CBS: One Of 'The Good Wife,' 'CSI:NY' & 'The Mentalist' Will Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.52
CSI:NY (F) :cry: :cry: 0.52
Vegas :cry: :cry: 0.59
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.61
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.71
Partners* canceled 0.79
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.86
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.96
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.19
NCIS renewed 1.31
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.33
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.36
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.47
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.09

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If you've just come from the ABC post this week, there's more water treading with the obvious here at this week's CBS post.

While it is certain that CBS will cancel one of the three shows in the headline to make room for a new drama next Fall (and possibly more if Golden Boy is renewed, or they reduce their drama hours) I'm the first to admit that guessing which of the three is probably my shakiest current prediction on any network.

I have CSI:NY as "likely canceled" based on little more than the fact that its season is ending early (and it's an old, low rated show, but that's nothing new). Would I be surprised if either The Good Wife or The Mentalist is canceled instead? Not one tiny bit. But I was going to make a call by the end of the season anyway, and it's unlikely I will know more before then, so I figured that fortune favors The Bold.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Chuck

    I say get rid of TGW. Have never been able to get into that show.

    I still enjoy CSI:NY as much as ever and in some ways I enjoy it more. I think Sela Ward is a big step above what MK was. She has a sense of class about her and doesn’t have to have her cleavage hanging out. Maybe get rid of a character or two and bring new ones in to keep it fresh the way the original CSI has done.

    I think the show still has more life and stories left in it. Plus 10 million viewers a week on a Friday night isn’t something to just discard.

    Doubt many other shows would do as good.

  • victoria

    It would seem a Slam Dunk that CSI:NY is cancelled but then in the past few years CBS has surprised with it’s “last” programme to be cancelled.

    The whole premise of The Mentalist is based on Red John so it would be a real kick in the teeth for viewers if that was not resolved which would mean CBS taking a relatively early decision if TM was to be cancelled but then when has CBS ever really considered the viewers or left plots unfinished?

  • Em J

    I want The Good Wife gone because I love CSI NY and I know The Mentalist has a big following. I never did have much of a interest with TGW.

  • charles

    I expect the Mentalist to be renewed for a shoert season. maybe 13 episodes.

  • Nick

    @Ill

    Friday — interesting. Will they give H50 the Friday treatment?

    I do expect that they will do that. However, it’s lead-in will be a new drama, not Undercover Boss. I don’t see CBS changing that.

    Saturday — crimetime saturday remains. It will be a mix of dramas and 48 hours like it always has been

    That is still technically Crimetime Saturday, I just wanted it to emphasize that The Mentalist will be shown on Saturdays in case its originals run over out of primetime.

    Sunday — two reality shows in one night is too much. Place a new show there.

    First of all, I’m trying not to premiere a new show on Sunday. It’s just to erratic for a new show to gain ground. ABC knows this all too well (with the exception of OUAT).
    Second of all, 2 reality shows is not too much. Networks have done it for years. Fox has done it with all the Gordon Ramsay shows. NBC has done it with The Biggest Loser/The Voice. ABC has done it with Shark Tank/What Would You Do? and AFHV/Extreme Makeover: Home Edition. CBS did the exact same thing a few years ago with TAR and Undercover Boss at 9 pm. That block did extremely well. It’s not too much.

  • Dan

    @Brian – Relatively new doesn’t matter so much to CBS. If a show doesn;t perform then it’s gone.

    Here’s the order of how fans should worry from most likely to least likely to be cancelled.

    CSI NY (Old drama, escaped cancellation the past 2 years, ending early) Its done

    The Mentalist – HIgher numbers then the Good Wife but CBS doesn;t own it

    Good Wife – No syndication deal yet, lowest rated non friday drama, but CBS could squeeze another season for syndication.

    Basically CSI NY is gone, but in terms of Mentalist or Good Wife getting cancelled, could be either, could be both, could be neither.

  • Laticia Jones

    I agree that it is pretty unlikely that another drama would do better than CSI: NY. After all it gets the same adults 18-49 rating as Blue Bloods, and that show is certain to be renewed. I know I know – syndication values guarantees its a renewal. But I would be very surprised if CSI: NY doesn’t get at least 13 episodes next season, as the crime pairing of these two is a solid lineup by Friday night standards.

    On a personal level I’d like to see CSI: NY go another season. Not because I am a fan, but because it would go for an even 10 seasons which would give it the same lifespan as the other CSI spinoff, CSI: Miami. In New Zealand we have “CSI Saturdays” which runs for two hours – this can hardly continue if only one CSI is left now can it?

  • Ana

    Please, let it not be the Mentalist! The 5th season has already aired some of the best episodes of the whole series and, even though it keeps being preempted and delayed, the ratings have been slightly increasing over the past weeks. It really does not deserve to be on a death slot, but if they do cancel this show *knock on wood*, I hope they give the writers warning so we can have proper closure.

  • Ryan

    CBS’s best bet is to renew TGW for a final season and keep it on Sundays or renew it and move it to Friday.

  • Scarps

    I think it is time for CSI: NY to bite the dust. It’s been in danger twice and now it is time to let the franchise die down. There is still the mothership and it is doing fine.

  • Scarps

    A plus note, CSI: NY is ending early and rather than leaving it to continue in September, it should be better to end it in February. It will not be relevant by the time it comes back in September. It’s done and through.

    CSI: NY (2004-2013)

  • blackrock1969

    This took some doing, but this is what CBS MIGHT do this fall:

    Mon.
    8:00 How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 Mom (new)
    9:00 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 Mike & Molly
    10:00 Beverly Hills Cop (new)

    Tue.
    8:00 NCIS
    9:00 NCIS: Los Angeles
    10:00 Criminal Minds

    Wed.
    8:00 Survivor
    9:00 NCIS: LA spinoff (new)
    10:00 CSI

    Thu.
    8:00 The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 Two and a Half Men
    9:00 The Crazy Ones (new)
    9:30 Ex Men (new)
    10:00 Person of Interest

    Fri.
    8:00 Elementary
    9:00 The Advocates (new)
    10:00 Blue Bloods

    Sun.
    7:00 60 Minutes
    8:00 The Amazing Race
    9:00 Hawaii Five-0
    10:00 The Mentalist

    Midseason: The Good Wife

  • LisaNeedsBraces

    I think you’re spot on, blackrock1969. Though I would switch Beverly Hills Cop to Thursday to pair with POI and draw young males in counter to ABC’s female oriented programming, and make Monday a new comedy block.

  • Red

    the mentalist has more viewers in Fance than the USA and we’re just 64 millions…

  • JacobYates

    I hope that if Golden Boy premieres well, CBS will move Vegas to friday night at 9:00. If it could pull its same ratings on friday, CBS might cut it some slack. The only problem is that I don’t see Golden Boy premiering well at all.

  • joel

    The Good wife takes intelligence to watch and people that enjoy the standard brainless dramas probably does not enjoy it. The reality is, it is probably the best drama on network TV and not the type of show that attracts young viewers.
    It will be back, possibly for it’s last season.

  • JacTv

    I have a bad feeling that the one cancelled will be The Mentalist.

    But its really a nobrainer what should be cancelled, The Good wife is a bad show despite it awards nominations.

    But in the end it will be down to cost, income and profit and here i think unfortunately both Mentalist and CSI NY is costing more than TGW, so in the end it will be the one thats makes the least profit of those two.

  • MARSEPH

    Okay everyone….CBS will not move “CBS Productions” like H5O which has a fat syndication deal to Fridsys…sorry, ain’t gonna happen.

    Monday
    HIMYM
    The Crazy Ones (New)
    2 Broke Girls
    Mike & Molly
    H5O

    Tuesday
    NCIS
    NCIS:LA
    Elementary (New Time)

    Wednesday
    Survivor
    Criminal Minds
    CSI

    Thursday
    TBBT
    Mom (New)
    2.5 Men (New Time)
    Ex Men (New)
    Persons Of Interest (New Time)

    Friday
    Undercover Boss
    Beverly Hills Cop (New)
    Blue Bloods

    Sunday
    The Amazing Race
    The Good Wife (Final season ends in February)
    The Mentalist

    Mid-Season
    NCIS:LA Spin-off (takes the post NCIS Spot, NCIS:LA moves to Sundays at 9pm)

    **If CBS does not expand their comedies than expect 2.5 Men to return to Mondays at 8:30pm, POI stays at 9pm and a new drama Hostages premiers at 10pm

  • HT

    What happened to all that talk of year round programming? There’s room for all of these shows and don’t tell me CBS can’t afford it. It’s bull. We get to see 22 weeks of barely decent tv a year, then re-runs and “reality” the remainder. BAD TV.
    The Good Wife is too intelligent for US audiences unfortunately. It’s well written, directed and acted.

  • chrisss

    @ MARSEPH

    Yeah, it’s not like they moved CSI:NY to Fridays or anything…

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