NBC: 'Deception' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

January 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- January 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :| :| :| 0.77
1600 Penn :cry: :cry: 0.81
30 Rock final season 0.83
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.89
Go On :) :) :) :) 0.89
Whitney :| :| :| 0.95
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.97
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
The Office final season 1.25
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.28
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
Up All Night :cry: :cry: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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Although its not in the calculations above, Deception hit its second 1.3 adults 18-49 rating last night against repeat broadcast competition. I had moved it to "likely to be canceled" last week, but now it gets in the headline!

With their uneven scheduling, and universally terrible ratings, I'm still not quite sure what to make of the chances for most NBC sitcoms. I'm hoping future week's ratings provide more clarity, but I won't be surprised if its more of the same.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Nick

    @Honey Badger

    NBC is heavily dependent on 2 shows – NBC Monday Night Football and “ The Voice

    NBC better pray that they’re not heavily dependent on Monday Night Football, ’cause they don’t air it.

    What would you do is you ran NBC?

    I’d focus on premiering new shows out of The Voice, and utlizing shows with hidden potential (The New Normal, Whitney, Chicago Fire). I’d stop supporting shows that will never grow (Guys With Kids, Rock Center, Up All Night, Smash). I’d rejuvinate Wednesdays with shows The Voice have already launched, put new comedies on Thursday from 9-10, and slowly phase out cheap reality from Sunday, replacing it with male-skewing drama.

  • Ultima

    @Honey Badger
    Considering almost all NBC shows would be cancelled on CBS due to poor ratings, and NBC shows ratings continue to drop, they look in bad shape.

    That’s because you insist on comparing NBC to CBS instead of just comparing NBC with itself over the past few years. NBC is in much better shape than they were two years ago.

    They need to scale back on their comedy hours until they figure out something that works and rely on their dramas and unscripted programming in the meantime.

  • toonmili

    NBC needs to revamp their network image. The station just screams old men… even the voice of NBC is a old man. How do they expect to attract young viewers with a old looking station.

    Of all their shows that started this season I only watch Deception and Chicago Fire. I watched the first 3 episodes of the Revolution and I started to feel really lame, like I was LARPing or something.

  • Honey Badger

    @ Nick, oops my bad, I meant NBC Sunday Night NFL Football

    Nick
    Posted February 1, 2013 at 5:31 PM
    @Honey Badger

    NBC is heavily dependent on 2 shows – NBC Monday Night Football and “ The Voice

    NBC better pray that they’re not heavily dependent on Monday Night Football, ’cause they don’t air it.

  • Honey Badger

    Does anyone know why NBC is promoting Smash so heavily? Didn’t this show bomb last year with ratings heavily dropping even though it had a great time slot after “ The Voice”?
    Now it has new writers and show runners, different cast members added – some gone, and is a midseason replacement. How often does a show go through something like that and comes back with good ratings?

    @ Nick, I agree with you
    Nick
    Posted February 1, 2013 at 5:31 PM
    I’d stop supporting shows that will never grow (Guys With Kids, Rock Center, Up All Night, Smash).

  • Holly

    @Honey Badger,

    It’s not like they have anything else to promote right now. And I’m sure they’d love a decent premiere to distract everyone from Do No Harm’s numbers.

  • Honey Badger

    Ultima
    Posted February 1, 2013 at 9:37 PM
    @Honey Badger
    Considering almost all NBC shows would be cancelled on CBS due to poor ratings, and NBC shows ratings continue to drop, they look in bad shape.
    That’s because you insist on comparing NBC to CBS instead of just comparing NBC with itself over the past few years. NBC is in much better shape than they were two years ago.

    @ Ultima, yes NBC is in better shape than 2 years ago but that is due to NBC Sunday Night Football and “ The Voice “. And specials like the Golden Globes ‘. Even NBC says describing there year over year increase “NBC was led by “Sunday Night Football,” which hit series records with this week’s Cowboys-Redskins showdown.”
    Without The Voice high ratings, and The Voice acting as a lead-in and driving ratings higher for other show, NBC would be in trouble.
    Just look at when “ The Voice “ season ended, lots of shows ratings collapsed. Go On for example.
    My point is they are miles behind CBS with the number of shows with good ratings, and they are too heavily dependent on one show “ The Voice “.
    NBC is playing a very risky game counting on “ The Voice “. As many predicted on tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com a long time ago, the saturation of singing shows and talent shows would sink the ratings for all these shows.
    And it is happening, look at the dropping ratings of “ The X Factor “ on Fox. And Look at last night’s American Idol on Fox 4.5 18–49 rating and only 13.80 million viewers. I am not saying these shows should be cancelled, I am just saying all of these types of shows will have continuing downward ratings and viewers.
    “ The Voice “ will have an inevitable big decrease in the ratings and viewers, it just a matter of when. And since NBC is having the show on more and more, and they are having 2 new judges, the drop may come faster than NBC thinks.
    Add to this NBC News Chief Jeff Zucker has just left NBC, “after struggles at the unit, including lower ratings for its flagship morning TV show, “Today.” ” “The “Today” show has been in a back-and-forth ratings war with ABC’s “Good Morning America” ever since ABC snapped NBC’s 16-year unbeaten streak last year”

    This week on NBC all new shows: NFL Pro Bowl 4.0
    This week on NBC all new shows : The Biggest Loser (8-10PM) 2.3, Deception 1.2
    This week on NBC all new shows, Whitney earned a 1.3 adults 18-49 rating. Guys With Kids earned a 1.1, Law And Order: SVU earned a 1.7. Chicago Fire earned a 2.0.
    This week on NBC all new shows: Betty White’s Off Their Rockers 1.5 18 – 49 rating, Go On 1.2 rating , The New Normal 1.1 rating, Dateline NBC 1.3 rating
    This week on NBC all new shows: 30 Rock 1.9 (and this is 30 Rock last show ever), The Office 2.1 (The Office in its last season), Do No Harm 0.9.
    This week on NBC all new shows: 44th NAACP Image Awards (8-10PM) 0.8, Dateline NBC 1.1

    “ The Biggest Loser “ on NBC usually does below a 2.3 to 2.4

    What would everyone do if they ran NBC?

  • Honey Badger

    oops , should say “ The Biggest Loser “ on NBC usually does between a 2.3 to 2.4

  • Honey Badger

    @ Holly, good point – you are right

    Holly
    Posted February 2, 2013 at 8:09 AM
    @Honey Badger,
    It’s not like they have anything else to promote right now. And I’m sure they’d love a decent premiere to distract everyone from Do No Harm’s numbers.

    Honey Badger
    Posted February 2, 2013 at 8:05 AM
    Does anyone know why NBC is promoting Smash so heavily? Didn’t this show bomb last year with ratings heavily dropping even though it had a great time slot after “ The Voice”?
    Now it has new writers and show runners, different cast members added – some gone, and is a midseason replacement. How often does a show go through something like that and comes back with good ratings?

  • Ryann

    When does Hannibal start?

  • Don N.

    Great for Chicago Fire.

  • Ultima

    @Honey Badger
    yes NBC is in better shape than 2 years ago but that is due to NBC Sunday Night Football …

    :roll:

    Oh, come on! NBC has had Sunday Night Football since 2006!

  • Honey Badger

    @ Ultima, why didn’t use the whole quote.
    “@ Ultima, yes NBC is in better shape than 2 years ago but that is due to NBC Sunday Night Football and “ The Voice “. And specials like the Golden Globes ‘. Even NBC says describing there year over year increase “NBC was led by “Sunday Night Football,” which hit series records with this week’s Cowboys-Redskins showdown.””
    And yes NBC was Sunday Night NFL Football has been around for years, but you missed the point that the ratings and viewers keep going up.
    Even NBC says describing there year over year increase, a quote from NBC press release: “NBC was led by “Sunday Night Football,” which hit series records with this week’s Cowboys-Redskins showdown.””
    So I guess you are arguing with NBC.

    @ Ultima, why didn’t use the whole quote. You skipped the mention of “ The Voice “, very important not only for it ratings driving the overall ratings of NBC up, but also as a lead in that drives up the ratings of the shows following it. Example Go On without “ The Voice “ as a lead in tanked to a 1.2 adults 18-49 rating. Without “ The Voice “ NBC would be in bigger trouble than they are now.
    Just look at when “ The Voice “ season ended, lots of shows ratings collapsed. Go On for example.
    My point is they are miles behind CBS with the number of shows with good ratings, and they are too heavily dependent on one show “ The Voice “.
    NBC is playing a very risky game counting on “ The Voice “. As many predicted on tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com a long time ago, the saturation of singing shows and talent shows would sink the ratings for all these shows.
    And it is happening, look at the dropping ratings of “ The X Factor “ on Fox. And Look at last night’s American Idol on Fox 4.5 18–49 rating and only 13.80 million viewers. I am not saying these shows should be cancelled, I am just saying all of these types of shows will have continuing downward ratings and viewers.
    “ The Voice “ will have an inevitable big decrease in the ratings and viewers, it just a matter of when. And since NBC is having the show on more and more, and they are having 2 new judges, the drop may come faster than NBC thinks.
    Add to this NBC News Chief Jeff Zucker has just left NBC, “after struggles at the unit, including lower ratings for its flagship morning TV show, “Today.” ” “The “Today” show has been in a back-and-forth ratings war with ABC’s “Good Morning America” ever since ABC snapped NBC’s 16-year unbeaten streak last year”

    This week on NBC all new shows: NFL Pro Bowl 4.0
    This week on NBC all new shows : The Biggest Loser (8-10PM) 2.3, Deception 1.2
    This week on NBC all new shows, Whitney earned a 1.3 adults 18-49 rating. Guys With Kids earned a 1.1, Law And Order: SVU earned a 1.7. Chicago Fire earned a 2.0.
    This week on NBC all new shows: Betty White’s Off Their Rockers 1.5 18 – 49 rating, Go On 1.2 rating , The New Normal 1.1 rating, Dateline NBC 1.3 rating
    This week on NBC all new shows: 30 Rock 1.9 (and this is 30 Rock last show ever), The Office 2.1 (The Office in its last season), Do No Harm 0.9.
    This week on NBC all new shows: 44th NAACP Image Awards (8-10PM) 0.8, Dateline NBC 1.1

    “ The Biggest Loser “ on NBC usually does below a 2.3 to 2.4

    What would everyone do if they ran NBC?

  • Honey Badger

    NBC does not look good without “ The Voice “ or “ NBC NFL Sunday Night Football “ . And “ The Voice “ is a risky show to be counting on holding its ratings and great lead-in effects helping ratings of other shows.

    @ Ultima, why didn’t use the whole quote.
    “@ Ultima, yes NBC is in better shape than 2 years ago but that is due to NBC Sunday Night Football and “ The Voice “. And specials like the Golden Globes ‘. Even NBC says describing there year over year increase “NBC was led by “Sunday Night Football,” which hit series records with this week’s Cowboys-Redskins showdown.””
    And yes NBC was Sunday Night NFL Football has been around for years, but you missed the point that the ratings and viewers keep going up.
    Even NBC says describing there year over year increase, a quote from NBC press release: “NBC was led by “Sunday Night Football,” which hit series records with this week’s Cowboys-Redskins showdown.””
    So I guess you are arguing with NBC.

    @ Ultima, why didn’t use the whole quote. You skipped the mention of “ The Voice “, very important not only for it ratings driving the overall ratings of NBC up, but also as a lead in that drives up the ratings of the shows following it. Example Go On without “ The Voice “ as a lead in tanked to a 1.2 adults 18-49 rating. Without “ The Voice “ NBC would be in bigger trouble than they are now.
    Just look at when “ The Voice “ season ended, lots of shows ratings collapsed. Go On for example.
    My point is they are miles behind CBS with the number of shows with good ratings, and they are too heavily dependent on one show “ The Voice “.
    NBC is playing a very risky game counting on “ The Voice “. As many predicted on tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com a long time ago, the saturation of singing shows and talent shows would sink the ratings for all these shows.
    And it is happening, look at the dropping ratings of “ The X Factor “ on Fox. And Look at last night’s American Idol on Fox 4.5 18–49 rating and only 13.80 million viewers. I am not saying these shows should be cancelled, I am just saying all of these types of shows will have continuing downward ratings and viewers.
    “ The Voice “ will have an inevitable big decrease in the ratings and viewers, it just a matter of when. And since NBC is having the show on more and more, and they are having 2 new judges, the drop may come faster than NBC thinks.
    Add to this NBC News Chief Jeff Zucker has just left NBC, “after struggles at the unit, including lower ratings for its flagship morning TV show, “Today.” ” “The “Today” show has been in a back-and-forth ratings war with ABC’s “Good Morning America” ever since ABC snapped NBC’s 16-year unbeaten streak last year”

    This week on NBC all new shows: NFL Pro Bowl 4.0
    This week on NBC all new shows : The Biggest Loser (8-10PM) 2.3, Deception 1.2
    This week on NBC all new shows, Whitney earned a 1.3 adults 18-49 rating. Guys With Kids earned a 1.1, Law And Order: SVU earned a 1.7. Chicago Fire earned a 2.0.
    This week on NBC all new shows: Betty White’s Off Their Rockers 1.5 18 – 49 rating, Go On 1.2 rating , The New Normal 1.1 rating, Dateline NBC 1.3 rating
    This week on NBC all new shows: 30 Rock 1.9 (and this is 30 Rock last show ever), The Office 2.1 (The Office in its last season), Do No Harm 0.9.
    This week on NBC all new shows: 44th NAACP Image Awards (8-10PM) 0.8, Dateline NBC 1.1
    NBC does not look good without “ The Voice “ or “ NBC NFL Sunday Night Football “ , only two shows barely break 2.0: , The Office 2.1 (The Office in its last season), and The Biggest Loser (8-10PM) 2.3 (The Biggest Loser “ on NBC usually does between a 2.3 to 2.4), and most of the rest in low 1’s ouch. With new shows Deception 1.2 and Do No Harm 0.9, ouch.

    What would everyone do if they ran NBC?

  • joe

    @HT see i will never understand perspectives like yours “poorly written with dreadful acting” Where? What show are you watching, i found the Pilot to be one of the finer pilots I’ve seen in recent years. Pilots nowadays either don’t delve enough into characters and come off as really shallow and uninteresting or they delve too far in and become extremely convoluted (See Revolution). I found deception to be one of the very few that found a happy medium, kept you compelled with little tidbits of character backgrounds but not enough that you were overwhelmed. As far as the acting is concerned, the main actress Meagan Good and the fed she’s helping have amazing chemistry, not saying either of them are particularly good, but chemistry can wash away a lot of holes in someone’s repertoire and it definitely does here.

    Deception is once again another smart show that doesn’t appeal to general audiences b/c
    1) awful misadvertising by NBC, similar to other networks and other shows alike.
    2) It isn’t jersey short american idol etc, it requires thought how many times do we see bsolutely awful shows succeed because they’re either talent shows, have lots of white trash personalities to cause “drama” or the last option,it’s a procedural, people don’t want to use their brain after a long work day, i hate saying that b/c I’m one of the few that loves working my mind watching shows, it keeps me interested, but it is the truth after all.

  • ksmith

    I do not see the comparison of Deception to Revenge or Scandal at all. I watch all three shows religiously. They are nothing alike. I have to admit I do not like any sci/fi shows, so I do not watch those. But deception is great, with an good cast! Love Victor Garber, Megan, Laz, and Wes. We must not be watching the same show because Deception is great. Stop KILLING the best shows!

  • ateofi

    Deception is currently doing worse than reruns of Castle and H50. Repeats of Revolution would probably do better.

  • Ultima

    @Honey Badger
    why didn’t use the whole quote

    Because I only wanted to respond to one specific thing. I don’t feel the need to have massive, unreadable comments.

    And yes NBC was Sunday Night NFL Football has been around for years, but you missed the point that the ratings and viewers keep going up.

    I didn’t miss that, because they haven’t. They peaked in 2010 and have been essentially flat the past two years.

    Even NBC says describing there year over year increase, a quote from NBC press release: “NBC was led by “Sunday Night Football,” which hit series records with this week’s Cowboys-Redskins showdown.””
    So I guess you are arguing with NBC.

    No, I’m able to make the distinction between one game and the entire season.

    This is also from NBC’s press release about Sunday Night Football this season…

    SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ON NBC FULL SEASON:
    YEAR Viewers 2+ HH Rating/Share
    2012 21.4 million, 12.8/20
    2011 21.5 million, 12.9/20
    2010 21.8 million, 13.0/21
    2009 19.4 million, 11.7/19
    2008 16.6 million, 10.2/16
    2007 16.0 million, 10.0/16
    2006 17.5 million, 11.0/18

  • Chuck T

    NBC has done better with its dramas this season than comedies. Well, modestly better. Revolution and Chicago Fire are sure to be back. As for the comedies I could see P&R coming back as well as them trying Go On & maybe The New Normal for a second season.

  • Chuck T

    Too bad in a way NBC didn’t green light that Office spin-off featuring Dwight as the Office is still (despite lower ratings) their #1 comedy.

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