NBC: 'Deception' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

January 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :| :| :| 0.77
1600 Penn :cry: :cry: 0.81
30 Rock final season 0.83
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.89
Go On :) :) :) :) 0.89
Whitney :| :| :| 0.95
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.97
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
The Office final season 1.25
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.28
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
Up All Night :cry: :cry: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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Although its not in the calculations above, Deception hit its second 1.3 adults 18-49 rating last night against repeat broadcast competition. I had moved it to "likely to be canceled" last week, but now it gets in the headline!

With their uneven scheduling, and universally terrible ratings, I'm still not quite sure what to make of the chances for most NBC sitcoms. I'm hoping future week's ratings provide more clarity, but I won't be surprised if its more of the same.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Justin121

    Outside of Parks & Rec., ALL of NBC sitcoms are stuck in the dreadful 1.1-1.3 range.

    Parks and Community look like super hits in comparison, breaking through that all the way to a ~1.7 as NBC’s top 2 sitcoms (once The Office wraps).

    At worst, Community will tie at second with one of the 1.1-1.3 pack.

    Who would’ve thought that going into September?

  • andri

    I hate up all night. The show has seen its best ratings being in steadied incline in decline.600 Penn doesn’t have a chance in hell in terms of making it. Everyone has already spoken for campaigning guys with kids off the air.the new normal is truly a sitcom Nbc hasn’t. been taking a look at taking off the air.

  • Fred

    @Richard Steven Hack

    I’m also a big fan of Elizabeth Mitchell. Loved her in LOST and even V (miss that show too). She is one of the better actresses on tv today.
    Too bad her role has been so small on Revolution. However it looks like she will be getting more screen time in the spring. I read a great article in the TV GUIDE about her role in Revolution a while back.

  • Oliver

    How I see the sitcoms:

    Likely renewal: Parks
    Bubble: Goon, Whitney
    Likely cancellation: 1600 Penn, GWK, TNN

    My guess is that Community will land on the bubble and they’ll renew Parks and Goon for fall and Community and Whitney as mid-season spackle.

  • Honey Badger

    Except for NBC Sunday Night Football and The Voice does NBC have any shows that can stay above a 2.0 18-49 rating?

    Last night on NBC all new shows, Whitney earned a 1.3 adults 18-49 rating. Guys With Kids earned a 1.1, Law And Order: SVU earned a 1.7. Chicago Fire earned a 2.0.

    Two nights ago NBC all new shows: Betty White’s Off Their Rockers 1.5 18 – 49 rating, Go On 1.2 rating , The New Normal 1.1 rating, Dateline NBC 1.3 rating

    NBC almost all their shows would be cancelled if they were at CBS
    As bad as NBC is, they are sinking fast, and with The Office in its last season and 30 Rock ending tonight, the look to be in big trouble going forward.
    NBC is very dependent on Sunday Night Football and The Voice for overall ratings of the network, and as lead-in to help other shows get better ratings. If The Voice starts falling (which at some point is inevitable) NBC is toast.

    What would you do if you were in charge of NBC?

  • Fred

    @Honey Badger.

    While NBC is struggling with scripted programing, The Voice and Football are strong enough to make up for lack of hit dramas (except for Revolution)and sitcoms.
    CBS will surely beat NBC for #1 slot. The big question is can NBC beat FOX for 2nd place?
    I feel that the still strong Idol and The Following can help FOX come close or beat NBC for the spot.
    We will see in the Spring after The Voice and Revolution return.

  • BekiG

    I absolutely love Deception. Please don’t cancel this show.

  • toonmili

    I cannot understand why NBC has a failing show on for 2hrs. It’s not even helping deception because Biggest Looser itself only has about 6Million viewers. What they could do on Monday is.

    Biggest looser 8p
    Law and Order SVU 9pm
    Deception 10pm.

    Deception never had a fair chance. Revolution had a great lead in and Deception got a show on its last legs. unfair.

  • Oliver

    TBL isn’t a failing show. It’s their top-rated show and, the last time I watched it, it was so full of product placement that it probably doesn’t cost them anything to make it.

  • Rollie Dethloff

    Probably a real bad idea, but why not do things ala ABC with Fridays next year?

    8/7 Go On
    8:30/7:30 New Comedy
    9/8 Some Reality Show
    10/9 Rock Center Or Dateline

  • Ultima

    @toonmili
    I cannot understand why NBC has a failing show on for 2hrs. It’s not even helping deception because Biggest Looser itself only has about 6Million viewers. … Deception never had a fair chance. Revolution had a great lead in and Deception got a show on its last legs. unfair.

    Oliver already responded to this, but let me add some numbers.

    Excluding the three full-night, one-time special events, here are the highest rated shows on NBC this month…

    1. The Biggest Loser (1/6) – 3.0
    2. The Biggest Loser (1/7) – 2.4
    3. The Biggest Loser (1/14) – 2.4
    4. The Biggest Loser (1/21) – 2.4
    5. Chicago Fire (1/2) – 2.4
    6. The Biggest Loser (1/28) – 2.3

    You see where your argument falls apart?

  • Ultima

    @Fred
    The big question is can NBC beat FOX for 2nd place?

    Currently, it looks like there’s a pretty good chance that FOX will pass NBC before The Voice returns.

    I’m not sure The Voice will be enough for NBC to beat FOX on a consistent basis the final two months of the season.

  • Ultima

    @Honey Badger
    Except for NBC Sunday Night Football and The Voice does NBC have any shows that can stay above a 2.0 18-49 rating?

    The Biggest Loser, The Office, Chicago Fire, Revolution.

    Possibly The Celebrity Apprentice or Smash.

    Also, whatever show follows The Voice on Tuesday. ;)

  • Justin121

    ABC: B in 23

    FOX: Ben & Kate (Jack and Kate ;) ).

    NBC: The New Normal — more like, The New Paul Reiser:D

    Save Me to the rescue!

  • Marlene

    Just when I was happy that Wes Brown was finally a Series Regular on a show the ratings suck -_- I hope NBC keeps it around because Deception isn’t their biggest problem their comedy blocks need some major changes though .

  • Opinador Objetivo

    NBC is a show-burner. Over the past few years, they have burned a lot of really good shows. Sometimes, it even seems they do it on purpose.

    I really don’t know how the business works (TV broadcasting) but, I remember “Harry’s Law” for example; it did well the first season on the time slot they initially assigned to it. Then, on the second season, they moved it to compete against the heavy-weight shows on Wednesdays (“Criminal Minds”, and the others). And the show just flunked big time (of course!).

    NBC needs to create an audience, little by little; they need to get people accustomed to tune to their channel one day of the week to watch one show, then, two shows, perhaps, even three shows on that day. And then another day of the week with one show, and so on.

    I believe the audience grows in clusters, connected. Once you get someone to watch a specific time slot, it’s possible to keep that person watching the next time slot…

    Every time I see a new show that interests me is coming to NBC; I feel sorry for them because it’s very likely it will be canceled and, I feel angry at NBC for burning good shows!

    Other shows that I thought were good and NBC burned are: “Awake” and “The Firm”.

  • Holly

    @Opinador Objetivo,

    The reason those shows were canceled was because the audience was disappearing, not clustering.

  • Daryl

    I also stopped watching Deception after 2 1/2 episodes.. The first episode was good, too.. But it just got too boring.. I didn’t care who killed Vivian anymore.

  • Honey Badger

    NBC is in big trouble, NBC is heavily dependent on 2 shows – NBC Monday Night Football and “ The Voice “, to get ratings and viewers, and to act as great lead-ins to get the other shows ratings up.

    Without these two shows NBC would be a disaster with all their shows hovering below 2.0 18–49 rating and most shows far below 2.0 rating. And most of their shows ratings continue to drop.
    NBC has only a few shows that crack the 2.0 rating, and most barely do and hover above and below 2.0
    30 Rock is done now, and “ The Office “ is in its last season.

    Considering almost all NBC shows would be cancelled on CBS due to poor ratings, and NBC shows ratings continue to drop, they look in bad shape.
    Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear.

    NBC is playing a very risky game counting on “ The Voice “. As many predicted on tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com a long time ago, the saturation of singing shows and talent shows would sink the ratings for all these shows.
    And it is happening, look at the dropping ratings of “ The X Factor “ on Fox. And Look at last night’s American Idol on Fox 4.5 18–49 rating and only 13.80 million viewers. I am not saying these shows should be cancelled, I am just saying all of these types of shows will have continuing downward ratings and viewers.
    “ The Voice “ will have an inevitable big decrease in the ratings and viewers, it just a matter of when. And since NBC is having the show on more and more, and they are having 2 new judges, the drop may come faster than NBC thinks.

    And last night’s Premiere of the heavily advertised show “ Do No Harm “ 0.9 rating should scare NBC

    What does NBC do now; keep all these shows with below 2.0 ratings that are dropping, and know that it will get worse next year?

    What would you do is you ran NBC?

  • lola

    I watch Deception to see Laz Alonso and Meagan Goode, but especially Laz Alonso. I am trying to get into the plot and the family dynamics. I am not there yet.

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