Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 3, 2013):
| Program | Status | Renew/ Cancel Index |
| Made In Jersey (F)* | canceled | 0.36 |
| Blue Bloods (F) |  |
0.52 |
| CSI:NY (F) |  |
0.52 |
| Vegas | |
0.59 |
| The Good Wife |  |
0.61 |
| The Mentalist | |
0.71 |
| Partners* | canceled | 0.79 |
| Elementary | |
0.84 |
| CSI | |
0.86 |
| Hawaii Five-0 | |
0.96 |
| NCIS: Los Angeles | |
1.03 |
| Criminal Minds | |
1.05 |
| Person Of Interest | |
1.15 |
| Mike & Molly | |
1.19 |
| NCIS | renewed | 1.31 |
| How I Met Your Mother | renewed | 1.33 |
| 2 Broke Girls | |
1.36 |
| Two and a Half Men** | |
1.47 |
| The Big Bang Theory | renewed | 2.09 |
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If you've just come from the ABC post this week, there's more water treading with the obvious here at this week's CBS post.
While it is certain that CBS will cancel one of the three shows in the headline to make room for a new drama next Fall (and possibly more if Golden Boy is renewed, or they reduce their drama hours) I'm the first to admit that guessing which of the three is probably my shakiest current prediction on any network.
I have CSI:NY as "likely canceled" based on little more than the fact that its season is ending early (and it's an old, low rated show, but that's nothing new). Would I be surprised if either The Good Wife or The Mentalist is canceled instead? Not one tiny bit. But I was going to make a call by the end of the season anyway, and it's unlikely I will know more before then, so I figured that fortune favors the bold.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.
From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old" Fall predictions in the table.
Notes:
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- certain to be cancelled by May, 2013 - - more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
- - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
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- more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013 - - certain to be renewed by May, 2013
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.
On my schedule above swap Ex-Men on Thursday for The Crazy Ones on Monday
@chrisss…What?
Mon:
How I Met Your Mother
Mom (NEW)
2 Broke Girls
Mike and Molly
Beverly Hills Cop (NEW)
Eddie Murphy seems like a natural fit with the Monday comedies and Hawaii 5-0 has been slipping.
Tue:
NCIS
NCIS:LA
NCIS: LA Spinoff (NEW)
It makes sense to keep the NCSI momentum going all night long.
Wed:
Survivor
Criminal Minds
CSI
This night works, so let’s not touch it.
Thur:
The Big Bang Theory
Two and a Half Men
Person of Interest
Elementary
This night works, so let’s not touch it.
Fri:
The Mentalist (NEW TIME)
Hawaii 5-0 (NEW TIME)
Blue Bloods
It seems a shame to give The Mentalist the ax and the escapism of Hawaii might work on Fridays.
Sun:
60 Minutes
The Amazing Race
The Good Wife
Hostages (NEW)
Mid-Season Replacements:
Rules of Engagement (season 8, because why not)
The Crazy Ones (new comedy starting Robin Williams)
Undercover Boss (season 5)
Unforgettable (possibly season 3)
I Get That a Lot (special)
Cancelled:
Made in Jersey
Partners
Friend Me
Golden Boy
Vegas
CSI: NY
@ marseph,
“Okay everyone….CBS will not move “CBS Productions” like H5O which has a fat syndication deal to Fridsys…sorry, ain’t gonna happen.”
If they felt that it’s not getting the ratings that it should in a non Friday timeslot of course they’d move it to Fridays. The syndication deal would help them offset the lower ratings and gives them a chance to improve their ad revenues by giving another show a chance to improve the timeslot.
the Vegas haters will be stunned when it gets renewed
Josh Charles is signed on for season 5 of The Good Wife. Like when will CBS ever get rid of this low rated show?
http://tvline.com/2013/02/07/the-good-wife-season-5-spoilers-josh-charles/
@ MARSEPH
CSI:NY is a CBS studios production and they moved it to Friday.
Anyway, The Good Wife will have 90 episodes at the end of the season, so maybe it’ll get a 10 episode final season and share a time slot with Undercover Boss Fridays at 8?
After the failures of A Gifted Man and Made in Jersey, I think it’d be insane for CBS to try and a launch a new show on Friday so I’d renew CSI:NY and leave it and Blue Bloods where they are. Sunday isn’t much better for launching new shows so I’d move Elementary and HF0 to Sunday (cancelling The Mentalist) and launch new dramas Monday at 10, Tuesday at 10 and Thursday at 10.
@rob60990
The Good Wife is not low rated. 10 million is not bad at all. They will cancel CSI:NY and Vegas before TGW. TGW is the only drama on CBS that gets award attention (not to mention tons of guest stars).
@Josh,
10 million is actually kind of below average for CBS. But that doesn’t really matter because total viewers are only good for press releases. In the demo ratings The Good Wife is horribly rated for CBS.
@Josh
You do know right that its not the total viewers that count, TGW has in the last couble of episodes only drawn in 1.5 which is low compared to Mentalist but higher if i recall of cSI NY
Also its not 10mill its 9.5-9.0mill for TGW.
@LisaNeedsBraces: Thank you for the suggestion, but historically sitcoms don’t work at 10 pm.
Leave my shows alone! I watch all of them the one that I sometimes miss is Vegas. I get tired of shows being cancelled because they don’t meet the demographic, how stupid! Now that I am a senior my votes don’t count for anything.
I really like The good wife, and the Mentalist. Never got into watching CSI: New York.
Isn’t it interesting that CBS’ most intelligent shows (and they aren’t many) are their poorest rated shows?
@Elijah
I like your attitude. Unfortunately with the 1.5 it pulled last week, its chances seem bleak. But I have a feeling in my gut that Vegas will get some kind of renewal. I’ll hold out for Vegas until the end!
@ILoveSitcoms
You mean like Blue Bloods, Good Wife, and Vegas?
The Good Wife and The Mentalist are the only two shows that I really look
forward to watching each week!! Please don’t cancel them. There are soooo many other shows that could be cancelled and definitely not be missed like
Person of Interest or Rules of Engagement!
good news for the good wife…cbs has just extended josh charles contract thru next season according to tvguide…why would they do that if they were planning on cancelling???
Although I watch all three, I would think/hope CSI: NY to be cancelled. CSI: NY was trying to wrap up for the last two seasons. Last two season finales were filmed like they were series finales (with the last one Mac Taylor was shot and recovered). And the show got renewed. Now it’s time to put an end to this.
“The Good Wife is too intelligent for US audiences unfortunately. It’s well written, directed and acted.”
Fan excuse bingo.
Elementary didn’t increase its rating this week. A 2.2 is very low for a Show that aired after the Super Bowl.
Easy choice: CSI:NY sucks. The other two shows are actually good. Of course, I understand that whether or not a show is any good doesn’t figure into cancellation decisions, but since it seems to be a toss-up otherwise, why not do something different and save the GOOD shows?