy lineup. Parks & Rec looks to be the only veteran comedy returning next year, and Go On looks like the only other comedy hit they’re gonna have (hit by NBC standards anyway). Chances are they’ll end up renewing one or two comedies that don’t deserve to be renewed, simply because they don’t have the firepower to debut a ton of new comedies, knowing most of them will fail.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Parks & Rec looks to be the only veteran comedy returning next year, and Go On looks like the only other comedy hit they’re gonna have (hit by NBC standards anyway). Chances are they’ll end up renewing one or two comedies that don’t deserve to be renewed, simply because they don’t have the firepower to debut a ton of new comedies, knowing most of them will fail”

    Indeed, that seems likely. My problem is figuring out which those “one or two” are.

  • Nick

    What NBC should do for 2013-2014:

    Mon-
    8: The Voice/ The Biggest Loser
    10: The Sixth Gun (new)

    Tue-
    8: The Voice
    9: Untitled Cee Lo Green Project (new)
    9:30: The New Normal
    10: Untitled Cuaron & Friedman Project (new)

    Wed-
    8: Parenthood
    9: Revolution
    10: Family Affair (new)

    Thu-
    8: Parks & Recreation
    8:30: Go On
    9: Untitled Michael J. Fox project (new)
    9:30: Untitled Peter Murrieta Project (new)
    10: Law & Order: SVU

    Fri-
    8: Dateline
    9: Grimm
    10: Dracula (new)

    Sat-
    8: Untitled MJF project (R)
    8:30: Untitled Cee Lo Green Project (R)
    9: Hench (R)
    10: Law & Order: SVU (R)

    Sun- (midseason)
    7: Dateline NBC
    8: The Celebrity Apprentice
    10: Chicago Fire

    Midseason- Community, Betty White’s Off Their Rockers

    I think The New Normal has the potential to do a lot better. It hasn’t had the best circumstances, and it has fallen a lot less than Go On. With a more solid leadin that is a better fit, it has the potential to do good enough to last a few seasons. Although, that doesn’t mean NBC will take that risk and renew it.

  • bruce

    I can’t see shows like Go On ,Deception,New Normal and Guys with Kids not being cancelled. They just don’t have a a meaning or a storyline that would make you want to continue to watch, They are a lot like Two and a Half Men boring and stupid

  • Josh

    I’m sooooooo bummed about Deception. I looove this show. its one of 3 shows I actually watch and like. They need to give it a chance to build its audience because it is good. It took about 3 episodes to get good, but it got there!!!

  • Honey Badger

    Bill Gorman
    Posted January 30, 2013 at 3:28 PM
    “Parks & Rec looks to be the only veteran comedy returning next year, and Go On looks like the only other comedy hit they’re gonna have (hit by NBC standards anyway). Chances are they’ll end up renewing one or two comedies that don’t deserve to be renewed, simply because they don’t have the firepower to debut a ton of new comedies, knowing most of them will fail”

    Indeed, that seems likely. My problem is figuring out which those “one or two” are.

    @ Bill Gorman, good luck trying to figure out NBC, with last nights ratings as an example of the kind of ratings NBC has been getting lately , you have your work cut out for you.
    NBC fallen, only a few of their shows would not be cancelled if they were at CBS

    Last night on NBC all new shows: Betty White’s Off Their Rockers 1.5 18 – 49 rating, Go On 1.2 rating , The New Normal 1.1 rating, Dateline NBC 1.3 rating

  • omabin

    NBC’s fantasy schedule is the hardest one to make IMO, everything is so uncertain! Especially when it comes to the comedy department. I dare to say that, except for the voice, the placement of everything else could be up in the air (and, for the most part, so could the actual fate). Anyway, assuming that revolution keeps its hit status in the spring and that new normal is dead:

    Monday
    The Voice
    The Voice
    New Drama

    Tuesday
    The Voice
    New Comedy
    New Comedy
    Parenthood

    Wednesday
    Revolution
    Crossbones (New Drama)
    Chicago Fire (Grimm would fit better, but it works too well on fridays)

    Thursday
    Community
    Parks and Recreation
    Michael J.Fox Project (New Comedy)
    Go On
    Law and Order: SVU

    Friday
    Guys with Kids
    Up All Night
    Grimm
    Dateline
    [I realize the family sitcoms don’t go well with grimm but i think this is the most suited place for them if they are renewed and honestly, i dont know what else they will put in here, since i dont think they will be bold enough to premiere another new drama on friday, as good as the grimm experiment turned out to be]

    Also, renew Whitney for when one of the comedies flops. If they all do fine, it could be paired with Betty for midseason spackle.
    Also, renew

  • Richard Steven Hack

    Fred: “However despite the constant lapses of logic, plot holes and mediocre acting, Revolution remains watchable and sometimes addicting.”

    I only watch it to see how bad it will get – and a little bit for Elizabeth Mitchell – and maybe the faint hope that it might actually at least TRY to explain its premise. But I don’t hold out much hope for the latter any more – it’s pure McGuffin and pure fantasy.

  • Oliver

    My fantasy schedule, which I’ve posted before, but I still think makes a lot of sense:

    Monday:
    8: The Voice/TBL
    10: Revolution/New Drama

    Tuesday;
    8: The Voice/bad 90s-style comedy show block
    9: New Drama/New reality
    10: Parenthood/Rock Center/Parenthood (22 episode split season)

    Wednesday:
    8: Parks
    8.30: Goon
    9: SVU
    10: Chicago Fire

    Thursday:
    8: New Family Comedy
    8.30: New Family Comedy
    9: Michael J. Fox
    9.30: New Comedy
    10: New Drama

    Friday;
    8: Repeats/Grimm (Halloween)
    9: Rock Center/Dracula (Halloween)
    10: Dateline

    Mid-season: Aim two of OTR/GWK/Whitney for the bad 90s-style comedy show block at mid-season. Renew Community as spackle.

    This keeps everything that’s working the same and changes everything that isn’t.

    NBC puts all its resources into promoting the new Thursday block, with blanket promotion beginning with the summer part of The Voice.

  • Michael

    @omabin

    When you start with the premise that NBC’s single camera comedies are inherently superior to its multi-camera comedies, then things do in fact become uncertain. When you assume that “Go On” should automatically be renewed, because some focus group liked it last summer, things become a mess. When you dismiss the fact that “Guys With Kids” can retain over 90% from any lead-in, including over 100% when that lead-in was “Go On” the conversation becomes moot.

    Why doesn’t NBC just automatically renew all single camera comedies, and then claim that they are the victim of some sort of jinx or curse? That’s what they’ve been doing for the last 8.5 seasons.

  • The End

    Revolution will never be moved from its slot, unless the ratings take a dive. Assuming they don’t, you would be best putting Season 2 in the Monday 10pm slot after The Voice too.

    So much effort going into this show by NBC.

  • Ashley

    NBC has awful comedies. I only tune in for Grimm and The Voice. After last season, I may stop watching b/c I couldn’t stand the winner.

  • Gigle

    At least NBC did something this season they never did in past years and that’s find new shows that can work like Chicago Fire and Revolution.

    As for the comedies the multi-cams are outshining the single-cams in the ratings, the distance will get much wider as the years go by. P&R is making the single-cams look somewhat competitive.

  • Justin121

    Does any NBC comedy get higher than a 1.3 rating anymore?

    That is beyond sad.

    Also, 7 episodes for Go On and New Normal through Feb, March, April, and May!?!! really??!!

  • simsalabim

    I turned off the pilt after approx 20 Minutes. Poor acting all over the place. The stor, already after that short amount of time, clerly a wannabe mix of Revenge(which went downhill qualitywise this year) & Scandal.
    It tries so hard to be that, painful to watch such crap. So i stopped.

  • simsalabim

    I turned off the pilot after approx 20 Minutes. Poor acting all over the place. The story, already after that short amount of time, clearly a wannabe mix of Revenge(which went downhill qualitywise this year) & Scandal.
    It tries so hard to be that, painful to watch such crap. So i stopped.

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