NBC: 'Do No Harm' Is Certain To Be Canceled, Of Course

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

February 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm :oops: (canceled 2/8) 0.55
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :cry: :cry: 0.76
1600 Penn :cry: :cry: 0.84
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.84
Go On :| :| :| 0.89
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.89
Whitney :| :| :| 0.92
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.22
The Office final season 1.29
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
Up All Night :cry: :cry: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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2/8 Update: To no one's surprise, Do No Harm was canceled.
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While it's blindingly obvious that Do No Harm is certain to be canceled after the lowest premiere rating in history for any scripted show on the big 4 broadcast networks, the SEO gods demand I get the name into a headline before NBC yanks it from the schedule.

The gods now satisfied, I can turn to NBC's sitcom mess full time next week.

I was going to hold off on a wholesale revisiting of NBC sitcom predictions until after Community premiered this week, but their continuing ratings free fall has caused me to move up my timeline. While future ratings are guaranteed to move these predictions around further, I decided to move a few predictions this week. The collapse of The New Normal ratings have dropped its prediction to likely to be canceled. Similarly, the collapse of Go On ratings have it downgraded to a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation. Could The Voice return in March and buoy both enough to save them? Perhaps, but I'll move my predictions up if it does.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Ultima

    @dan
    How can you cancel a show “Do No Harm” that has had only one showing for heavens sake

    It was the lowest rated scripted premiere on the big four networks, EVER.

    If people weren’t interested in watching the premiere, what makes you think they’ll start watching the later episodes?

  • SJ

    I guess the better question is, what does NBC replace it with?

    Anything! Literally anything would do better than DNH. But keeping Rock Center there and giving Dateline its Friday time slot back seems like the best option.

    I have to say I’m shocked the show flopped as hard as it did. I expected it to at least follow Awake’s trajectory from last year.

    As far as the sitcoms go, I guess we’ll see once and for all if retention is something that matters to networks. If Go On and TNN go back to their fall ratings when The Voice comes back and NBC renews them, it doesn’t matter. If they cancel them, it does.

    Frankly, I’m kind of conflicted on this one. I really don’t think retention should matter, but when you’ve got shows that absolutely cannot stand on their own unless they’re propped up by a big lead-in, I say cancel. So if I were NBC, I would cancel The New Normal and Go On. In fact, I’d only renew Parks and Rec and Community for final seasons, put them on Friday, and start fresh on Wednesdays and Thursdays (I’d put a drama in the Tuesday 9pm time slot).

  • Holly

    @dan,

    If Do No Harm had gotten mediocre ratings, you might have a point. It didn’t. It got the lowest ratings of any premiere on broadcast ever.

  • BL

    I’m still confident Parenthood will be renewed but it probably won’t get past season 5 due to the large cast.

  • Ricky

    I am still in shock that DNH was such a huge flop. Sure I was expecting it to do poorly against Elementary and a resurgent Scandal, but I at least hoped for a 1.5 or more…NBC has really dropped the ball again with their scheduling. Here’s hoping they cultivate Hannibal in a more fertile timeslot should it be brought in before summer.

    Version 4.0 has begun: http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2012/12/09/play-the-elimination-game-page-2/160888/comment-page-54/#comments

  • Oliver

    I think “retention” is, to some degree, a self-fulfilling prophecy. Networks put shows they like and want to renew in strong timeslots.

    @SJ
    There’s no way that NBC can successfully launch enough programming for 8pm Wednesday and 8-10 Thursday at once.

    As I’ve said before, put 2 comedy veterans at 8pm Wednesday. That leaves Sunday/Monday/Tuesday/Wednesday/Friday in an acceptable state and allows them to reboot Thursday from scratch.

  • Bob

    I really hope Guys with Kids gets renewed. Such a great show. Why not put it behind The Voice so its rating can increase? I mean Go On and The New Normal get the same ratings as Guys with Kids but they have a crutch…..

  • CrimTV

    My hope was that Go On and TNN run through their orders and then Hannibal replaces them when The Voice returns so the saturation of comedies gets lower on Tuesdays, and renew Go On and unfortunately cancel The New Normal

  • Tommy M.

    If I was in charge of NBC’s renewal/cancellation decisions I would cancel every single comedy they have and attempt an entirely new lineup much like ABC did when they launched their Wednesday lineup. A move like that would signal to audiences that their comedies are no longer so niche and may entice more people to checkout their new ones.

  • THE OLD MAN

    Do No Harm is the MIJ of NBC–a total embarrassment

  • bruce

    It is a good job that networks don’t listen to bloggers such as Tommy M. and Bill Gorman.

  • Tommy M.

    @ bruce, When your highest rated comedy, that isn’t in it’s final season, scores a 1.7 demo in it’s last airing it’s time to think about making some major moves. I’m not saying that because I don’t like some of their comedies, I’m saying that because I want to see NBC improve their ratings.

  • Oliver

    @Tommy M.

    What would you do if two of NBC’s new comedies bomb by November? ABC kept Scrubs and Better Off Ted around as mid-season replacements when they relaunched Wednesdays in 09-10.

    I also doubt NBC can develop comedies worth watching. All four of their new comedies this season were just awful, and last season wasn’t much better.

  • Tommy M.

    @ Oliver, I see your point. But also remember that ABC only aired 2 episodes of Scrubs on Wednesdays and that was only to burn them off. They aired Modern Family and The Middle repeats in Hanks timeslot when they finally pulled it from the schedule. Better off Ted never aired on Wednesdays that season.

  • Oliver

    @Tommy M

    Scrubs and BoT were midseason replacements in case the Wednesday lineup failed. In the end, they weren’t needed and were burnt off over the holidays, but ABC definitely had a backup plan.

  • J-Crew

    The best move of the season no doubt about it is Chicago Fire behind SVU, that pretty much saved that show.

    The problem is NBC has put their new dramas Deception and Do No Harm in bad timeslots with really weak lead-ins. The same will happen to Smash tonight which will struggle since they didn’t make the smart move and move Whitney and Guys with Kids as its lead-in.

    Right now is NBC going to do any better with the new dramas they bring out next year if they’re not protected correctly? So I’m thinking NBC should at least keep either Deception and Do No Harm and put them behind The Voice next season.

    They can probably let Do No Harm go and just bring back ER which doesn’t need to be protected.

  • Lord Seth

    What does SEO stand for again?

  • Oliver

    @Lord Seth
    Search Engine Optimization. They’re trying to get hits from Google and Google News.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “What does SEO stand for again?”

    Search Engine Optimization.

    In this case, it’s nice to have the name of the show in close proximity to the word “canceled” for search results purposes.

  • Dan S

    I agree with most of the shows assessments for NBC shows except for Go On. I honestly think this show is finished & I’d give it 2 frowny faces. True it may see a rebound when The Voice returns in late March but I think it’ll be too little too late to recover.

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